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GFS way south with Monday Tuesday potential .. AI models not interested at all ... GFS with a northern mid atlantic special

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Verbatim would be an impactful mixed precip event north of DC with temps in the 20s.

Lets do it again

Bout 15” in Meriden

Gfs has 8-12 inches next week

Have you taken a look at what the AI GFS has been showing for the March 6th through the 10th, temperature wise? That might melt it all...

I get 34.5” measuring different areas in back yard. I’m 4 miles SSW from PVD. Incredible storm. For me, 1978 is still number 1. I was living in Providence then and while we may have had more snow, the ferocity of 1978 coupled with the societal impacts sets it apart. I was also in central NJ for 1996, that’s number 2 for me…

12z GFS says we do it again next Monday

Next week on the Gfs in mby is sufficient for me to forget 2 days ago and end the winter looking forward to next year's Niño.

Other than the town of Oxford (western Maine) which had only a trace, our 0.2" is the lowest amount reported to cocorahs, as of 11 this morning. (5-6 sites reported precip but left snowfall as NA. Other sites in those areas all had at least 1" snow and up to 5". Tops in Maine is 11.3" in Washington County.)

Haven’t left my street yet. No downed trees in my immediate neighborhood.

GFS barely scrapes, AI models and GFS have been a bit more bullish especially AI models , I think ceiling with this is 1-3" south of pike . AIFS had several runs with 3-6" south of pike then last run was like coating to 2"

With the heaviest snow falling during daylight yesterday it was relatively low impact on main roads that were salted. Turned out to be a nice late season event. Can't believe such little snow fell at CLE though... the airport specifically always seems to miss .

10 years ago...

Part of me kind of misses the days of broad ranges with highlighted zones for "locally higher amounts" The problem these days is that you can try and forecast the band from PVD-GHG on this run. But then the next run it's ORH-BOS, so you increase the snow there. But you don't want to drop it from PVD-GHG just in case that was actually right. So the snow amounts are forever only going up until it's too late to recover from the messenger shuffle.

Euro is warmer in the afternoon. I’m not saying Hrrr is saying it’s not going to be cold enough to snow, it’s just really cold tonight and tomorrow AM then rises quickly to freezing.

Let's talk about next Weeks possibility. That one seems like it could be bigger. Other than tomorrow morning...it stays fairly quiet ( with a few milder days thrown in for the weekend )

Yeah I try to measure as often as I can due to compression. I learned this lesson in March 2018 during the snowstorm that knocked down trees and took out power. I luckily went outside to measure and recorded 10.5. Then I went back out about 45 minutes later cause it was still snowing and suddenly I measured less. So even though the snow was still falling the lower rate combined with the heavy water content compacted it when I assumed it would have increased. If I had only measured at the end I would not have gotten the correct highest accumulation for the storm.

I have no reason to doubt the Providence numbers one way or the other, but I'd be very surprised if the max depth was even 3-4 inches within their 38 inch total. I actually checked the data there. They had 5 inches depth before the storm started and 21 inch depth at midnight last night. Hmmmm, measuring every hour maybe on a clean board? This is why snowfall measurements are somewhat exasperating.

This might be because you were chasing the storms this winter that missed us lol. 2009/10 is the gold standard for epic stretches imo. As far as wall to wall winters, 2013-15 were top shelf. Too many missed opps so far this winter for me to grade it any higher than a B…and imby it’s probably a B-. The frozen lakes were the big show. 2022 was better here.

21” Final. .

I got so use to seeing Kuchera maps noticeably higher than 10:1 from all the cold, now they're back to reminding me where I live. Bleh