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  2. It was a little more amped. No real big moves though.
  3. 6z euro caved with mixing up to i80. Thinking 4-8" here is a good bet topped with sleet.
  4. Obviously I don't buy what the Euro is selling on the freezing rain, that being said, it appears as though freezing rain chances are increasing. I see it on the GFS and HRRR for sure. Not great.
  5. Me personally im hugging a Euro/GFS combo. 6z models pushing even us over to a mix so dunno. Its nearly nowcast time anyway.
  6. Even better video https://x.com/i/status/2014698738137117002 Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  7. 6z Euro about the same as 0z maybe a very slight increase
  8. Here's GYX. I really don't know what to think........not sure we can achieve those snow amounts on 2/3 of the qpf Mass is getting.
  9. Hope it goes well! My daughter has her mock comp today too! Happy to get it in before the snow.
  10. But this is morphing into a nowcasting event, short range models, and ops. I love the HRRR, wrap that baby up and call it a storm, but I don't buy it.
  11. Strong winds outta the north still. Currently at 24* DP 17 .
  12. Snowing in sweetwater! .
  13. Just playing with the HRRR 8am. Monday. Long way to go
  14. What a sweet looking storm for the ALB area. Looking like 24-30 hours of snow up that way. 1"+ liquid, no mixing, great ratios. Those types of long duration, all-snow, big QPF events don't happen very often. Should be a great event for the HV too, but the wraparound shuts off a little quicker than further north.
  15. I'm hoping this thing performs as well as last weeks kerfuffle:
  16. Verizon network is once again down Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  17. The sledding for kids and kids at heart who don’t have bad hips is gonna be all time epic - that much sleet on top of whatever base of snow is gonna be perfection for any sized hill.
  18. Man oh man. If you're a fan of winter the latest ensemble runs are for you. For your viewing pleasure, here's the entire 00z GEFS loop this time (EPS on the same page btw)... Check out what's going on as we start to move into February. Pay special attention to the TPV and the arctic. Notice how it splits into 2 main lobes with ridging increasingly overspreading the pole? With one of them landing in Hudson Bay stretching into eastern Canada. Back in the beginning of this thread I'd posted the precursor pattern to a Strat Split. Which occurs ~2 weeks prior to said events. Subtle changes in the hemispheric layout over the last week have resulted in a damn good match of that. Happening this weekend. The Sunday event is a part of that and fits right in that look. Then take a look at what is going on higher up in the Strat in about 2 weeks time. Ensembles are increasingly beginning to latch on to the idea of a PV split up above. Again, the EPS is doing this too. That is happening in conjunction with an increasingly -AO in the troposphere and a cold pattern already established. Probably worth mentioning that we currently have an amplified MJO passage through the Pacific in progress as well. On it's way to the Western Hemisphere. Which are correlated to these kinds of events also. Over the years, through reading various different sources on Strat events and ramifications. There was something to look for if you were hoping for it to be beneficial to your locale. That is an already cold pattern prior to and during a split. Which we also do look to have should this go off. So like I was saying yesterday... LFG!
  19. Whatever the other mods want to do. I’ll be away for a bit, have to get kiddo ready in hair/makeup for a dance competition rehearsal day
  20. BOX shows all snow in PVD. They do have sleet mixing in on the South Coast, but that isn't haven't impact on their forecasted totals.
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