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.77 rain today, most rain I had since the last week of July. Got back from Louisville KY. on Monday night late from attended the largest 4 day rock festival in the country (Louder Than Life) It was very hot 3 out of the 4 days there with temps in the 90's.

Horrible performance by just about every model

0.32” from this morning’s showers

maybe the nw trend can help us with this next disturbance on the front

Not liking the trends up here in the mountains. Still want to see a few more models runs before I start making any preparations or anything.

6z EURO is very wet Saturday afternoon into the overnight.

We hit 96 yesterday, with a real feel of 105! Thankfully a quick hitting TStorm hit us early this morning, dumping a quick .40" of MUCH needed rain. Hopefully we can squeeze some more precip from a TStorm or 2 later today.

Once again models were mostly unreliable. Euro had an inch at ewr falling by 18z and they've barely crossed .1 Rgem way overdone. Nam sucked per usual

Just got a nice burst under that red just north of Baltimore City... picked up .27 for the day so far and .50 for the event.

SC, you in danger girl. Give me the remnants and deluge.

It's humid but the breeze still feels somewhat raw.

I picked up almost one half inch between midnight at 6:30 AM. That was after another 0.2 between 6-9 PM. Rainfall is also on our doorstep again this morning. This is all very welcome.

PRE is Predecessor Rainfall Event. Essentially a rain event that is ahead of the main event. Sandy in 2012 had that on the Eastern Shore. The PRE for Helene is what did the Appalachian Mts. dirty. Source: https://site.extension.uga.edu/climate/2020/10/what-is-a-predecessor-rain-event-pre/

The interaction of the two storms and the ULL could lead to some nasty flooding. I don't like that models are starting to pick up on a stalled moisture feed

I'll go out on a limb and say we won't be stuck in +EPO patterns for the majority of winter 2025-2026.

At least there’s a nice breeze to go along with the low DPs.

No talk about this storm ?

If we’re going to have nice “warm” days it might as well be October(especially early October). A cold and wet October isn’t exciting to me anyway unless you’re just looking for the first flakes of snow. November on the other hand is when we need a more active pattern for severe and or winter weather.

Obviously too early to say if we'll be affected by the tropics in any way, but at least it's the first thing to track since last winter. 73F/DP 72F...disgusting!

Pourin like the old man is snorin here right now

0.87” in Syosset & 0.52” in Muttontown.

Nice surprise. We have picked up 1.17" rain since midnight.

don't know what a "PRE event" is but it sounds excellent