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Today's storm is busting much snowier in the Detroit area. They were suppose to get flurries, and now have 4"

My daughter said I should draw something on her doodle board. Yall think it avoids the east coast? Close shave at a minimum. .

The Accu Weather long range forecast (which will undoubtedly change daily) must have bought into a colder scenario for the city. The first above 56 temperature is forecasted for the day after St Patrick’s on March 18th. Stay well, as always …

Just looking at the euro quickly while I was driving looks like it ticked west some.

Eerily similar to late January 2015 when the predecessor event dropped 1-3 inches of wet glop that Friday night into Saturday morning, and then the big dog came back west on the 0z Euro that night/early morning. Of course nothing is ever identical, and not saying 2015 is walking in, but has a similar feeling, and similar look. With an extended look that looks promising as well. Just some observations that are similar to close to the same timeframe from 11 years ago. If anything perhaps just a week earlier this go around, compared to the start of 2015.

Oh boy!

A range of 27-67 can be anticipated as examples

So does that actually make a difference in the accuracy of modeling? (I'm assuming it does?)

That happens at 84 hours out when the satellites cross the poles at the second lagrangian point in space

The energy has not been properly sampled because it’s not onshore yet.

Brother it is rippin. 5” so far and 2” more for every hour this bad boy hangs outz

Love these post with no context. How about post the images lol

Lol But I am curious...is that actually a thing?

14 isn't bad either

When do we do the weenie "s/w will be better sampled soon"?

The predecessor wave drops 1-3” Saturday PM across most of interior SNE/CNE

EPS SE of 12z with precip. So frustrating lol.

Wow, clouds FTL in the Valley. We managed 44°.

Hopefully a pre cursor event just like 2014…. valentines 2014 is one that’ll live in lore for a long time.

That was objectively a nice move. Need another one.

Yes, the mean is well west and into the E TN valley. No idea if it can get this far, but you can see the jog. You asked if this could jog northwest. I do believe the trough could verify north of where it is show currently. If so, this shifts the track.

Yeah. It’s rare to see a forecast bust that bad these days. Although my yard only had about an inch from this system, it was still a surprise. I wasn’t expecting much snow this morning and next thing I knew it was snowing very hard around 8am. I looked at the radar and there was snow developing all over the SE quarter of the state and I thought then that the forecast could be a bust.

That's the aifs

i read something by Eric Webb that there could be a significant NW shift in the final 24 hours

Let’s not get to overly confident…has work to do. But it has the time to do it. Still Not sure it makes it though.