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WTTTE

Isn't drought relative to a location? While not being like the Atacama, last summer and fall definitely had impacts on agriculture, people's wells, surface water and some municipal water systems.

fascinating ... you can kind of see the weakening - don't have to wait for this to rotate away per se, it's seems to be losing identity at the same time.

Mid 90s for some Tuesday... similar Wednesday?

Finally turning the corner for good tomorrow. This spring has kind of sucked. My mom has pics from this time last year and it looked like deep summer out there. Definitely behind

You can see the general outline of the May El Niño 500 mb composite taking shape with alterations probably due to the competing marine heatwaves. The coming near to record May heatwave forecast for the East next week is much warmer than we typically see with such strong developing El Niños. Stronger Southeast ridge could be a function of the weaker RONI relative to ONI and more general subtropical ridging adding a more Niña-like flavor to the mix. The May Western North America El Niño ridge is located a little further SW than usual with the weaker Baja trough than they typically see. May 4th to 11th strong Nino ridge in SW Canada and Aleutian low north of Hawaii Forecast May 18th to 25th

GFS has backed off a lot, but still has a few inches for the Palmer Divide and foothills. NAM also has it. Waiting for the 12z Euros to kick off.

Main thing that sucks about it hitting 95 for 2 days straight this early is the pool water is nowhere near warm enough to even take a dip in lmao especially with how cold its been it hasn't had much time to heat up

Pretty cool site thanks!

Sun

Low of 48 today. Had to wear a jacket on our dog walk. Might be the last 40's we see this spring.

^ “#ElNiño is taking over the global atmosphere. We're gonna get a brief spat of trade winds over the East Pacific due to an Equatorial Rossby Wave, followed by another large WWB as the MJO traverses back into the Pacific. Models are showing low-frequency forcing setting up over the East/Central Pacific. Looking like a very strong, classic, coupled, canonical +ENSO event starting.“

That was an anomalous heavy frost i hit 32F There's a big difference between 32F and 25F low

What's the latest you've seen snow there? I don't think I've seen it more than a day or two after Mother's Day here.

2.04"

get ready 2 torch

My cool/wet summer for the great lakes will go up in flames unless we start seeing this

The other day was nuts with gusts near 50mph for a few hours. The resulting sandstorm will keep people off the beach regardless. When the sand is dry and winds are over 40 you have to be insane to be on the beach. .

You definitely value heat more than me, so I understand your reasoning. I hate the heat. I only like 90+ when I'm at the beach. Otherwise, it's annoying. I do wish we could have more cool and sunny days, but this time of year, cooler weather usually indicates broad troughing or shallow cool from back door fronts. Can't have the cake and eat it too, so I get it. Alas, we also need rain, so getting warm and humid can at least open the door for convection. On to summer I suppose!

The one big event, Jan 25-27, parlayed a modest 0.77" LE into 19.6" of fluff, ratio 25:1. Next biggest was 8.5" on Christmas Eve. Only once before have I recorded a storm of 15"+ with ratio above 16:1, at Fort Kent in December 1981 - 15.5"/0.68" for 23:1

Brutal

Dear Christ I hope that was the end of the gloomy weather. Seeing the clear sky this morning when waking up lifted my spirits, but also made signing into work difficult.

It will probably go Super, I just don't think it will be an all time record breaking event on the RONI. Were also not seeing a +PNA, or -NPH in the next 15 days.

90 Sunday in the interior if these new NAM 12z grid numebrs are right. I don't think its profile over Logan is right 18z+, tho. NAM is spuriously cooling the 850 mb level where it should be roasting them because that day has a westerly wind burst in the BL to 20 kts coming down from 280 degree direction, under superb solar max heating (off a high launch no less...). The mixing quotient should have that level closer to what it's doing over LGA, rising a couple clicks...not falling. So, it keeps the exit temp in the 82 range via adiabats when it should be about 91 given so going to toss ... It will be interesting to start delving into these kind of OCD inspections when the new model versions cripple the forecast community in a couple of months. HAHA