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Have you plotted them when there isn’t a strong PNA? A mean will miss anomalies or exceptions to a rule.

Definitely thought the Xfinity and Budweiser commercials were the best, though I only caught a couple parts of the first half.

But you’re acting like we can’t snow with a shitty pacific. Early in the season the season that’s true. Back when I looked at every 5”+ Baltimore snow I did note there are almost no December or early Jan snows without PNA EPO help. None. But Feb and March have a ton of snows with a hostile EPO PNA. And in most of those it was a setup very similar to this. A split flow and The Atlantic helped suppress a pac wave that ejected from the southwest and it had to work with marginal pace puke air. None of them were cold storms. Some were storms where it was 50 the day before and after the storm and it snowed with temps of 33 degrees during the storm. But we had a ton of those storms. Now I have also noted there been extinct for a while now. And the last several examples of an attempt at these ended up perfect track rainstorms. One was that storm around the Super Bowl in 2023. These haven’t been working anymore. Lately the pacific puke air masses have been too warm to overcome even when a storm is suppressed under us. It’s just a 38 degree rainstorm. Maybe that’s the new reality. Maybe I’m stubborn and don’t want to admit this doesn’t work anymore because some of these storms were my favorites. Wet snow paste bombs in otherwise garbage patterns. Take a look at the Feb 1987 storm. The pac was utter garbage but the Atlantic forces that wave under us and we had a snowstorm with temps of like 32-34 degrees the whole storm! Also historically you can’t use the same heights the overall heights are much much higher now. A +250 ridge in 1960 would be a +400 now!

No thanks to huggers with a retreating high.

0z ICON just Rain.

They've done that with accumulation amounts during the past 2 storms, too. Start high and then go down, slowly.

2000 Ravens defense did even better than that

2000 Ravens drfense did even better than that

I love late season huggers....ocean is tame and CF comes inland. Hopefully we get it close.

The greatest defense in the Super Bowl era, and I'm not a fan of the team, was the Pittsburgh Steelers "steel curtain" defense of the 70s. They held the Minnesota Vikings to 119 total yards in a 16-6 win in SB 9.

I wish i graduated eight grade. I don’t even have a kindergarten diploma.

Not much of a fight.

Congratulations Mike Mac!!! WELL deserved!

This has nothing to do with morality, it has to do with the degradation of women that has become acceptable in this Country. It’s sickening.

I remember growing up that it was always warmer there until the lake froze and then it would be absolutely brutal with the wind coming off the lake.

And 12z will have it in NC.

How bout those Hawks! F the Pats!! They can go enjoy their snow instead.

0Z ICON has a low moving through the Ohio Valley bringing a wintry mix quickly changing over to rain this weekend.

If you plot N. Pacific ridges most extreme, in that spot, there is a Day-0 effect. I've done it before, gone through the whole dataset and made custom indexes. There is a Day-0 correlation. It's strongest 2-3 days later, but there are rising heights in the SE right as the N. Pacific ridge starts setting up. Plot it sometime. Either way though, the PNA is going negative in the next few days.

But what’s happening out in the central pacific hasn’t impacted the North America longwave pattern YET. It will. We are going to pay the price for that ridge out there eventually. The nao might mute it some but payment will come due. But what’s happening over N Amerca matters more. That ridge out there matters because it will cause the next pac trough to really dig and amplify into the west. THAT is what will jump a ridge in the east. There are steps. Because the antecedent pattern was good and there is some residual blocked nature to the N Amer flow the downstream impacts are delayed some, not as immediate as in recent years when things were already bad and that kind of ridge would torch is right quick. But there the location and depth of the trough our west is similar to the Hudson Bay high comp. Yes the central pacific ridge is different but they only matters once it causes the pna to tank imo.

-12 in the valley here, at MVL.. radiators mount up locally. -18F at HIE. The vibe was brutal cold this evening. Wind blowing over the ridge, accelerating down the slope and through the east side, in this deep cold.

I still like you, even if you do act like you are in eighth grade lol. Just stop with the fake outrage when it comes to 'morals'. I mean, come on dude. Your shtick here is antithetical.

We have -PNA 3-4 days before that, it's not +450dm, but there is a ridge with trough over top. You see this starting to effect us in the next few days, as we warm up to 40s in +EPO. After that, I'm going to say there isn't any cold air reinforcement, it's not actually 1-2-3 with WC trough either, sometimes you will have a SE ridge without the 2nd part, but either way there is WC trough to some extent after 1st part of PNA establishes. It's just not a good pacific pattern man. It's not because of "our luck and global warming", it's a really easily identifiable pattern anomaly in the pacific.

Looking forward to seeing the celebrations in Seattle. Do they grease the street poles too?

But that comp would also show a massive -pna trough along the west coast. THAT is what causes the ridge in the east. It hasn’t happened YET there. It’s coming. A day later and then 2 days after that yes the east will ridge. Not every situation is the same. You’re ignoring that the central pacific ridge has not yet had the downstream impact on the pna that comes BEFORE what happens here. You’re just applying a general mean. Well if that was the case we might as well always say it won’t snow because snow is an anomaly not normal and not the likely outcome ever.