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Looks like Monday maybe?
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What a radar to wake up to. Hallelujah
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Weather World reSnspdtoom9a1h0l2t5tga956flm01hhu1484t9tg71flilt05i0u6u12hc · After some big temperature swings over the past 5 weeks, we see minimal big heat for Pennsylvania through mid-July. We also see regular opportunities for rainfall (every few days) during this period -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Maybe some decent tstms SNE if the low passes far enough N.
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What about the supercells and TOR warnings in MA? Not a complete fail.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Maybe there is hope for rain. But usually as the time gets closer the amounts go down. So we'll see what happens. -
Went stein at 00z. Ticked north 6z.
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I was up in the Adirondacks yesterday and got pummeled. Tornado watches, extremely heavy rain, and crazy wind for hours. That was fun...
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Wasn’t GFS showing 1”+?
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Monday could be an interesting setup near the low track which is all over the place. Gfs is likely tossed.
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NNE wasn’t a question. SNE hype failed and we knew. If you look the rt 2 north area worked out well. Congrats to the old barns and maples in VT.
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RDU set yet another record high yesterday, 99. This is the ***16th*** record high set in 2026 and is made even more notable by passing the old record of 15 record highs set in a calendar year (2007), keep in mind it is only June. If you think this has been a hot start to the year, it has now become historic for Raleigh! And we still have the second half of the year and raging El Niño, this year will possibly see the record double.
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NE Gaston County, NC. We're getting significantly underforecasted rain (thank goodness) and LLM's are largely to blame, by my opinion. My gut feeling about the "ice storm" with perfect dendrites was correct. Almost everyone got it wrong - and I have a degree in nothing! I'm doing the whole monitoring of the motion of the clouds, any vorticity/etc., electrostatic perception wizard way of doing things now and it's working. Can't explain it but I brag lol All I use now is radar returns, and my mind just bends even without the proper education (though I did do a lot of thermodynamic, electric/fluid flow dynamics and won each one back in college)* *Which I dropped out of Enjoy it, everyone! The heavier stuff JUST NOW started falling here too.
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Oh for crying out loud, lol Subscriber bait! I mean a historically strong niño just sounds like a torch to oblivion year without a winter to me, smh
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Never received even a sprinkle down here northern Waynesboro... 2nd time past 24 hours that occurred with a blob completely evaporating after appearing to be a cant miss...
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Not surprised we dont have a summer thread. VT is boring.
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1.3 mi path spinner moves thru 3 states!
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Euro weeklies have it around the 2nd week of July -
A buddy of mine is running the Highlands 40 through Dolly Sods this weekend, and a few of us non-runners got to our weekend rental a couple of hours ago. Absolutely spectacular night. I drove and though the others have gone to bed, i still need a little more time to relax and unwind after the drive. One more wee dram of whiskey on the porch should do it.
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Thanks for a personal experience report! Makes 95 w/ a 70 dew point feel "great", right?
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
For obvious reasons, I’m taking this with a humongous grain and thus assume this won’t verify closely: -
Experienced that in Kuwait several times. It can be dry as a bone and a few hours later the muck rolls in with winds off the gulf (Yes, normally in the mornings but not always). The humidity can be so thick when we'd go from the air conditioned comfort of an office building outside our phones would immediately sweat moisture all over the phone. It became a necessity to use an external cell phone holder to avoid a wet spot on your pants. (It's funny for about 5 mins and then gets to be a royal PITA) The humidity and Heat Index (HI) in India was a challenge also when the monsoon season rolled in (lived there 3 years). The HI was routinely off the charts for most western forecasting. The temps would "relax" from the 118-122 range in late May to a "mere" 108-114 or so with the humidity. Taking 3 showers a day was the norm.
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I count approx 90 wind reports for New England today. Not something CoastalWx can just go "MEH!" LOL. Looks like we have at least one spinner. I was thinking 1-2 spinners for the event all along. As WxWiz said, event about as expected. Limited CGs makes sense given the low CAPE. Funny, almost like a cool season event b/c of the high shear/low CAPE and limited LTG! So a victory for the models and pattern recognition well in advance.
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You can definately see the environmental wind shear from the cloud motions at different levels!
