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  2. I’m at 62.5”. Difference is the December norlun and a couple other events where you outperformed. Wonder when the last time klew was ahead of the southern foothills/interior Cumberland county.
  3. At this point I’m planning on just rain lol
  4. Hopefully not that much….that same area in NE MI got slammed last March. Our state forests got destroyed. Looked like a bomb went off. Ironically almost to the day last year…
  5. And Tuesday morning is going to be pretty damn cold.
  6. 2-4” wind whipped event still in play. Top 5 season event still on the table.
  7. Since the winter grading is totally subjective based on the poster’s perception, its a B for tripol.
  8. My friend in Glenwood has video of a tree falling during that storm. Winds didn’t look crazy so I thought it was more of a downburst, but def part of that same line.
  9. The 12z Euro is a big shift back west with the secondary defo band. The previous two runs had almost nothing in eastern Iowa.
  10. They did the M thing for several weeks regarding the back to back days in early February with dustings. Then said “F it” and went with a T both days
  11. I've sensed cautious optimism from you lately. I still think it's strange given the moving pieces we haven't really seen any large swings in guidance. I guess modeling isn't that terrible then
  12. I think impacts will likely be closer to rush hour for our sub. Regardless, we're a tiny bit of instability away from a truly big time event. Have a feeling Carolinas will go big, however.
  13. The good news is it will be windy no matter what since we haven't seen enough wind lately.
  14. Wrapping up this winter: 1/25 - 2.5” of mostly sleet 1/31 - 7” of champagne powder 2/5 - 1” of icing on the cake to freshen up my champagne powder Season total: 10.5” Notable: Several cold periods with rare staying power. I went about 3 weeks with some sort of ice/snow coverage on the ground. Complaints? Few. Wish Christmas would’ve been cold but it felt like a winter of old. Final grade: A+ This winter reminded me so much of when I was a kid. Multiple storms, including one good slop fest, a true snow and sneak-up event that was minor. It’s hard to be mad at this past season. I really hope this is the start of a better long term pattern, and even if it’s not, it was good to see we’re capable of going above average in snow/sleet accumulation not entirely dependent on one event.
  15. Not a fan of Cappucci in general but yeah seems many of the folks on social media are buzzing about this. I remain reserved but it definitely has some bite potential.
  16. as usual name of the game is complex wave interactions (especially so with this) and baroclinic zone largely irrelevant imo just be glad we're hanging onto good consensus for the rapid deepening in our backyard which can often hold surprises
  17. Cappucci and his team there ideally would know better that it's a Day 4 outlook and that it doesn't correspond to a risk level at that range... but yeah. I wouldn't be shocked to see some school impacts Monday given a four day warning timeline is pretty big for a severe event.
  18. Looks like BWI changed it to an M, meaning they’re acknowledging that the data is missing for that day. I hope they figure something out eventually. I think they should split the difference between the nearest 1.0 and 1.4 and go with 1.2”. Sure it won’t be perfect but at the most they’ll be off by a few tenths. Better than going down in history as a false zero.
  19. Wind is getting pretty nasty.
  20. No winter either. March is an in between month these days-time to fast forward to April. 42 and cloudy is boring
  21. Wind is crazy right now. We sure do wind very well around here...
  22. So is Matthew Cappucci https://x.com/MatthewCappucci/status/2032441555785539939
  23. This winter has been persistent no matter what happens between now and Tax Day. One to remember. Here's a 360hr norlun for fun:
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