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  2. Ice storms are my major concern this winter. I’ll be getting the old generator up to snuff this fall!
  3. Pouring again with booming thunder. Enjoyable storm.
  4. Beautiful sunset here. Final days of post 8pm.
  5. PNA was positive every month in 09-10. That is not showing +pna. PNA was +1.25 in Jan 10 and +2 in March 10.
  6. Central park rarely gets good colors anymore because the UHI and CC+higher atmospheric moisture is producing record overnight lows.
  7. I would think good, but the likely warmer than normal overnight lows will reduce color. We need a very cold fall now to get good foliage.
  8. The modelologists cherry posting their preferred model run of the day doesn’t seem to be working out too well for them. It’s been one of the nicest summers I can remember.
  9. Figures I would get a storm on a low pops day after the failure of a high probability of "heavy rain" yesterday. Lots of thunder on the back edge of this. 0.58" and still raining. Much needed.
  10. Now there it is, that’s what we want. I hope the bad look is more confined to December. We’ve lost too many februaries in the last several years
  11. Yesterday
  12. What is this shit? Well this event sucks.
  13. https://www.wcax.com/2026/08/17/snowplow-clears-piles-hail-stones-roads-after-severe-storm/?utm_source=taboola&utm_medium=organicclicks&tbref=hp
  14. Still in the zone of nothingness lol. Ridgely getting crushed 3 miles to my SW. That back edge to the NW is gonna have to do it.
  15. Kind of looks like it. Lots of thunder. We shall see.
  16. YOUNG getting hammered. Starting pitching and lousy D gonna limit this team. And please, get Kevin and Ben back in the booth.
  17. Looks like something is headed your way
  18. Who knows?? As a wise wolf once said "nobody knows"
  19. Paul, you are correct that the magnitude of the adjustment is inferred, but not well documented in the sense that is has been verified by field measurements. This is how PHA works, and this is the data we have. Ideally all station moves should include a multi-year parallel observation period, where observation are made at both the old site and the new site to find the actual temperature difference. Here are two studies on that topic Valk, T., et al. (2023). "Homogenization of daily temperatures using covariates and statistical learning — The case of parallel measurements." International Journal of Climatology. Four Dutch KNMI stations (Den Helder/De Kooy, Groningen/Eelde, Vlissingen/Souburg, Maastricht/Beek) relocated from city to airport sites with true overlapping parallel measurements at old and new sites; used to build and test a statistical method against the directly-measured offset. Vincent, L.A., et al. (2018). "Uncertainty in homogenized daily temperatures and derived indices of extremes illustrated using parallel observations in Canada." International Journal of Climatology. 88 site pairs across the Canadian network with 5-year parallel observation periods, used to quantify how much uncertainty homogenization introduces relative to real, directly-measured ground truth. But, Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature's approach does not work like PHA. The magnitude of the temperature shift that BEST finds for a station moves is a byproduct--not an objective.
  20. I have a mess to clean up tomorrow with the large limbs and branches down, but I never lost power. Crazy lightning/thunder still ongoing, but the worst is over here
  21. Perhaps the 82-83, 97-98, and 15-16 outcomes were the result chance and a small population set, rather than us saying goodbye to winter... Lots of different players on the field, keep the faith!
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