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  2. winter_warlock
    Wow!! People don't waste anytime do they lol
  3. wxmeddler
    There is. It's the NAM Fire Nest. Not usually shown on modeling sites, but it is out there.
  4. McHenrySnow
    The January 2024 GFS hadn't been DOGEd.
  5. Coach McGuirk
    I hate how NYC is now expecting a foot of snow. We are lucky for an ice storm.
  6. Nomz
    Because half an inch of ice is crippling, and even the GFS shows that it's more than likely to happen. Richmond should be buckling down.
  7. wncsnow
    Models still trending slower
  8. CoastalWx
    Honestly though.....this is the first good widespread event in how long? Jan 2018? Maybe March 2018, but that porked near and WoR. I think Jan 2018 was fairly widespread 12-18. SNE anyways.
  9. CAD_Wedge_NC
    No, ground temps are good.... this time
  10. CAPE
    Goddamn Mt Holly going big. I guess they think the Sat night thump is gonna be legit for the coastal plain... like 1-3" per hour lol
  11. brewman22001
    100% with you!! It has changed so many times and I honestly don’t they’re close to having it nailed down! .
  12. caviman2201
    the sloppy seconds from the inevitable Westminster death band
  13. dukeblue219
    Tomorrow? The major stores in our DC burbs have been cleaned out today.
  14. Moonhowl
    I've been through a storm that had 5 inches of nothing but sleet. Not a problem for trees but flat roofs on the other hand...
  15. bncho
    To straighten things up. There are only two versions of the NAM Nest. The regular 'ol 12k NAM and the hi-res 3k NAM. There is no such thing as a 1.33k NAM (that I know of). The 3k NAM should start to get into range for this storm by 0z tomorrow night, where it starts to enter its useful range. Hoped that helped.
  16. jaxjagman
    You;d rather see it speed up tho not slow down,this is gonna be a brutal run
  17. Rjay
    Yes, they think it stays mostly snow.
  18. Justicebork
    Ground temps something something .
  19. dendrite
    Exploding showers when the cold comes in behind it
  20. winter_warlock
    Grocery stores tomorrow!!
  21. Mo Snow
    I understand that, just wondering if they have explained their climo reasoning at all anywhere
  22. NCBlizzard
    With last system last weekend, HRRR was consistently warmer than obs for surface temperatures and didn't have a good handle on radiative influences in my opinion, but it did indeed do quite well with overall depiction of the small areas that would end up with some token flakes / a dusting (in NC at least), much better than the NAM. However, way too far out to put much stock in the HRRR.
  23. wasnow215
    Why do you think Wakefield is using such strong verbiage about concern with an ice storm for Richmond then? Are they basing it solely on the Euro?
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    You want to be on the east slope of the ORH hills....on or east of the spine.
  25. Reb
    How is it compared to the 18z GFS?
  26. winter_warlock
    Amen brother!!!!
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