All Activity

you never know but this does not look super great but its not shut the blinds i guess

Yeah, seems to be a bit of a step back from 12z. Not gonna get it done for our latitude

I agree. But it's not colder.

Much more consolidated vort on 18z than 12z Gfs at 120hrs

I'm not sure everyone would agree. By the way, the two charts you posted show NYC's warmest period and one of Raleigh's coldest. It still says something about how NYC has warmed, but is a stretch for the subtropical argument.

Afternoon update from the Climate Prediction Center regarding snow potential in the 7 to 14 day time frame.

Interesting. I don't know how a park could have a warmer microclimate than surrounding urban neighborhoods. Doesn't make much sense.

By comparison, Orlando is pretty close to true tropical thresholds in recent years. Over the past 15 years, only January has dropped below the 18C/64.4F threshold. And only by a few degrees.

Leave it to Ji to smack us back to reality lol

So GFS so far seems just a hair flatter out west with the ridging.

Well that's a couple weeks out still hopefully models come around lol

too bad the models dont show this!

And the most important GFS run until 00z lol

Those places are not warmer (except for the subway grate scenario)

Ditto

That does look very promising!!

Hell yeah

Anywhere outside of the park where people actually live? Lol.

Just piles. We’ll all be starting from a clean slate in SNE.

Buffalo trace also celebrating a bit of good news on my wife

I don't know... comparing to Orlando is comparing one extreme to the other. Recent means aren't substantially different than late 20th century norms at Raleigh-Durham, North Carolina, and I think everyone would agree on that being classed as subtropical. Certainly much closer to that than a true continental climate of say Minneapolis.

No denying the recent winter warmth in the park, but I'm not sure where you will find a more urban environment. Maybe on top of a subway vent.

Anyway… my pack is about completely erased besides crusty driveway banks. How’s everyone’s doing?