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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Thoughts on today? I listed out some of my thoughts in the Discobs thread but do we have any hope of a boundary causing forcing?- 338 replies
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Hmm I'm not sure it's a wet pattern right now
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91F.. I'm usually like 5-7 degrees cooler than DCA, not today.
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Got nailed by a bowing segment at the workplace. Probably around 60 mph gusts. Power went out, generator has kicked in.
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We’re already over 2000 CAPE, -6 lifting index, 7.5 ML lapse rates, and lost 150 CIN in the past three hours. It sucks we have no shear or forcing because our thermodynamic parameters are really good! We even got 1200 DCAPE for severe winds. Maybe a bay breeze boundary can get parcels to the LFC?
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Thankfully peak heating doesn't kick in until well after the solstice
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Seabreeze enhancement?
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
high risk replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I'm on board for thunderstorms later Wednesday, but the upper level flow looks *really* weak which should reduce the severe potential. There may still be enough shear lower in the profile to get some wind threat, but the ceiling for this event looks to be low.- 338 replies
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Just 0.17" here early this morning. 0.59" 3 day total.
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I’ll settle for below average rain at this point by our normal standards. I’d be over the moon if we could just average a .25” per week at this juncture. .
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I like how at the end of its run we get days of summer storms. Hot and humid of course, but with daily storms is nice.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Seeing most reports between 55 mph and 65 mph as that line moves through NE IL/NW IN.
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Low 90s over mid 60s in most places right now. Warm.
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Question is...who will build it? Actually it seems there has been a renewed interest lately about where it may be...a site in Turkey is being looked at again.
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GGEM same
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It’s ok to post “AWT”
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Nice timing too. Right around 18z plus more westerly flow in the BL vs onshore.
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The RRFS is decent too, just a bit later with timing
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Borderline big heat tomorrow. As expected ... headlines now flying. Prooobably 94 to 95? 95+ is sort of the "unofficial" "big heat" criteria. But it probably really should go by the HI values.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
LVblizzard replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
About to land in Philly after spending a week in Ireland with mid 50s and a strong breeze. Adjusting to this heat won’t be fun. -
Yeah I thought Nam was decent too. I don’t think it’s widespread, but probably a couple of segments in the line that get strong.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
TheDreamTraveler replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
92 already at 1 PM. Dew point around 63 so isn't the worst but definitely a little bit uncomfortable
