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WB 12Z AI EPS. Precip. Anomalies look better as we head through the second week of February and it still looks cold enough.

Not to say anything like this is going to happen, but I remember one event or rather non-event when I lived in Athens. We had super cold air, i think it was a week or so before we got the big sleet storm. We had a Winter storm warning out for multiple inches of dry snow. That morning I woke up and watched Bill Race, and he was saying it would not be long until the snow saturated the air, and we would be getting snow at a good rate. I remember looking out and seeing a snowflake fall and thought it's starting. It was the only flake I saw all day. We ended up getting zilch. It was the biggest bust I can remember.

Kind of surprising to see decent snow, and it not accumulating on grassy nor raised surfaces. The sun is still kind of poking through. I thought things would immediately be covered due to the very cold temps. Nope. It may stick later, but it is not right now. Knoxville folks, you are not really missing out...and I am under a decent band.

Now, far north and west will it go?

Evanston getting it

Yes?

February will obviously start BN/much BN. Don’t know yet how it will finish. But with BN December and January already…what was the last DJF with all 3 months BN??? Got to be a long time…

I spent a whole sermon on this a couple hours ago and of course no one read it ( I don't learn apparently ) but yeah, there's a signal there. However, just like the shenanigans in the models leading up to this ordeal on Sunday, this next one may suffer the same frustrations. so,... it may have legs, but their not the Conan The Barbarian type of legs... They're like the kid with polio waddling around with the help of his arm crutches

lol! Yea, he’s a little all over the place

Yes, and i trust the guys at the NWS more than tv mets. NWS does not seem to be buying it at least it seems I think TV Mets are saying this as a way out if it does bust! lol

Will be interesting to see RAH afternoon update. They introduced “heavy snow” and upped totals for most of central NC, as noted here

Grand Bahama kind of cold

This is golden education. Thank you

I wouldn’t pay attention to Matt lol

I guess not… or Brad is just really dug in. He’s not dumb though. Ugh. Allan H just said he’s editing his map. Oh no.

It makes meteorological sense but I have no idea what other mets are thinking. I mean if you are saturated enough in the DGZ no matter the height of it you can get snow. DGZ temps are typically between -12C and -18C.

Wakefield just updated their Hourly Weather Forecast Grid... Now giving me (central Virginia Beach) 8.8," down from 9.0" this morning and 11.5" yesterday...

Good thing about being busy at work all week- I haven't had much time tor tracking anything run to run and get invested. I saw a couple decent runs on the GFS and maybe one on the Euro, but otherwise it's looked like maybe a skiff of snow along a cold front.

Until that storm, I always used to say, just from experience, to never get excited about rain turning to "wraparound" snow. (Not just wraparound snow, which happens, but wraparound snow which started as rain.) I'd seen it predicted a bunch of times and never saw it materialize beyond a coating at most. But since this storm, I have to temper whatever I say with 'except Christmas 2002.' I've never seen a storm which pasted everything white with snow. Not just stop signs, but entire fences top to bottom. Just a really unique storm.

Yep super shallow warm layer right at the surface. My temp is already down a degree from 40 to 39 in the last 5min.

frozen river I think having an impact on DCA. They are topping out around 20F.

Agreed. Also if this weekend’s coastal ends up weaker than currently forecasted, way end up with less confluence to the NE and allow next week’s minor event to come back up north. Again, minor is the operational word. Upside was never very high with that one. The Feb 10-15 window is another to keep an eye on.

Starting to see mping reports. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

@GBOVolz are you still on VQ? Ol’ Matt has a Snowquest thread going. About an hour ago, he posted that snow totals were coming down in and around Knox. Not sure where’s he seeing that unless he’s looking at the NAM. Everything else has been consistent. I know he’s apparently a meteorologist which made me wonder what he’s looking at.

Great stuff. Seems the Mets would know this, right??