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We are NOWHERE near the stage to worry about it as our main issue but BL temps and daytime timing are concerned. BL temps have modified with each run across most guidance for a few cycles now. Thankfully upper levels seem really good for the setup

So what’s our next window? Jan 25 for a potential SWFE?

I thought you were getting a prius.

Never get too invested when the GFS is all alone.

The only thing getting crushed is your dreams on this one.

I do think it ticks NW but those will be ticks on the EURO. Inside 3 days to see the euro which has been rock steady comparatively to other modeling just jump 200 miles west would be shocking m. I do think you see them meet in the middle somewhat

Think a dusting for many is still likely Saturday. Maybe someone gets 1”. The Ukie’s 3-4” area seems long gone.

Brutal hobby

Of course models back off any snow for this stuff too. Man it’s rough

it’s important for us to live our truths

Nice, more reason for me to wish for them to lose every season

Eric Webb also seems to think this thing has plenty of reason to move NW as we get closer. We shall see.

6z GEFS, not a bad run but a big step back from 0z.

I still think Central NC is in a great spot. The fact that hasn’t really changed in 24 hours is both concerning and exciting.

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That NAM run was delivered with the Jaws music

Womp womp womp. 6z GFS, full on, all out cave to the EPS. Who didn’t see that one coming?

Feast or famine. Goofy vs Dr No. Who’s gonna be the winner? Stay tuned to see how the model madness plays out

6z icon was pretty solid for central NC but not western areas. Still huge improvement overall though

GFS with a rather large jump back east. Euro remains about where it’s been. One models staying steady and the other is jumping around 100 miles each run.

Best part of never being in the game....no heartbreak when the rug pull comes.

Good morning NAM! .

GEFS also east but not surprised after seeing the op

You aren't looking at the whole energy picture. China's use of existing coal plants is dropping. The next few years will tell the tale. Which will slow first in China, new coal or renewable construction? In any case China's energy strategy is much more realistic than ours. They have less fossil fuel and renewable resources than we do, yet their energy is abundant and cheap. We are are in energy denial, betting on a horse that is falling further and further behind every day. https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-coal-power-drops-in-china-and-india-for-first-time-in-52-years-after-clean-energy-records/

Kinda saw that coming. A bit more in line with the rest of guidance for now. We got time. Watch the Euro make a big shift NW over the next few runs lol.