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  2. ROOSTA
    How about "GULF OF TRUMP". Once the BUM is voted out an Executive Order will change back to its rightful name. Gulf of Mexico. Tropical entity is weak sauce. My grid data server was DOGED, MFkers Bring back OPENSOURCE grib data!
  3. Weather Will
    WB 21Z NBM thru Day 2
  4. CAPE
    CAPE changed their profile photo
  5. EarlGrey
    Hitting 1 inch an hour rates right now!
  6. TriPol
    Why isn't tomorrow's storm generating more buzz on here? 3-6 inches of rain can be catastrophic.
  7. NavarreDon
    Really great obs, quite frankly in a high storm year we all probably wouldn’t pay much attention to this storm. Bertha isn’t the prettiest, but she may be one of the few options to take home this year. .
  8. olafminesaw
    It's a Christmas miracle! Dropping .5"+ across most of Guilford county with frequent lightning. The .53" total at GSO is the most we've had in a day since June 22nd!
  9. ROOSTA
    GENERAC Really no Question. I had one served all my needs. I would wait to pull the trigger as in extended warranty, 2400W on propane...
  10. TheNiño
    Good grief. Hopefully they get it out of their system before Oshkosh
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Biggest tornado outbreak in this region.
  12. vortex95
    I *never* get sick of +CGs, even when they do not strike close. One time, I had one strike about 6 mi from me about 1 hr before sunset, and even though I did not see the bolt, the flash was unusually bright and "encompassing" (meaning it was bright all around me, not a flash in the distance) for the daylight hours, and I go, "ooo, there is going to be big thunder." And I counted, 30 sec later, a really deep THUD! The acoustics can be really bizarre!
  13. WinterWolf
    I know some folks can’t seem to get past things…but the Gulf of Mexico is Now officially the Gulf of America. So DIT is completely correct. Nothing political about it…it’s the official name now.
  14. vortex95
    Or the Ivan tor day in Sep 2004? What, like 40 tors in VA alone, and many clustered right up to the MD/VA border just W of DC! I think that day is the only SPC MDT ever issued for a TC tor event. There were so many tors in VA that day, that if you look at a map for the CONUS showing which month tors are most common for each state, VA says "September" -- all b/c of that Ivan tor day! It shows how a single outlier event can skew climo big time.
  15. 87storms
    Better humidity than I expected. I’m getting intrigued by the potential of another round of storms. Saturday was fun.
  16. EarlGrey
    Getting some bonus rain and storms this evening. .9 inch so far.
  17. Prospero started following TD2/potential Bertha
  18. JACKASS
    Thought maybe I went a little overboard last night, yet tonight just confirmed my thoughts. Damn Oh well, peace!!
  19. CAPE
    CanSIPS is probably the best possible outcome. Basin wide Nino and h5 looks favorable for cold air delivery via a -EPO/good TPV position, and hints of -NAO at times.
  20. vortex95
    I noticed that this year. 45% for wind is being issued more often E of the Mississippi. It can be misleading, esp. when doing stats over time for trends. Our standards are practices change, and the fcst science advances. It reminds me of when MRGL and ENH was added. You get more of a "bulls-eye effect" now when you have a sig svr wx outbreak fcst, but it does not mean things are more amp'ed or intense for sensible wx, just we can just be more precise w/ outlooks given better modelling and knowledge.
  21. Ernest T Bass
    Huge storm blew up and pummeled east toward 77. Just wet the ground here a little. Story of the summer for the most part.
  22. Brewbeer
    when the the TD in the Gulf of Mexico becomes a threat to the eastern seaboard, I'll be tracking it with you
  23. mitchnick
    I'm not taking anything personal on this Board. Lol I'm just being blunt. You've said several times that the seasonal models are just spitting out canonical enso winter forecasts and Cfs2 clearly didn't based on the temp forecast you criticized but never posted. And remember, you picked the 23/24 winter as the example. But we agree on 1 thing. The seasonal models won't be right in all locations around the globe. If you're going to judge them based on an entire continent or the world, then fine, they stink. But that doesn’t mean they can't be close in some areas. I only care about the east, specifically the N. Mid Atlantic. As Gawx has proven in several recent posts on the subject, they've been pretty good around here lately, including 23/24. So they are worth considering. And like I said, if they showed warm, please don't kid yourself that you wouldn't be posting or referencing them.
  24. Damage In Tolland
    There’s a TD in the Gulf Of America . I know many folks interested in the tropics are tracking it .
  25. Brewbeer
    am i correct in understanding you don't see a problem here ?
  26. vortex95
    One thing w/ the WBZ, if you can get a stout supercell w/ intense mid-level meso, the WBZ means little b/c hailstones get so large and fall so fast, little melting occurs upon their final descent. Also, such large, cold ice masses actually can continue to grow upon their final descent since drops are freezing upon contact of the mass. The best is when directional shear is huge. It really strings out of hodograph and increases the residence time in the HGZ. You get more "twisty" updraft spirals. It's one reason why hail is so common in the Front Range, lee troughing promotes backed low-level winds and you have W or NW flow at 500, so at times literally 180 deg turning sfc-500! Also, don't need very strong winds. You can have SE winds at 20 kt at the sfc, and 20 kt out o the NW at 500,, that equates to 40 kt deep layer shear, and you have enough for supercells despite winds aloft not standing out.
  27. JACKASS
    To be fair, everything weather related is now political. Shit, every thing under the sun is now.
  28. Damage In Tolland
    Talking about a a weather issue in an official body of water . What’s the problem here ?
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