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  2. Back to 1995-6, lowest SOI plunges -ENSO/lagged NYC wx -52 on 2/17/17: MB 3/10-18 and 9.7” -49 on 12/10/12: B 12/26-1/3 and 0.4” -47 on 12/19/95: MB 1/2-12 and 25” -47 on 2/2/13: B 2/7-10 and 11.4” -44 on 12/4/25: ??? -39 on 12/14/01: 12/30-1/2 MB/0” -34 on 1/19/17: 2/9-10 B/9.4” -31 on 11/7/22: 11/14-21 MB/0” The above tells me that IF there’s possibly any partial correlation of a strong -SOI during -ENSO to cold and/or snow at NYC, it’s not until 1-4 weeks afterward. A period of very heavy snow and/or MB temps occurred 1-4 weeks after 6 of the 7 sub -30 cases.
  3. Same ole Great lakes tracks. It's cold/dry to warm/wet and back to cold dry. Horrible pattern for snow here. Maybe in January when storm track drops south we'll get something but this is a crappy pattern.
  4. Would rather have snow the last week of December rather then the first week - many times when it has snowed early in the month it warms up towards the end of the month and its mild with no snow on the ground Christmas week .........last year was considered to be a "White Christmas" believe it or not with the little snow that was on the ground in most areas of the immediate metro...........This year the falling SOI and the fading LaNina supported by MJO in phase 8 should activate the southern jet BUT all the players on the field have to align just right to produce a snowstorm here........also another Strat warming event is going to unfold the second half of the month so this pattern should extend well into January.............
  5. This is quite likely the very BEST signature line I have ever seen on this sub in YEARS! LMAO!
  6. Good for you! My late Dad always told me there is more to Life than cold and snow and foolishly piling it up.
  7. I’m off to oversleep and miss the heavy snow band!
  8. Rest/Playing catch-up on sleep deprivation during a snow FUTILITY MARKERS... So many times, when I lived in Dale City - I'd catch a nap during a storm. 1) Oversleep, mainly from way too much watching of the models, and 2) This is invariably the time when the heavy snow band wrecked Dale City - RIGHT WHEN I WAS FAST ASLEEP. Plenty of post-nap anger and disillusionment, over missing the heavy dendrites. More will be added. It's best to overdose on coffee and uppers if necessary. Do whatever it takes to stay awake until the very last flake has fallen. Snow in the Mid Atlantic is RARE. Last ten seasons have been instructive. Otherwise, sleep like Rip van Winkle, wake up in 2037 then head for Mammoth Mountain Ski resort. It snows HARD for days and days as most of the moisture in the greater Pacific Ocean falls as snow there and winds gust over 100 mph at times. You'll get your fix and you won't be jonesing as bad for snow. Better yet, MOVE there, sleep all you want. They get 400 inches each season. You won't regret this! https://www.mammothmountain.com/
  9. Didn’t you ski with a bunch of us at the Berkshire East weenie gathering, when you were still rocking stand up alpine skis? Seems like yesterday, but that was a long time ago I guess.
  10. Off to get a nap, will report back later.
  11. Reapers NEVER retire. You need to be posting every day. You are The Reaper. You are out of retirement and back on the Beat, effective right now. Because it's not snowing in the Sierra and I am eying The Ledge.
  12. Snowing solidly where I am now in Farmville, VA
  13. It has been a busy week, but it’s a 40 ft walk and an electric chainsawing away for dried, seasoned wood in the wood stove.
  14. Today
  15. Looked close, and JUST right at an inch at 12:45. That is 90 minutes to make an inch. Currently 29.9/27.5 with snow falling.
  16. Looking like we’ll struggle to squeeze an inch. Onto the next. The good news is that there seems to be several upcoming swings at the plate.
  17. Euro has a nice small event for the 12/13th
  18. I mean, we really couldn't have asked for better at this stage
  19. Sleet in Gibsonville, NC
  20. Snowing steady now in Waynesboro, car and roof topper so far....
  21. Flurries or sprinkles for some. Maybe something more significant towards late week.
  22. So I take it the GFS showed nothing for Sunday night?
  23. gonna call it a night now. set an alarm for 4:30 to watch the snow fall. i'm betting on the fact that FCPS will cancel eventually
  24. Light snow has started at Staunton/Waynesboro with 30.3 degrees.
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