All Activity

Sounds pleasant. Friday And Friday Night Partly cloudy. Highs 10 to 15. Lows around 10 below. Saturday Through Sunday Partly cloudy. Cold. Highs around zero. Lows around 20 below. Sunday Night And Monday Partly cloudy. Lows 10 below to 15 below zero. Highs around 10 above.

We just need consistency without major changes and we are in a really good spot. Arguably the best spot right now. We are far northeast enough to take full advantage of CAD and can do well in miller A/B hybrid, and far south enough to avoid missing out completely on some slightly suppressed looks

https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/auroral-activity.html

Yeah and then you rain. So I'd be more optimistic considering where you live.

As always I don’t know jack but I do feel like unless it’s a Jan 2016 situation we uh better hope that it starts

Anyone?

No hate on Miami but go Hoosiers.

Can someone post the weatherbell maps from hr 114 to 135 if it isn't too much trouble lol. I also hope we all get pounded with a decent winter storm this weekend

Cold rain for many.

we're getting closer now, and models are beginning to hone in on significant to potentially major snowfall across the mid-Atlantic. we have seen the AI models lead the way with the CMC, GFS, and ECMWF becoming a bit more aggressive. the AIFS and AIGFS have pared back a bit, but they were quite amped to start regardless, the pattern is favorable for someone to see MECS impacts... we have a very favorable synoptic setup for the MA with strong confluence due to an anomalous 50/50 ULL, a southern stream vort, deep Arctic air in place, and even a potential interaction with the northern stream. right now, the RIC to DC corridor is most favored to see 6"+, but that is certainly possible even into NYC given high ratios and the propensity for these systems to inch north towards game time. it will be important to see if, and where this stream interaction occurs, as it could have drastic impacts on how far north precip eventually gets good luck, and happy tracking! we will have more in the tank after this regardless

He makes no sense otherwise than wishcasting and riding the AI solutions because they put his backyard in a better position.

we're getting closer now, and models are beginning to hone in on significant to potentially major snowfall across the mid-Atlantic. we have seen the AI models lead the way with the CMC, GFS, and ECMWF becoming a bit more aggressive. the AIFS and AIGFS have pared back a bit, but they were quite amped to start regardless, the pattern is favorable for someone to see MECS impacts... we have a very favorable synoptic setup for the MA with strong confluence due to an anomalous 50/50 ULL, a southern stream vort, deep Arctic air in place, and even a potential interaction with the northern stream. right now, the RIC to DC corridor is most favored to see 6"+, but that is certainly possible even into NYC given high ratios and the propensity for these systems to inch north towards game time. it will be important to see if, and where this stream interaction occurs, as it could have drastic impacts on how far north precip eventually gets good luck, and happy tracking! we will have more in the tank after this regardless

Good catch. Euro may be trying to do that thing where it slows the storm down but it's longer in length and that allows everyone to win.

This is the most important trend for me today. Need to keep that southerly 850mb flow south of us. Hopefully the AIFS continues that trend.

Yeah I don’t think there is as much after 144 as many of you think if you look at this. It’s not like it’s climbing the coast and stalling out or something.

Yeah would you think 3-6 more minimum

yes buddy im not crying... i don't care nature gonna do what its gonna do i do think tripod jinxed it though and it's going to miss to our south

18Z euro only goes to 144. There was more coming.

The Euro has a less pronounced warm nose,it even looks better on the 18z,lets hope this dont change

you sure?

How can I know if the magnetic field has flipped?

I think we are homing in on a final solution man. See what I did there.

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im joking bro