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how and perhaps what on Earth are you seeing here that looks like anything

Yeah but you don't deserve it 'cuz you've been chiding and debasing warmth all along haha 'Sides, solar max doesn't exit until ~ the 9th of August

A surprise 1.35" overnight/this morning. Closing in on 6" for the week. Can I get a two category improvement in one week?

57 and cloudy this morning. No radiational cooling.

As [mention=175]csnavywx[/mention] suspected, we are going to handedly surpass 1997…. We have broken 1997’s -SOI record (@Gawx), we are warmer in region 3.4, we are neck and neck in region 1+2 and we have broken 1997’s OHC record

Atleast if its hot in August the sun is starting to lower so it doesnt feel as bad.. Just like when its 20 in mid February but your car can still be warm when you get in it during the day.

Same here in Marysville! It can’t get much better for July!

Morning AFD from LWX mentions "ridge rollers" KEY MESSAGE 2...Returning to a summer-like pattern next week. Coming off of the weekend, an upper-level trough begins to dig into the northeastern U.S. This will usher in the potential for organized convection early to mid week. In spite of multiple frontal passages during the period, next week could carry a return to summer-like conditions with heat indices in the mid 90s to near 100 degrees. The key players will be a longstanding upper ridge across the southwestern U.S. into the southern/central Great Plains, a deep upper low near Hudson Bay, and longwave trough over the eastern U.S. While ensemble solutions do not show a more formidable shortwave tracking across the area, the setup certainly lends itself to a more active pattern. A series of "ridge rollers" are likely to cross the northern tier of the country before crossing the Great Lakes and northeastern states. At this juncture, the machine-learning algorithms favor an uptick in convection on Monday into Tuesday. This would present the most likely opportunity for any severe thunderstorms. A progressive pattern aloft will bring a cold front through the region on Tuesday evening/night, with a secondary boundary on its heels. While temperatures remain seasonable in this mid/late week pattern shift, dew points slowly come down to finish out the month of July.

Outlooked on Day 5 from SPC... and sounds like we could see additional outlooks in the LR next weekend Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0337 AM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026 Valid 271200Z - 011200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Day 4/Monday... A prominent upper high will remain centered over the central and southern Plains with a belt of enhanced mid-level flow forecast along the periphery of that feature from the northern Plains into the Great Lakes. Within that flow regime, a short-wave trough is forecast to translate through the Great Lakes in tandem with a surface low and trailing cold front. A hot and moist boundary layer is expected ahead of the front, yielding moderate to strong instability by afternoon. Despite veered low-level winds, strengthening mid/upper-level winds in the exit region of a jet streak will contribute to sufficient vertical shear for organized severe storms across portions of the Great Lakes into the OH Valley Monday afternoon into night. ...Day 5/Tuesday... The Day 4/Monday short-wave trough is forecast to evolve into an upper low across southwest ON and the lower Great Lakes with an associated belt of stronger cyclonic flow developing from the OH Valley into the southern Mid-Atlantic and NC. At the surface, an area of low pressure will develop from the lower Great Lakes into central NY with a trailing cold front advancing through the upper OH Valley, central Appalachians, and Mid-Atlantic. Thunderstorms may be ongoing Tuesday morning along and ahead of the front from the lower Great Lakes and upper OH Valley into the Mid-Atlantic. Stronger heating is anticipated to the south of the early-day storms from the southern Mid-Atlantic into NC, where moderate to potentially strong instability is forecast. The strongest instability will coincide with modestly strong deep-layer shear to support some severe weather threat in those areas Tuesday afternoon and evening. ...Days 6-8/Wednesday-Friday... The 00Z ensemble means depict a slight westward regression of the dominant mid/upper-level high with persistent troughing along the East Coast. On the periphery of the high, a notable short-wave trough is forecast to progress from the Canadian Rockies on Wednesday through the Prairie Provinces on Thursday with modest height falls along the international border. By Friday, there is some model signal for another short-wave trough to move into the upper MS Valley and Great Lakes regions. At the surface, a more substantial cold front is projected to move into the northern Plains on Thursday, and the upper Midwest and Great Lakes by Friday. A few severe storms appear possible in the Southeast and northern Plains on Wednesday, the northern Plains on Thursday, and the upper Midwest into the Great Lakes on Friday. Confidence in the magnitude and areal extent of the threat is currently too low to delineate additional areas. ..Mead.. 07/24/2026

This California Coast weather is much nicer than the top 5 warmest June 1st through July 15th that much of the Northeast just experienced. This was a first for such a strong El Niño. All our other developing super El Niños were much cooler. So a continuation of the very warm 2020s summer -PDO/+AMO atmospheric pattern even with such a strong El Niño. This was also the first time the area had 104° to 106° heat during such a strong developing El Niño at any point in the summer. Most other years with such high maximum temperatures were La Ninas. Developing super El Niño June 1 to July 15 average temperature EWR 2026….77.0° 2023….74.8° 2015…..73.8° 1997…..73.2° 1982….70.6° 1972….71.0° HPN 2026….72.6° 2023….70.4° 2015….69.4° 1997…..70.8° 1982….68.5° 1972….66.8° ISP 2026….72.8° 2023…70.8° 2015…70.3° 1997….70.3° 1982…66.7° 1972…66.7° Data for June 1, 2026 through July 24, 2026 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. NJ HARRISON COOP 106 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 105 NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 104 NY PORT AUTH DOWNTN MANHATTAN WALL ST HEL ICAO 103 NY FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP WBAN 102 NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 102 NJ CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 102 NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT COOP 101 NY MONTGOMERY ORANGE COUNTY AP WBAN 101 NY CENTERPORT COOP 101 NY BAITING HOLLOW COOP 101 NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 101 Data for June 1, 2023 through August 31, 2023 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. NJ HARRISON COOP 97 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 96 NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 96 NJ CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 96 NY WEST POINT COOP 95 NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 95 Data for June 1, 2015 through August 31, 2015 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. NJ CRANFORD COOP 100 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 98 NJ HARRISON COOP 98 NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 98 NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT COOP 98 NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 96 Data for June 1, 1997 through August 31, 1997 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 101 NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 101 NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 101 NJ CRANFORD COOP 100 NY RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM COOP 100 Data for June 1, 1982 through August 31, 1982 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. NY MIDDLETOWN 2 NW COOP 102 NJ WANAQUE RAYMOND DAM COOP 101 NY DOBBS FERRY-ARDSLEY COOP 100 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 100 Data for June 1, 1972 through August 31, 1972 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 100 NY NEW YORK LAUREL HILL COOP 98 NJ PATERSON COOP 97 NJ WANAQUE RAYMOND DAM COOP 97 NY WEST POINT COOP 97 NJ JERSEY CITY COOP 96 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 96 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Jan through Dec All-time maximum temperatures Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2011 108 0 2 2026 105 161 - 2001 105 0 - 1993 105 0 - 1966 105 0 - 1953 105 0 - 1949 105 0 - 1918 105 0 3 2012 104 0 - 1995 104 0 - 1936 104 0

Nice sleeping weather for late July. 59 here this morning but near 50 and even some 40s north and west.

Some unofficial lows around the area this morning: Monticello: 48 Somerville: 52 Toms River: 51 Westhampton: 50 East Hampton: 50 Central Park: 66

low of 58

This cold requires drastic measures.

Yes it’s the CFS for September, but Holy El Niño!

Odd someone living in BOS is daily tracking where HFD temps are MTD and posting

58

Severe or not, just bring some rain.

You yell at me about heat in the car, and look at you. Wearing a winter coat...lol

We picked up 0.77” overnight and still raining lightly. Up to 2.92” for the event and 11.94” for the month!

Not really. 2009 was cold throughout, with the exception of one week in August. 2015 was warm from July-September. 2023 was cold in June, but very warm in July and September.

Maybe those rascals over at the SPC are making up stories again, who knows. Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0337 AM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026 Valid 271200Z - 011200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Day 4/Monday... A prominent upper high will remain centered over the central and southern Plains with a belt of enhanced mid-level flow forecast along the periphery of that feature from the northern Plains into the Great Lakes. Within that flow regime, a short-wave trough is forecast to translate through the Great Lakes in tandem with a surface low and trailing cold front. A hot and moist boundary layer is expected ahead of the front, yielding moderate to strong instability by afternoon. Despite veered low-level winds, strengthening mid/upper-level winds in the exit region of a jet streak will contribute to sufficient vertical shear for organized severe storms across portions of the Great Lakes into the OH Valley Monday afternoon into night. ...Day 5/Tuesday... The Day 4/Monday short-wave trough is forecast to evolve into an upper low across southwest ON and the lower Great Lakes with an associated belt of stronger cyclonic flow developing from the OH Valley into the southern Mid-Atlantic and NC. At the surface, an area of low pressure will develop from the lower Great Lakes into central NY with a trailing cold front advancing through the upper OH Valley, central Appalachians, and Mid-Atlantic. Thunderstorms may be ongoing Tuesday morning along and ahead of the front from the lower Great Lakes and upper OH Valley into the Mid-Atlantic. Stronger heating is anticipated to the south of the early-day storms from the southern Mid-Atlantic into NC, where moderate to potentially strong instability is forecast. The strongest instability will coincide with modestly strong deep-layer shear to support some severe weather threat in those areas Tuesday afternoon and evening.

You left in all the other station changes. Your current station population is much cooler, more rural, and higher elevation compared to the older COOPs. All the COOPs were in towns before the Coatesville post-war move. The more I look at the Chesco COOP data the more problems I find. Per NCDC the Coatesville 1SW shelter was made of window blinds before 1902. The "window blinds" apparently produced a big spike in 100F days in 1900, which wasn't observed in West Chester or Philadelphia. After the "window blind" spike, the Coatesville 1SW data is similar to Philadelphia and West Chester with no indication of the pronounced downtrend you are showing. Once again the local raw data doesn't agree with the climate trend you are reporting.

Day 4 clips, western Pa nwhat's slighr risk and Day 5 clips, southeastern Pa with slight risk.

50 here.