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18z euro ai has the storm. But it’s well off the coast.

Yep we only got 2 inches of snow out of a great pattern here so they dont always produce but just stating that we have seen better looks before and we shouldn't act like this is the best look ever. One thing that could make this year better with less cold is the possibility of an active STJ. It was quite weak all of last winter.

Lights flickered twice around 5:30 in West Hanover Township.

I will go on record as saying there is actually a bit more upside possible still with this one wrt the NAO region still showing some ridging and blockiness. Anyone saying I need to show more optimism, we'll, there ya go.

Thank god the 384hr gfs is always correct.

Hopefully the GFS is starting to get a clue now. The EPS looks pretty good especially towards the middle of the month.

Stay warm. Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

Buncho we have 6 hours to enjoy this. Go back to hr246.

the ending wave on the 18z GFS would be a cold rainstorm for most.

The January 8th/9th period is looking even more interesting. Great potential showing on the 12z Canadian & 18z GFS.

December 2009 repeat.

Real parties, not fake ones If this becomes a legit threat then let’s ride.

Pack took a brutal beating down at WXW1 but some of it held on.

How early was 2/6/10 depicted? 8 days?

Happy birthday to meeee(I think, I'm just off the edge of the map lol) Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk

"well guys, have we considered the worst possible outcome though?"

Lock it up

Well the heat wave finally hit. Bounced to 35.1. Maybe we get in on the back end snow flurry action here.

DCA snuck in a 61F before the front blew through.

All I care about now is a storm signal

You must be a blast at a party

Get a room you 2

18z GFS delivers for northern NC into VA

Okay...I gotta clear something up - if need be... But some of you appear focused on the colors of those non-hydrostatic charts? That peachy color over the Canadian archipelago and adjacent areas of higher latitude up there, those do not depict a block. All those colors depict there is higher than normal heights. That's actually a non-blocked, +PNA flow, that happens to be above normal heights in all directions. It's actually a fantastic anomaly to see that at this time of year for other reasons.. Anyway, you have to look at the geometry of the curving isohypses.

This event was 1" - 5" across the NYC metro - NOT 4" - 8".. See the circled area in the map of interpolated NWS snowfall reports below. The NWS OKX forecast area, which encompasses a large region NORTH and EAST of NYC, does not equate to the NYC metro. Don, your tables and stats are not representative or convincing, which disappoints me. A visual representation is helpful here. Even if you limit your analysis to a single 18z NAM run, it was the only model to correctly capture the sharp gradient through NYC.