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  2. If we're rating this winter I have two very different takes. From the meteorological/winter being cold angle this has been a solid B+ or A- considering its the longest I've seen snow OTG. We also have been brutally cold and had a really dynamic storm to kick off the stretch. Not to forget December also felt like a winter month again with some minor snowfalls! Really helped sell a solid three months of classic winter. One more major synoptic event and I think the winter hits solid A territory from a purely weather perspective. Now, from my personal perspective for why I enjoy winter... I cannot really but this above B tier. I think I lean B- or C+ because frankly this snow/sleet combination has sucked for all my usual winter activities. I can't go on my hikes, go out on drives to take pictures, or even move around college easily. Add onto that at college the only way to really get where I want to go (without relying on UVA's questionable bus service) is walking as the ice took my bike out of the picture and its been a somewhat miserable stretch of weather. A very unique and interesting experience but man I would kill for some 60 degree days and the ability to go on a hike or play tennis without dying on an ice rink! That said, I cannot rate it much lower than maybe C because it has delivered snow with some interesting events. I loved the December storms and our January artic squall. My hikes out to WV were great too and helped fill in the gaps but at this point I'm done with out snowcrete and looking forward to either a warmup or legitimate snowstorm. Additionally, how the Jan 25th storm shook out just sorta was a bummer and probably alters forever how I will interact with the hobby which is unfortunate but needed.
  3. Started out as rain in NYC in morning, around 35-36 degrees too. Then started slushy snow/sleet mix around 1 PM, and light snow through evening. Moderate snow around 9 pm or so, then heavy snow all night and wind gusts to 40 mph all night. Solid 12-13” blizzard over here. Only time in my life I’ve seen a rain to snow storm produce so much. There have been a few early season rain to snow storm, but usually only a few slushy inches here. This one was moderate rain to an all out blizzard. Amazing
  4. @csnavywx is there any point to tracking the next threat at all? Seems like even best case scenario is a rainer for the coastal plain...
  5. I’d extend that to May 15th but no later.
  6. Tread carefully, friends. Attitudes like this are why you had the Boxing Day storm I already disowned his ass, so please stop using him as a representative of the First State.
  7. January 24-February 8, 2026 is on track to record a 16-day mean temperature below 20° in Central Park. The last time that happened was outside the life span of many AmWx members: January 11-26, 1982.
  8. The storm after the storm potential is looking a bit better on the 12z EPS. Miller B-ish but further south. Not a strong signal at this point but a long way to go. Just something to keep an eye on, especially if next weekend fails.
  9. I was a NWS student intern during the blizzard of 1993 & all we had in our local NWS office was the LFM model (48 hour model), the NGM model (48 hour model), the AVN model (I think was a 60 hour model) & the MRF model (which only went out 5 days). The MRF model started showing the potential for a major winter storm on the Tuesday before the storm. So, that was about 3 or so days of warning for a historic blizzard which in those days was quite good.
  10. I mean at this point 40-45F will feel like a torch!
  11. That Dec 2015 torch scarred me down here in NC. The daytime highs were bad but the ridiculous nighttime "lows" were nauseating. RDU didn't dip below 61 from Dec 23rd through the 28th. Where I was at visiting my parents was even worse. KFAY had back-to-back days of 80/67 on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day. It was humid the whole time too, with plenty of gnats and mosquitoes.
  12. 16 degrees in my back porch and frozen pipes on second floor bathroom. Might be ripping open a wall tonight.
  13. Another cold night tonight; BOX has me at 8F wonder if we dip lower?
  14. AIEPS not as strong as the EPS, so does one hold more weight over the other?
  15. True by 65 with a 20-30 mph on March 15th is kind of annoying.
  16. If only skipping ahead to late March weather could get us to spring early. Meanwhile, it is still winter in the northeast. Quite a respectable one for them so far.
  17. Well snow measuring is an inexact science and probably the most difficult variable we routinely measure. It’s difficult to standardize measurements. And yeah, human error can really increase the errors as well.
  18. I pray that you are wrong But I Suspect you are right
  19. True! It's still "civilized" at that time of year if you're warmer than normal! I still remember Dec. 2015, we had like a +9 departure for the month, ridiculous warmth (though it didn't feel overly uncomfortable at that time of year)...and I was thinking thank God we didn't get a +9 in July!!!
  20. March 15 to April 15 is like literally the only time of the year where I enjoy AN temps lol
  21. Well, I can do without 80s in March (though won't be the least bit surprised if we hit that at some point then)! We go well above 80 (or 90!) plenty of times each year already! But I'm with you, would be nice to score at least one really good warning-level event this season. Personally, I'd also like to see a modest March snow as well. And I'd like to see February into the first part of March remain generally BN. Agree as well! I know several in here are bummed that we got a ton of sleet from our one major event (rather than all snow) and feel it's all been a waste somehow. But I've liked the amazingly consistent cold and snow cover that literally has not diminished in 2 full weeks now due to that cold (and the layer of solid ice on top). I can literally walk on top of the ice layer and it's as if I'm walking on regular pavement (though more slippery, of course!), without sinking into it. It's actually rather easy to walk on.
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