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  2. I don't know if the RRFS can handle TCs properly. This is a good question for the modelers. The NAM never was designed for TCs we know. The RRFS seems overdone, esp. given by 72 hr a strong deformation shear zone get established along the nrn Gulf Coast, and the systems get torn apart aloft. The HRRR through 48 hr does show it becoming a TD, but again, I am not sure how good mesoscale models not specifically designed for TCs, such as the HAFS and HWRF, do here. The 2m wind field looks choppy and pock-marked on the HRRR by 36 hr. The HWRF from 18z today shows sig development having is 992 mb by 60 hr, but that appears overdone. GFS/ECMWF suggest weak TD status before the environment becomes unfavorable.
  3. Lots of lightning today but only a trace of rain so far
  4. Come on let's crush the records with this thing!
  5. We pour and thunder! (The little yipper is currently MIA, most likely under my bed )
  6. Welp…here comes the lightning again. Radar still looks nasty coming in.
  7. so where do we go from here ? will they let the Tornado Watch expire at 9 PM ? Any more storms before the front finally reaches us several hours from now ??
  8. .40” of rain so far today. Currently thunder and the radar looks pretty robust heading my way. edit: looks south now Voyager the king for today!
  9. Small cell started building and moved into my area. Strongest winds of the day and monsoon rains.
  10. Air Quality is now 95. Huge drop from earlier today.
  11. Was there a severe thunderstorm warning for Anne Arundel when the storm hit?
  12. I can hear thunder approaching in Kew Gardens, constant rumbling. EDIT - first lighting strikes EDIT 2 - very heavy rain
  13. Don't look now, but the O's stole another. That's a 6 game win streak.
  14. Thunderstorms here. Worse than before in Brooklyn.
  15. Tuesday might be the day for that but still too far out
  16. If he is healthy he is going to be the starter. Better than any of the other options currently on the roster.
  17. Im currently under the 4th thunderstorm of the day not severe but plenty of rain and loud thunder
  18. High of 92. Much less oppressive out there today with the constant breeze.
  19. Currently in North Edison and got hit by that cell 20 minutes ago with another downpour
  20. Just like I thought. Limited severe threat. We needed those hours of peak clear skies surface heating. At least the storms with the warm front were pretty good
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