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A mix of rain ,sleet, and snow in Rainthuen...

Quite a few catpaws and some sleet. Little slush on the pavement. Took the dog behind the house today, about 90% snow covered still and found a tick. Things would survive a nuclear winter.

18z Euro lol. I can't recall that type of evolution, though I'm not super studied on the specific historic analogs etc.

Here we need to be on the Northern side of a big amount of snow early, with tons of room for movement. If we are too close to the cutoffs, we can easily get missed to the north. We do not have much cushion on this one.. that vort has to dig.. We need a big dig.. BIG.. and just far enough west to turn right. If we complicate this any (as we are now) we will need to bet on fail...

Euro still wants to open that 516 up too quickly. Each run though keeps it closed later and later.

Smashed his throwing hand early in the game too. No way he was 100%. Puka didnt do too bad either. They are a balanced squad.

The ULL in interior Quebec is more of an impediment to trof amplification than the shortwave near North Dakota IMO.

Tomorrow is too early for being definitive imho. Monday at least.

Reminds me a lot of last year late year when there'd always be a 3-5" system on the 10 day and then it'd never materialize. Seems to be happening a lot this month. Here's to hoping for a snowy end of Jan and all of Feb. Once March rolls around, I'm ready to get back outside.

It definitely looked in forecasts from early this week that today would be a taste of spring, but that idea disappeared by midweek.

that 18z gfs op was wintry vibes. it's been a solid winter tbh lol

Looks like more will be circulating through.

In non weather news Bob Weir of the Grateful Dead just passed away. I was not a Deadhead but did get the chance to see them a couple of times with some friends in the early 80's. I thought they were great when I did see them and I always loved Bobs vocals. Another legend gone, I can't even keep track anymore but at least the music lives on.

Hell of a game. Stafford so clutch. MVP.

Lol, they updated it with No update. Their forecast discussion says updated 723 pm, but it must have been just a short term update. No mention in the discussion or grids of Thursday or Friday storm chances. It’s going to be a shock to some of the general population if the GFS or Euro were to verify.

In fairness it's harder to snow there than it is here, also they did soar into the 70s while our warmup was muted.

If by this time tomorrow the Euro is still moving towards GFS how on board would you be?

That's because the 15th/16th goes of the NC coast and pushed OTS. They will receive snow.

But there is some movement toward it vs away, which makes it a little harder to disregard the Gfs completely imho.

A few miles from there

We all know the drill, when the GFS is showing a big storm without support in a marginal airmass, it’s most likely not correct. But hey, u never know!!

Let’s go Panthers!

The looks are pretty but we only have the GFS and like 100hr old runs of the ICON. Can’t say we weren’t warned if/when we get nothing

I remember the heady days of dec 17, 2009 every time they issued a new storm warning update, the snow total forecast increased another 6" over the last issue. Seems like a lifetime ago. I was never so excited to hit the refresh button on my browser.

I also remember how good EPS looked last February a week out. Maybe the reverse will happen this time.