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My mom took these flying over the Rocky Mountains yesterday on her way to Vegas.. I told her I would of jumped out of the plane

Not even 2 inches below normal. I'll pass on the weekend rain.

At least I won’t have to water the grass seed.

47 for the low this morning. Storm brought thunder & lightning with 52 mph wind gust. Left only .20” of rain. Looked impressive coming in at least.

Low of 61, high of 87. Monthly stats: Highest temp: 87 Lowest temp: 40 Highest dew point: 75 Lowest dew point: 33 Rainfall: 1.97"

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD ___ATL __IAH ____ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 1.0 1.0 0.4 -1.8 0.2 0.7 1.0 -0.2 -0.6

Never lost power in the southern part of the City. My 20 minute drive to work looked like nothing happened, which is weird. Most places in the South Hills had no power and tons of damage. Work actually lost power at 10:30 this morning and went home to work the rest of the day. Weird.

GEFS is wet too looks like a disgusting first week of May after the second

Less than 366 days until May 2026 as well!

Its going to be funny when the GFS shows 7” of QPF but can’t post it because we decided to play the game .

WB 18Z 12K NAM...more to come a NAM Watch is in effect!

Trending higher QPF every 12 hours...

Because you keep saying to toss it.

Weren’t we all told to ignore that model? Just trying to follow directions.

Dallas and Oklahoma are just PILING up relentless rain tallies. Austin, high and dry. True we sure don't need to worry about freezing cold weather anymore! We got our southeasterlies off the Gulf of America! I love low 70s dewpoints so much I drive with my windows down all the time! Nice moist refreshing dewpoints! But water - thats a completely different matter. It is likely to be dry well into 2029. Negative Neutral ENSO is extremely BAD for south central Texas, we could have record breaking, diaspora-provoking drought well into at least 2026, probably for several years and we are already in deep trouble water wise with record breaking numbers of Americans flooding into Texas and Austin because of the record breaking Jobs Market down here! Won't be long before WATER is Gold Bullion down here and we are trading in Hydro. In other news ------ Look out Mid Atlantic, Neutral Negative ENSO means you better stock up and get shovels and snowblowers. Washington DC will become the new Upstate Maine this upcoming winter - Freezing cold and frequent blizzards and people fighting over parking spaces and sick to death of shoveling snow every 5 days! I know this is way too early but these are the Jebman's Prognostications, early calls on snow: DCA, 70 percent above normal. Dallas, 100 percent above normal. Mappyland and PSU lands, running about 150 percent above normal snow, maybe higher. Will be refining these as the summer then fall arrives. You guys are gonna get to enjoy another good winter.

How come no one posted GFS/ GEFS?

eps and geps trends

We do not need the 7" that the euro has. 3" in that time frame is plenty

My usual end of month appearance to remind contest entrants (main forum) of approaching deadline for MAY forecasts. On subject of those power outages, I noted that strong winds were blowing in one region of southern Spain and light winds prevailed elsewhere, at time of problems, and during very warm and sunny conditions generally -- could be an imbalance in wind energy contributions to grid causing oscillations.

go big or go home. hopefully this wins!

loving this dry windy weather..

Now the Euro extends the rain through Wednesday. What a difference from a few days ago when it appeared it was gonna rain on Friday and clear out for the weekend. I'm glad to see these changes though ... we need the rain.

The qp projections for next week will change at least 12 times in the next 6 days. What seems to be the sweet spot at this time will probably change during the next 48 hrs. Lets don't repeat the normal winter mistakes. The huge potential shift is that in conflict with usual patterns, low pressure surface and aloft will dominate instead of high pressure.

ughhh what a HORRIFIC pattern. If that verifies I'm giving myself swirlies in dirty toilet water and get myself dizzy enough to where I become unconscious until June 1