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2026-2027 Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Nino 3.4 officially warmed by 0.2 in today’s update from +0.7 to +0.9: 1+2 3 3.4. 4 06MAY2026 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.5 13MAY2026 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.6 20MAY2026 1.6 0.7 0.5 0.6 27MAY2026 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.7 03JUN2026 2.1 1.0 0.7 0.7 10JUN2026 2.1 1.0 0.9 0.7 https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/rel_wksst9120.txt -
Decent drink this morning. 0.51"
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'm sure someone is going to explain why it wouldn't be enjoyable and would entail certain economic collapse and death, but we are hammered with the over GW, anyway....so excuse me if I salvage bit of solace form the prospect of my final days being snow-filled. -
0.40” here. Much appreciated. Sky is clearing out. Dews dropping.
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1.6" rain last night don't hate me
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49 here this morning.
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Another half inch of rain overnight. Some thunder and lightning.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 61 with .35" of rain. Beautiful days ahead before things turn interesting for Thursday. -
Stein cancelled! Now let’s sweep these dews out to sea.
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Currently 57.7/52.2 with partly cloudy skies after a 56.4 low. Picked up 0.93" from several rounds of thunderstorms and showers yesterday afternoon thru about midnight.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
"It plays a crucial role in the climate system, helping regulate global weather patterns. Its collapse would have enormous implications, including much more extreme winters" On no, not that... -
best climo stuff
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Not too big of a surprise that the models have less rainfall in the forecast this week than in earlier forecasts. New EPS forecast June 15-22 Old EPS forecast June 15-22
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1.05 for the total here
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We were grazed by a cell yesterday and logged 0.03”. So monthly total is now 0.03”
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Superstorm replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
0.64” in the rain bucket. Nice drink for the lawns and crops. . -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Ended up with the usual 0.40". AC off, windows open, 65F/DP 60F. -
0.0” yesterday but what a beautiful two day stretch we have starting today!
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not much here, the lawn will definitely need to be watered this week, glad I didn't drop fert currently 65/59 with a nice breeze, no AC needed
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Picked up 0.67" overnight. Up to 0.86" for June. -
0.34" here in Lindenhurst. Only half an inch total since june 1st
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Seems awhile since we’ve had a cool wet June around here.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
While the CFS missed the summer PDO drop last summer, it’s still forecasting the PDO to remain negative into next January. Mostly due to the stronger ridge and lighter winds east of Japan. The main reason the current PDO is less strongly negative than recent years at this time is the record +PMM. In the past record +PMM patterns often coincided with a robust +PDO before the warm pool emerged east of Japan. -
DCA with a shutout yesterday. 0.21” for June, approaching a 6” departure on the year.
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.5” last night. Not bad and 2” in the last 7 days. Near normal precip at a time we often struggle with convection. .
