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Breaking news … Highs of 74-82 in the first third of June! If those highs verified it would be slightly BN..

NAM is very wet

So the weekend is a washout.

It’s called summer. It does tend to get warm. I will install this weekend. Maybe I wind up using it next week.

Excessive Rainfall Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 333 PM EDT Thu May 29 2025 Day 2 Valid 12Z Fri May 30 2025 - 12Z Sat May 31 2025 ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR PORTIONS OF THE OHIO VALLEY AND MID ATLANTIC... ...20Z Update... Continued increases in the forecast rainfall from the 12Z guidance suite, sufficient instability for storms, ample upper level forcing from a strong shortwave that rapidly turns negatively tilted, and soil sensitivity due to recent heavy rainfall have all worked to increase the concern for flash flooding across portions of the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic Friday and Friday night. Generally, the convection will track from west to east...so the portion of the Slight in Kentucky really focuses on Friday morning, whereas the portion in northern New Jersey is primarily focused on after midnight Friday night. Soil sensitivity to flash flooding is high as soil moisture levels remain well above the normal for this time of year due to rain as recently as yesterday, and not including any shower and isolated thunderstorm activity probable around the DMV region the afternoon and this evening. Further, possible repeating rounds of heavy rain on Friday interacting with the terrain and full rivers should cause onset of flash flooding to occur sooner...closer to the rainfall start time...in these areas, making any potential flooding more hazardous in West Virginia. Further east, urban concerns will increase the potential impacts from flash flooding. The storms will also occur in the afternoon and evening, during the diurnal warmest time of day, which will add more instability for the storms to feed on. Given all of the above, have introduced a higher end Slight from eastern Kentucky to the Baltimore metro. The 12Z HREF suite shows an over 50% chance of exceeding 6-hour FFGs across the DMV. The Slight Risk area was expanded northeast across the Philadelphia Metro and much of northern New Jersey with this update. While the storms will impact this region Friday evening and into the overnight, here too recent heavy rainfall will make flash flooding more common compared to if the soils were dry. By Friday evening a coastal low will be rapidly forming, and so instability will be waning as the precipitation shield evolves into more of a comma shape, with the heaviest rains along the Delaware River on the cold/more stable side of the low. Nevertheless, remnant instability and long duration of rainfall will still cause widely scattered instances of flash flooding.

We told and told and told and ACATT said no.. it would be cold

https://x.com/ericfisher/status/1928182039733321946?s=46&t=096JqkIpgJTvSWddnDYqdA Fish has been hacked by someone in Tolland

So nice out right now, partly sunny and 75 Yikes at LWX talking about tomorrow night's rain: "Rainfall amounts of 1-2 inches are likely in the favored zone of forcing, but CAMs suggest localized totals over 4 inches are possible."

Don’t worry, they are now raping the land with solar farms. More dust storms on the way

Golf courses must not be off to a great year with all the rainy weekends. 2 months, at least down here pretty much down the tubes. A lot of momentum is built early.

I've only played owl's nest.

That sucks

Oh, Will doesn't seasonal this engagement based on user contribution and content... He leaves because he doesn't give a ratz azz about warm weather climo - unless it's ( probably...) something truly extraordinary, which this land that god forgot region of the planet doesn't seem to incur enough to waste his time. That's why the man opts out. Believe me ...there's just as much and probably actually more so in the way of bonehead squabbling and tedious nimrodery that goes on in the winter, too.

little TDS just southeast of Atlanta

The Great Barrington tornado

Frederick does a good job of site location and crowning the middle of the field. 2nd and 3rd grade playoffs start this Sunday

In Austin I saw a whole bunch of them downtown.

I mean, we have people claiming it’s been warm to this point and people still looking for a pixel of snow on 360 hour charts.

Yes. There were two with the supercell by Great Barrington, one in CT, another in NJ, and several across parts of PA.

Hour 360.

I am early to middle June every year.

Global warming should favor more high pressures, the problem is that the high pressures are happening at the mid-latitudes vs upper latitudes. I think we are still near a peak in the -PNA/-PDO.. it may take some time to wind down, but I do think something like a really active sun could create more low pressure systems (+PDO). The 2040s should be a really nice time with -NAO decadal and +PDO decadal, but by then the global temperature may have caught up. I don't see however how the warmth near Japan is global warming, it's not like they are giving off a lot of pollution. Maybe a slowing of ocean currents is warming the west side in the Pacific and Atlantic? PDO has been recorded to have many swings, so for now you might say it is a cycle we are in.

We may not get to question data that is objectively real.....but altered data that has made consistent chilling adjustments to data for almost every year from 1893 - 1999 and then turn around and warm most years since Y2K....Is objectively fake and not anywhere close to real.

that cell in SW CT produced an F1 too! nice looking velocity scan

I think I usually install last week of June.