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  2. Stormchaserchuck1
    No, really strong El Nino's tend to develop this way. In comparison to other Super Nino's it doesn't look especially outstanding, but there has never been a La Nina at this time of the year that had Nino 1+2 80% greater than all other regions.
  3. Kmlwx
    CSU MLP page agrees with an area of 5% TOR
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Like I said, basin-wide is varied....could end up warmer than 1997 and I would not be surprised in the least.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    No idea.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Is it a huge deal? I don't think so, but it is what it is.
  7. Stormchaserchuck1
    Ever had a La Nina this east based?
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    THIS is strongly east-based: 11JUN1997 26.1 2.8 27.8 1.1 28.4 0.7 28.9 0.1 This: 10JUN2015 25.5 2.0 27.8 1.2 28.7 0.9 29.8 0.9 This: 07JUN2023 26.1 2.6 28.0 1.2 28.7 0.9 29.5 0.7 And THIS: 10JUN2026 26.1 2.7 28.3 1.6 29.2 1.5 30.1 1.3 Are basin-wide. Eastward leaning, sure....okay.
  9. Stormchaserchuck1
    It's relative to the average fluctuation of different regions vs each other. Tropical Tidbits has Nino 1+2 at +2.8c and there is +8c water under there. It's like 50% or more Nino 1+2 based.
  10. SACRUS
    Today's Highs: ACY: 87 EWR: 86 PHL: 86 New Brnswck: 85 JFK: 85 BLM: 84 TEB: 83 LGA: 83 TTN: 83 ISP: 82 NYC: 81
  11. mahantango#1
    .04 rain today.
  12. roardog
    I always thought you had east based, west based(Modoki) or basin wide. With region 4 at 1.4 or whatever it is today, how can this not currently be classified as basin wide? You could call it leaning east or something I guess.
  13. frd
    Mount Holly more bullish with the heavy rain wording, we shall see. Good luck !
  14. SouthCoastMA
    shut out again, stuck on 0.33" for the month. Really need Monday to pan out
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Seasonal forecasts definitely have their limitations, regardless of the specification.
  16. CoastalWx
    These systems are always difficult to model this time of year.
  17. Stormchaserchuck1
    I just don't think it was a Modoki pattern in the Pacific. Heavy -NAO was why that Winter was cold in the East.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes. I don't really care what the tweet brigade says, it's not severely east-based. Doesn't mean it can't be as warm as one, though.
  19. mitchnick
    Looks beautiful!
  20. Stormchaserchuck1
    Good stuff as always, snowman19
  21. Today
  22. snowman19
  23. JTA66
    Seeing my first lightning bugs of the season.
  24. CAPE
    That really sucks for the areas that really need it. Luckily, the NAM really sucks lol.
  25. kdxken
    Where are the endless 40s and '50s that imaginary folks were guaranteeing?
  26. kdxken
    Doesn't look like a lot of heat to close out the month this year. A stray 90 at 18z is possible I guess.
  27. Damage In Tolland
    It’s a top 5 hottest June lol
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