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Apparently, we've already experienced the worst of the winds in our area according to the discussion. The aviation forecast doesn't seem to agree with that idea I expected a little more in the wind department, but i'm not complaining.. Not sure if anyone caught the sunset last night ,but for my pov, it was quite beautiful. It wasn't the most vibrant, but It was very Mackereled and marbled with textures ,soft pinks and blues. I couldn't help but to think of the great Bob Ross. Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 440 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... * No more wind advisory threat. * Bumped PoPs up over the western half of the CWA today. * Lowered dewpoints (again) today. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Nor`easter filling as it sits along the NJ coast. 2) Tranquil conditions expected for the first half of next week with a slight warming trend emerging across the region. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1: Nor`easter filling as it sits along the NJ coast. The nor-easter center is just off NJ and will circulate back to the shoreline before sliding to the east and north later tonight and Monday. It is already starting to fill and will do so very slowly today and as it moves away. The wind and gusts will start to decrease a bit through the daylight hours, and will do so even more tonight. The loosening pressure gradient will mean that the threat for nearing wind advisory criteria over any of our counties is all but over. We did knock a couple degs off the dewpoints for today as the NBM has been consistently too high over the past 2-3 days. Despite this, the bands of rain should go farther to the west than Sat - so we bumped the PoPs to categorical for most of the CWA east of route 219. The rain may not quite reach the ground in the western layer of zones, but some hit the ground locally despite the lower-than-forecast dewpoints on Sat. Cool air is locked in, and maxes will be only 55-65F - coolest NE. QPF is looking heaviest just about where it was on Saturday - the Lower Susq. Someone might pick up another inch, but most likely not. Even so, the FFG is high enough to not have flooding even be a thought. Conditions will improve tonight and Monday morning. By noon Monday, there should only be isolated --SHRA over the NE and the wind will not be notable. Temps rise slightly from Sun, but will still be cooler than normal. ----------------------------------------------------------- KEY MESSAGE 2: Tranquil conditions expected for the first half of next week with a slight warming trend emerging across the region. Dry conditions will continue into Thursday as the front anticipated to be arriving late Wed/night will be delayed for a day or so. It will pick up some moisture from the remnants of Polo. But, that precip probably stays to our W until Thursday. All model guidance trends towards a warming trend in this timeframe, with above-average temperatures prevailing area wide for the balance of the week. Someone may hit 80F before Friday. Details on timing and intensity of rainfall are not easy to pin down at this range and with the upcoming pattern. So, we`ll just make a gradual increase in PoPs Fri-Sat-Sun. && .AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... It appears that dry conditions will prevail overnight for most, with the bulk of model guidance keeping ceilings above VFR. The main concern for the rest of tonight will be LLWS at eastern TAF sites as surface winds decrease to less than 10 knots while winds at 2000 feet remain around 40 knots. Rainfall appears to be more widespread after 15Z with the the nor`easter closer to the NJ Coast. This will bring a higher potential for lower ceilings and visibilities across much of the region. Ceilings and visibility should deteriorate throughout the day, with IFR conditions possible at nearly every airfield by 00Z Monday. Any showers will be quite efficient and therefore could result in visibilities dropping below 3 statute miles (categorical IFR). There remains some uncertainty with how quickly ceilings will lower, but the combination of reduced visibility when showers are most numerous and lowering ceilings after showers weaken/dissipate give confidence in a lengthy period of restrictions Sunday afternoon through the overnight hours. The location of the Nor`easter will also lead to wind gusts exceeding 20-25kts across all of central Pennsylvania on Sunday; slightly stronger gusts are likely at KMDT and KLNS (up to 35kts possible).

Yes. I simply add the daily totalas. I think there's (or used to be) a way you could put in a range. Just as easy to add the days though.

60 degrees and we haven’t picked up any rain in the last 24 hours.

.78 total will we hit an inch?

Yeah, just toggle through the data. https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMAATTLE147/table/2026-09-27/2026-09-27/weekly

Many of them were over 4” last evening I saw.

Ok here we go, this is great to see. We've been waiting for the recurving typhoons to show up and now it sure seems like they very well could be. We had that one occur what about a week ago now albeit not very impressive at all. My read on that one was I took it as a baby step. Now we have another one slated to do so. Typhoon Surigae. Beyond this one. It looks like chances are pretty good for another one to follow in about another week's time. As most models as of this morning give that impression. Sending these into the north pacific adds the fuel to help fire an Aleutian low. Wouldn't you know it, we're seeing a semblance of one on ensembles now. I don't think these things are unrelated and it will be really interesting to follow this. Feels right on time during October too.

Are you finding the PWS with weather underground? How do you get a event total ? Do you select weekly and add the totals?

Strongest winds appear to be across Long Island and Connecticut now with gusts in the mid-upper 40s mph range. 44 mph at JFK and 49 mph at Farmingdale. This is based off of the 6am NWS Obs roundup.

I see 4.5” at PWS just up the street.

Spots in Wareham are over 4". Seems to be the jackpot.

Rains have been unrelenting. Heavy nonstop. Must be closing in on 4”

2.10 inches storm total so far at my station

At the moment, the nearby PWS are showing event totals showing 5.64".and 5.26. We wet.

Still gusting 40-45.

Yeah lots. Must be over 6” down towards south coast. Gonna be near 4” soon.

Rain?

Hello central Vermont!

Getting slammed

3.65"

Road survived the night, but barely.

Anyway, in other news pseg long island is struggling badly, we'll over 22,000 people without power ruby now with well over 1,000 active individual outages! Looking at tide forecasts, we still have 1 big tide to go it looks like.