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I'm more concerned about the boob lows and convection to the east mucking this up once again like the last coastal.
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
40/70 Benchmark replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
I understand that, but all I meant was that it doesn't seem to be as "LBSW" like.....still not there yet, but I think we have seen some improvememnt with that. -
Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026
WinstonSalemArlington replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
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There is a little more separation on the northern stream compared to 18z. Not what we want to see
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Jns2183 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That's a hell of a lot tighter than Euro. Seeing that and trends last few hours makes me lend more credence to GFS. This whole storm is hilarious Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
nw baltimore wx replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
I’ll never give the icon credit for a single blind run and then wavering. If the gfs scores a coup, it was at least invested. -
2/19 00z ICoN
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
HoarfrostHubb replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Closer in it’s better but hour 84… -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
40/70 Benchmark replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
I want to see continued improvement from the varsity models because if they come in still looking like the NAM, we may be arriving at a suboptimal consensus. -
Just looking at the data here those are scientifically significant differences most likely. I’d have to run stats but eyeballing it looks like they are not significantly different among the big models.
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
RUNNAWAYICEBERG replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Last 4 runs is a clear and impactful shift though. Kinda looking at that and not the end result. -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
CoastalWx replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
I think rate matters because as lows rapidly deepen they tend to get pulled to the H5 low. And in this case because it can’t move much in latitude it gets pulled west before the whole thing unravels and it gets booted ENE. -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
Typhoon Tip replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
NAM skill in this range is vaguely dependable at best. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Lousy wave spacing there.
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
ineedsnow replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Icon going to be closer at 0z but was pretty crappy at 18z -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
George001 replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
No defense mechanism here. I literally agreed with him that we need another bump NW, Euro is more east than the NAM. I would be saying the same shit if the NAM showed a monster 2 foot blizzard. We are on the same page about the Euro, I know some people here don’t like it but this close in it’s quite good. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
LeesburgWx replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Remember the ICON led the way a few days ago with showing a blizzard? -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
40/70 Benchmark replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
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I forgot that existed
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Can't gauge the rest of the 0z suite off the Nam anyways as its in la la land.
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
40/70 Benchmark replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Well, that was a much better run than 18z.....just not there yet. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
Ralph Wiggum replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Is a lottle more than a little? Like a 'lot' better? -
Which is why I'd like to keep the NAM around for a long time
