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the europeans have lost the weather forecasting plot since the euro update years ago and gfs taking king since nemo in my opinion! Euro models will whiff and be stubborn while good models like gfs and cmc will hit and probably expand its precip shield by another 50-100 miles by making a bm track and making the storm stronger to around 985-990 millibars. i think anybody north west of Yarmouth and up to Worcester and west of Montauk up to Poughkeepsie is getting a dumping.

These are not the same.

I don't need a blizzard. Give me 4-8" snow falling during the football game an I'll be a happy camper

big improvement, came noticeably west.

Yeah looks about 5-10 miles wide atm. Best of luck on adding to your stack!

Yeah i remember that well, I hope you’re right Brick .

Yeah i remember that well, I hope you’re right Brick .

Amazing thing about the GEFS is what suddenly happens in Alabama..this thing may just now getting wound up with lots of room to grow..

UK staying south makes me think Euro isn’t moving much tonight. GFS and more importantly GEFS trends are undeniable

Ukie was close but just offshore. Definitely a move towards the GFS though

Gefs look great. Ukie came west.

Pivotal was already out to 87 on your first post

I keep going back to last year's Jan 21-22 storm. I know we have been burned by the GFS before. But this one really reminds me of that storm. The GFS trended more NW while the Euro held out and then the Euro finally jumped on board with the GFS three days out. I think we'll see the Euro do the same by tomorrow.

thanks Franklin, those ensembles look conservative with the clown maps, i think 80% of those ensembles look like good hits, a couple of inland runners which is probably not gonna happen and a couple of whiffs. We are looking good, knock on wood!

OTS

A lot gets added between 102 and 108 .

Idk whether to be excited or scared that this trend ain’t gonna stop soon.

Pretty sure it’s no dice but better than 12z. Onward edit: ya’ll fast

But doesn’t work out. Just never turns the wave and crushes h5. Closer but it’s a whiff

Just wide right but a nice move west.

Looks like it's tapping more gulf moisture this run

The UK was close but didnt quite get it done.