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I’m trying to keep an eye on the RRFS’ performance with this one, I haven’t been watching it lately but this time I’m taking note.

I am going to South Hill and that vicinity tomorrow.

Roanoke County VA schools closed Monday.

School closings gotta be coming soon for the Triad and northern counties, right? If they closed for Friday, this is modeled as a higher impact event during school hours. Really curious to see what WSFCS does here.

Still says past 84 hours on my end? Who's messing with me? LOL

As I watched the final second tick on the ravens game.. I thought to myself.... Only 73 days till spring training !!!

Good luck ya jerks

As for the medium and LR pattern, ensembles and deterministic modeling still favor some amplification mid-month. Whatever we get is likely going to be northern stream influence.

Some of us do. I think our Delaware crew are the psuhoffmans of this one...smoking cirrus lol Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk

It’s Tip’s super compressed, hyper fast flow. That bitch is real. Nothing good will come from it.

Can someone explaining freezing fog to me? I’ve been on this forum for 15 years and have never read about it. How is it similar to freezing rain? How/why does it occur?

As an explanation for those who don't live in NE TN, one of the real pains which we(in TRI) have to deal with(regarding modeling) is that models will sometimes smooth the cutoff for elevation snows into regions which don't have elevation. Most people think NE TN is high elevation....we are not, but we are very close to places which are. What is difficult to know about recent model runs...is whether smoothing is playing a role in the strong totals east of I-81. But for anyone who has lived up here for very long, we have had some systems with wild and crazy snow cutoffs regarding accumulation. We had a guy from work one time who said he would be out for the week due to snow. We thought he was just pulling our legs. He was only 20 minutes away. Nope, that man had like 2-3 feet of snow in his yard. We had a dusting. I am NOT expecting that this time, but I could see foothills communities doing well...but modeling is not to be trusted when some have a bunch of snow and others have none. Could bust either way.

I started a thread for future analysis of the storm as you guys have a better shot than the main focus of our subforum

Sports card collecting is actually pretty fun, it’s made a huge comeback, lol

Howdy! I started a main thread for this storm as it also impacts some posters out in Central/Western VA if you want to post there as well.

It's beyond that...we're passed that.

This is also a great test case on if starting a thread ruins an event as if this manages to completely fall apart within 12 hours of the start time the curse may be real.

Done, please pin it!

FYP

As @WxUSAF pointed out this is now a legitimate enough event for the southern folks to start a thread specifically for it! Let's try to will this thing a little bit further north to get it to everyone.

If CC has permanently caused a fast flow we can all just switch to collecting model trains.

Probably rain south of 90

Both the 18z RGEM and GEFS hold serve over extreme NE TN. I have strong doubts about snow in TRI, but the GFS is no longer alone w/ the this system as noted above. From I81 to the east, there is snow modeled on almost all models w/ the exception of the Euro. The closer to the foothills one goes, the stronger the totals. This is definitely a trackable system for NE TN and SW VA folks(Abingdon vicinity). It is no slam dunk, but interesting nonetheless to see the GFS pick up support. Now, before folks accuse me of favoring MBY...this, in fact, does not appear to have much of an impact IMBY. In fact, if correct, I will be able to drive 10 minutes to my east and find snow. LOL.

When the OL is terrible, the offense is going to struggle. This is a monumental failure by EDC and his crew. The defense is also a problem- no pass rush. As much as I want Harbaugh gone, he has to coach the players he has, and the trenches are weak- yes a key injury or 2 on the DL- but a good team has to be built to overcome a few injuries.