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18z nam colder but more QPF...probably a little related. Nice scalping NoP.

pretty meh on qpf though

57. Glorious

18z NAM coming in colder

18z NAM is a pretty good ice storm for some

I was wondering how you got it so fast

Yeah... just edited my post. Pivotal sometimes does that for me as a new run is rolling. It reverts to the last one

alek is in your head too much.

Looks like a good opportunity for Wisconsin, Iowa, Minnesota, and Michigan to get some late season snow. Prospects for ORD hitting its average is dicey.

In which way?

12z?

NAM with a scalping here, followed by a bit of a happy ending Nevermind... Pivotal reverted to the 12z... 18z still rolling

50 at ORH. Torching and Tanning in Tolland.

have had quite a few big dogs imby over the last decade or so, very blessed

Such a fiesty little model. Too bad I don't trust it. Would be nice though

I think he means the AO and NAO are more important this time of year vs earlier in the season

55 here today with clear skies...alot of melting...tomorrow's 1.50 inches of rain will take care of alot of the rest

That’s Phil

And ftr, I do realize my data set is very limited, so not making huge extrapolations off of 5 years, just generally commenting on what has happened thus far.

We’re too far north for sun, too far south for clippers, too far east for upslope, and too far west for Miller Bs lol.

I've lived here for 5 winters now and we only cracked 30" twice even though our season average is roughly 37" give or take. While climate change can mean bigger storms, it also means warmer weather and I assume it's only going to get more difficult year after year to get the right combination. I would not be surprised to see the average snowfall for this decade fall several inches, unless something extreme happens in the remaining 3. 1 of which will be an El Nino. I'm also concerned by how dry it has been the majority of time I've lived here. Lived in the city proper prior, and don't honestly remember how wet/dry it was b/c I didn't have a yard or plants that needed watered. Since moving here, it has seemed the city has gotten some extreme rainfall events that were relatively localized and didn't affect us up here. I'm guessing heat island has something to do with that. While it's overall very depressing as a lover of all things winter, the extreme weather events will at least be exciting (unless/until they destroy my house). Didn't plan on going all Day After Tomorrow on you.......

That ptype map is messed up

We 50s here now. Beautiful day. Phenomenal year for snow retention though. We’re melting but good pack still on my property.

hrrr went wild.

18z HRRR looks fun