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When I found this house, it had been sitting empty on the market for almost three years. The couple that built it in 2007 were in their late-50's at the time and decided to retire here from Illinois because they enjoyed their yearly summer vacations to the area so much. Turns out, after two winters they would not face a third. He couldn't keep up with the amount and frequency of the snow at his age, and she fell into a deep depression during the winter months... ended up moving to Colorado Springs. I will never forget what the man said to me at closing in a weirdly ominous tone, I remember thinking at the time, "Just remember, if the forecast is calling for 1-3 feet, you're the 3". Almost 13 years later and I'm still here. A great looking day here, sunny 65/29 w/ a light breeze.

A couple of dustings and a little freezing drizzle in December, after that absolutely nothing, not even any false alarms, due to continuous warmth (dewpoints above 60 on January 8!!)

That’s surprising. It’s been a very productive event up here so far. No wasted clouds with excessive humidity. It’s amazing what having a fetch of moisture from the Gulf can do. This next batch is gonna be Round 3 for Frederick.

Whoops I meant 97-98, lol What was the number that year?

It’s just getting started.

Yep, the big 0.25. You think Drizzlefest '26 will get us to 0.5 total?

12z CMC trended better for summer enthusiasts ... it's something.

Another .75 inch here. 1.5 for the last 2 days. I have been in a good spot. I am sure that I will move out of the good spot eventually.

Bring on the derecho’s.

Thanks for the stats! So a small one site sample shows: - 40 years since the last monthly record low. - 92 years since a monthly record low during meteorological winter. Since 1998 5 monthly record warm readings but none of those during meteorological summer all were during meteorological winter. Of course NYC temperatures during the summer are skewed low since equipment was moved from out in the open to the middle of a thicket. Hard to envision a monthly record low in NYC until the next climate shift to cooler occurs from whatever the cause of that may be. Volcanic? Next natural climate shift? Something more drastic?

Checked the local Mesonet. Event cumulation totals have reached the geometric growth phase. We are almost up to 0.25" now...lol.

75F is a good temp if you sit on your lawnmower. If you are pushing the lawnmower and walking behind it, 75F is about 10-15 degrees too warm.

Yea, precipitation is the problem from your area into NNE....temps pretty near equally as correlated to snowfall here...close. Slight hedged towards precip from my area near the NH border and on up.

97-98

@bluewaveIs that you?

Models, as usual, overdoing the precip totals. Same was in winter..

They will be our only winter this year

Sky growing darker. Looks like it's raining more heavily.

So let's go ahead and use the adjusted NCEI average annual temperatures for Chester County PA from NCEI this century. These are the adjusted altered figures Charlie....what does this tell us? Even after adjustments by NOAA PHL is indeed warming almost 70% faster than Chester County PA - the PHL UHI is a problem even NOAA shows it....

This is for Somerville, NJ Baseline Type Years Covered Average Annual Precipitation Recent 5-Year Baseline 2021–2025 49.38 in Recent 10-Year Baseline 2016–2025 50.13 in Recent 20-Year Baseline 2006–2025 49.71 in Official 30-Year Normal 1991–2020 47.77 in Older 30-Year Normal 1981–2010 45.49 in Key Takeaway Even with the extreme, record-setting dryness of 2025 dragging the numbers down, the 5-year average is still 1.61 inches higher than the official 30-year climate normal. This highlights how intensely wet the "wet years" have become to keep the overall baseline elevated. Also, for the 1st time in recorded history the 10 year avg broke 50" We can use some dry years here and there. My backyard is alot less swampy!!

Woke up to rain again this morning. Third day in a row with rain. I've received about 3/4 of an inch so far.

Yikes its pretty much the best ones here are the worst ones there and vice versa.

We are starting to see guidance latch onto a highly anomalous ridge over Canada going into next weekend, which is a key part of the pattern we saw in May/June 2023 as well. It is plausible wildfire season could start to take off in Canada as a result.

Bad assumption only using the warmest station which is Phoenixville 1E - to better determine the true Chesco average you should add in the nice mix we have today of high and low elevations to capture the true average Chester County average temperature. Heck the averages I derive from these stations is in reality supports almost exactly the calculated average temperatures posted by NCEI on their site for their recent Chester County PA average temperatures. If NCEI develops an average temperature for the county that is statistically the same as what I calculate from the raw stations. See below since 2004. NCEI must think the mix of stations I use is strong correct?