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Strong Nor'Easter/Hybrid Storm Late September 2026
Dan76 replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
Was in the streets in freeport this morning. -
Give me this 500mb evolution all winter. West coast ridge, blocking in Greenland, trough over us...yea buddy.
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October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm
kdxken replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
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I think there are so many aspects of the climate that have changed that it is almost impossible to predict what the result will be. So many variables.........
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October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm
ROOSTA replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Without detailing, seemingly a no-brainer. Power outages will be the greatest impact. -
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October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm
kdxken replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Jessuss! You're a shoe in to take the Halloween contest. -
Strong Nor'Easter/Hybrid Storm Late September 2026
jm1220 replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
Freeport, Lindenhurst, Island Park-the usual spots are in for a rough one. Maybe even parts of Long Beach. -
I don't know...Last year certainly felt more nina to me with the way that late Feb blizzard tracked, and all the NS interference that resulted in the historic sleet bomb. But hey that's just my layman opinion...
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October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm
TheBudMan replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
this is just straight up trolling Boris. Well done young padawan !! -
Strong Nor'Easter/Hybrid Storm Late September 2026
MANDA replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
Nice convective blowup vicinity of developing low pressure as the sun starts to set over the Atlantic east of NC. https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_US/loop60v.html -
October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm
Brian5671 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
a bit north of 12z but still loops it pretty far south 3K is further north -
October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm
weatherwiz replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
LLJ looks a bit more robust on the 18z NAM -
October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm
DirtySnowDen replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
The only difference is that was a lot more tropical in nature , but the high to the north is more potent, ergo the pressure difference will be the same, high-pressure placement will be key to “meh” to something a lot more significant, over the next day. The area of the low pressure’s location makes me wonder. -
So last years Nina acted more like a Nino and so far this super Nino is acting like a Nina? Can't make this stuff up.
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Strong Nor'Easter/Hybrid Storm Late September 2026
uofmiami replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
They only updated aviation section this afternoon. Updated forecast discussion hasn't been put online yet. -
based purely historical stats, nov 5th.
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Strong Nor'Easter/Hybrid Storm Late September 2026
Rjay replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
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Strong Nor'Easter/Hybrid Storm Late September 2026
Brian5671 replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
they have an advisory up for all of LI and CT shoreline and NYC -
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Euro Op doubles down...holy smokes! Thats worst case scenario for S NJ right there with the prolonged onshore flow, full moon, and system retrograding to the West. -
Strong Nor'Easter/Hybrid Storm Late September 2026
Prue11 replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
Okx forecast discussion still not buying into warnings for winds outside of possibly the twin forks -
October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm
amarshall replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
[emoji2357][emoji15] . -
amarshall started following October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm
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Taking a look at fall during higher-amplitude El Niño episodes... October temps have generally finished near to slightly below average, although there have been a few instances of well below average temperatures. Precip tends to finish near to below average, with one notably wet outlier. Snowfall also generally ends up near average, although average October snowfall is minimal to begin with. November has shown a stronger tendency toward cool conditions, with temps generally finishing a bit below to well below average. There is, however, one notable well above average outlier. Precip becomes much more variable in November, with outcomes ranging from below normal to well above normal precipitation. Snowfall follows a similarly mixed pattern, with a fairly wide range of outcomes, from below average to well above average. ...Normal/Average... Oct Temp: 54.0° Oct Precip: 3.43" Oct Snow: 0.2" Nov Temp: 41.3° Nov Precip: 2.42" Nov Snow: 1.8" ...2015... (Fall - Strong/Super El Nino) Oct Temp: 54.7° (+0.7°) Oct Precip: 2.23" (-1.02") Oct Snow: 0.0" (-0.2") Nov Temp: 44.6° (+3.3°) Nov Precip: 4.49" (+2.07") Nov Snow: 11.2" (+9.4") ...1997... (Fall - Super El Nino) Oct Temp: 53.1° (-0.9°) Oct Precip: 2.75" (-0.68") Oct Snow: 0.0" (-0.2") Nov Temp: 36.4° (-4.9°) Nov Precip: 1.46" (-0.96") Nov Snow: 3.3" (Missing Data) (+1.5") ...1991... (Fall - Moderate/Strong El Nino) Oct Temp: 53.2° (-0.8°) Oct Precip: 7.36" (+3.93") Oct Snow: 0.0" (-0.2") Nov Temp: 35.1° (-6.2°) Nov Precip: 3.59" (+1.17") Nov Snow: 1.2" (-0.6") ...1982... (Fall - Strong/Super El Nino) Oct Temp: 53.2° (-0.8°) Oct Precip: 1.88" (-1.55") Oct Snow: 0.0" (-0.2") Nov Temp: 39.1° (-2.2°) Nov Precip: 6.95" (+4.53") Nov Snow: 0.4" (-1.4") ...1972... (Fall - Strong El Nino) Oct Temp: 50.2° (-3.8°) Oct Precip: 3.62" (+0.19") Oct Snow: 0.8" (+0.6") Nov Temp: 37.5° (-3.8°) Nov Precip: 3.18" (+0.76") Nov Snow: 5.5" (+3.7") ...1965... (Fall -Strong El Nino) Oct Temp: 54.0° (0.0) Oct Precip: 1.06" (-2.37") Oct Snow: 0.0" (-0.2") Nov Temp: 42.0° (+0.7°) Nov Precip: 1.10" (-1.32") Nov Snow: 0.0" (-1.8") ...1957... (Fall - Moderate/Strong El Nino) Oct Temp: 52.0° (-2.0°) Oct Precip: 3.15" (-0.28") Oct Snow: 1.9" (+1.7") Nov Temp: 40.2° (-1.1°) Nov Precip: 2.72" (+0.30") Nov Snow: 0.5" (-1.3")
