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1-2 from about HFD north

Snowier icon run

Ninja’d you by seconds, but that’s pretty much it. It would’ve been less of a bomb for northern areas, better for south of the PA Turnpike. There’s more than one way for us to score a big event down this way. North-central VA is probably ground zero at this point.

I missed both Feb 2010 beasts. Still so damn mad to this day. lol. However, had a wonderful time at Disney with the wife and kids. And it didn’t have to shovel shit when I got home. My neighbors hooked me up. Meanwhile—I’m still paying them back for it.

The weeklies are solid cold for the E US in Feb, even colder than yesterday! Any hopes for a mild E US are fading away, which is fine with me. And that’s only after the very cold late Jan!

Interesting you say that. I was of the mind that it would have petered out not long after the run ended. No complaints about had that happened, but I suppose the energy that lagged behind would help keep the fun going.(?)

Still would’ve been a really good run for these parts. A tighter cutoff of heavier totals further north, but probably not till north of PA turnpike. Solid diffluent signature with ascent focused over the area. Probably 4-6 more hours of the good stuff, followed by a tapper from southwest to northeast. Good run, even if it wasn’t a top end solution. It’s also the Icon, so it’s just for fun at this point

Would be OK with what icon is saying better then the 12z maps

I’m not worried about the low being stout because it’s going to need to be to survive the strong cold high pushing down on it

My mom group chat has been asking me all day what’s going to happen lol

Judging by the synoptic presentation and QPF expansion, you’re dead on there. Good run from the Icon FWIW.

It probably would of not been as big of hit compared to 12z. The northern stream was outracing the southern stream on this run. But it's the Icon so who really cares that much lol.

15 to 20 inches of Snow here in Lee County from that one.

Quick someone crank up the DGEX!

Yeah. That has been sneaky

One other fail mode to watch for- if this is a miller B and there is a transfer to the coast there will likely be a dry slot that sets up during the process

12z "traditional" Euro EPS for DCA. Wow.

That’s like Midnight Yell for this board. .

The 12z "traditional" Euro EPS really upped the ante for Philly. Several double digit hits, and only a few duds (less than 3"). Out of 50 members, I only count 11% (6 members) with less than 3" of snow. Everything else is warning level or better. Again, what a signal from Dr. No at this range.

I enjoy it but its more so just checking things. As long as you dont get emotionally invested in every model its fine. It used to piss me off seeing the models changing every run and "being fringed". Now its like meh just less to shovel.

This storm looking primed for a NW trend IMO. Also, @SnowenOutThere should make his own Avengers. Young ones, assemble!

18z ICON likely would've been a foot plus from I-70 south if it ran further.

I cant get over how they spit out amounts and predictions 5 days in advance as IMO its a joke,,,,,,here is what a quick search said for my area Sunday and Sunday nite = Sunday Day -Watching a potential winter storm. Cloudy with snow. High 12F. Winds NNE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 70%. 3 to 5 inches of snow expected. Sunday Night 11° Watching a potential winter storm. Occasional snow showers. Low 11F. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 60%. Snow accumulating 1 to 3 inches.

I mean..sounds like what we have known. Initial Thump of snow then a mix. Nothing new

The moms at the bus stop this afternoon were giving it the old "They're saying maybe we get 4" maybe we get 24! They're leaving themselves a loooooot of wiggle room...really hedging their bets!" Things is that they all know me and know that I'm a weather nerd and they often ask me for updates, but they just can't help themselves when they get into their gaggles. <ends seemingly, but not really, misogynistic rant> Fuck's sake...