All Activity

Hello - I interrupt this delightful descent into board madness with this very important Olympic news - on Peacock - you can get a quad box of live events and right now I have a quad box of live curling on and it is absolutely glorious.

Is this a rare double Fraud Five event?

All the way through March…

I been saying it for a while, need to stop paying attention to op models past day 3. They been awful.

I think the OP models are going to be spitting out different solutions for the next several days till they figure out the PAC energy crap

The model world has succumbed into KAOS during the past 6 hrs..................... Any semblance of run to run consistency has disappeared.

16th is well back into clown range so that’s of no help really. The 14th looks to be the 13th, then it’s the 15th, now it’s the 16th…it’s all over the place. So I think the 11th is the one to watch as of now. Has more support today... and is closer in time so obviously that is the favored one now.

How far west?

12 here

WWA issued for Yancey, Madison and Mitchell Counties above 3500ft.

AI dry too but for the overrunning thing.

My wife is making me go see her parents this weekend. We fly to Tampa Saturday morning...I'm sad I'll be missing the historic wind chill

Ji may be onto something. It's that baja low ejection shit

WB 12Z GEFS

We went from juice bomb cutters to precip as paltry as a met's salary. I'm giving Mdecoy a Climatologist Tag.

Last night's 0z Euro at 198hrs on top and 12z 186hrs on the bottom. Wtf has happened to the Euro?

Deep winter rolls on.

Good point! Im just trying to generate discussion. I know he’s always been very strongly cold-biased (due to a combo of his being a cold weenie plus cold’s much better for business/traffic/likes) and I’ve never been shy about saying so, but sometimes he ends up right. Could this be one of those times? Of course, I’m responding to a person who proudly prefers warmth based on nearly all of your recent posts and username. Nothing wrong with that, of course. Different strokes for different folks!

Upton issued an extreme cold watch

High wind watch caught me off guard. Hadn’t even paid attention to that threat.

this looks like a baja low ejection issue again 00z

I imagine we could see some heavy squalls with the Arctic front. Some local accumulations of up to 2" wouldn't surprise me.

107 PM EST Thu Feb 5 2026 ...EXTREME COLD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 0 to 10 degrees below zero possible east of the Blue Ridge, and as low as 15 degrees below zero west of the Blue Ridge. * WHERE...Portions of DC, central, north central, northeast, and northern Maryland, northern, northwest, and western Virginia, and eastern and panhandle West Virginia. * WHEN...From late Friday night through Sunday morning. * IMPACTS...The cold wind chills as low as 15 below zero could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is exposed to these temperatures. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Wind chills will remain at or below zero during the day on Saturday due to windy conditions and cold temperatures.

upon review of nooners, its wide open for what will happen next week. I think the relaxation will give us our first cutter and then force boundary further south for VD event. Not sure it works out for the weekend event, but several camps being formed. Ens guidance does lean warmish d7+ so there's that