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I just remembered that I bared my soul on this 15 or 20 years ago on my website. The page is still there. Some of this will probably have changed (and the MS office versions definitely have), but it's a reasonable representation of my unsound methods: https://www.northshorewx.com/Utilities/ClimateTemplates.html

The Rufus is similar, and a bit south with the snow line, to the other hi-res models. The Rufus is supposed to replace the NAM and NAM 3k at some point. The Rufus has 1.5 inches across downtown Knoxville.

I liked this one for a long time and it’s turning nice but really never went away in my mind. Can one of you get some graphics on where this cold air mass ,for Friday, is and what it looks like ? Ji you called it!! Maybe the Ji53 storm?

Looking at the date on that snowfall map I'm gonna say total snowfall

That would work, but then I would have to continually manually update formulas in many columns in multiple worksheets with the hardcoded number of years. The summary, average and record sheets already require a fair amount of exactly that each year. I'm sure there's a better (less manual) way but I always seem to have higher priorities. I use the NY standard "T". It also stands for Tariff

Holy crap!! Now that's early!! Lol

Is that storm total or total at the time and still snowing?

Definitely Gfs is showing a very active pattern. Alot of us have to be patient.

The NAM, HRRR and RAP all look somewhat similar now.

we've had september-october winter cancel calls before.

Wow I thought it was kinda early for him. But after the string of horrible snow starved winters that a lot of us had .. who can really blame him lol TBH!

Hit 27.8 which is coldest of season for midnight or sooner . Some thin clouds now

Model trends seem good for increased amounts in central and western VA and the precip shield extending up to the metros.

this is actually pretty late for Ji - so another good sign.

GFS backed off too for most of NC

The 03z RAP looks similar to the 21z with a decent strip of 2-3 inches of snow in the same areas. The RAP and HRRR are more stark with rain or snow vs freezing rain or mix.

Canadian is also very similar to 12z. Maybe a hair drier.

FWIW the RAP is pretty juiced

Snowfall totals are submitted using the entry form. No one has access to edit the spreadsheet directly. Keeps the spreadsheet in pristine condition by making it read only (I have some experience with this). If something needs to be fixed because it was entered incorrectly, you can PM me and I can adjust it, though it will be when I have free time to take care of it. I went back through all my PM's and other than one new one from today, I have replied back with everyone's snowfall submission form links.

The consistency is insane. Precip identical to nearly the hundredth lol.

My name says it best....no snow for me...this crap is getting old!

Yes it is

Gfs is drier though

Lmaoo 3 days in ( only 72 hours since November ended )and someone already ready to throw in the towel on this winter lol

Yup. Ur right. Looks like GFS is literally identical to 18z... At least it didn't go south lol