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Spring 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
Carvers Gap replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Ensembles are honking for a pretty good cold outbreak mid-month. Duration TBD.- 12 replies
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- severe
- mountain snow
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Down to 41 off a high of 43. Rain.
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HTF did Portland jump from 25 at the 7:00 obs to 40 at the 9:00 obs
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52 and dreary. Looking forward to next week
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ORH down to 34
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Interestingly, temperatures are up a degree or two around here since the light rain started. Even up at the elevations. Latent heat release?
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39.7/27.7F We were far enough north that we had some bright sun this morning into mid day. The temperature maxed out at 49F. Over the past couple of hours the temperature has been falling as well as the dew's. Especially the past hour. The point and click in our area is around 1" of snow. No advisories are up. The trend is your friend and I could see my area of the Lakes Region getting 2-4", maybe up to 5 or 6" if we can get the precip up here. It will be interesting to watch.
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There are lightning strikes to our west, and there is good agreement in guidance for convection this evening into the overnight for at least the northern half of the region. Forecast soundings suggest enough instability for a continued threat of thunder.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
mattinpa replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
A for those who got the bigger totals in the most recent storm - I’d say a very solid A- here in Royersford. -
40F here in the valley in E CT and dropping. Decent breeze out of NNW
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54F at my house right now. Cloudy and in the wedge.
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latest hrrr looks pretty good imby.. so tough. could see 1", could see 6"
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Rainer here enjoy north
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I'm still waiting for this warm-up.
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35F/30 here in Clinton and going down.
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Reality was sort of a blend? Wedge wasn’t as strong as the NAM suggested, but euro was too aggressive eroding it.
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Are those thunder showers out west? Or just heavy rain?
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Today’s EW for 3/16-22 is slightly colder but it remains the only full week averaging chilly: so a one and done full cool week again this run:
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NE winds blowing good now steady drop continues. Hopefully enough
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Chicago Storm replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
poor take. -
2026-2027 El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The reverse of this also exists. A nino-style pacific jet extension that blasts warm air into Canada and the E US typically correlates to a weak +PNA. -
Wunderground keeps upping the snow totals. Now to 5”
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Lots of unknowns, just like mid-March!
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Very helpful. Thank you
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I concur! People can barely drive in clear weather, throw in this rainy foggy day and it's a disaster out there.
