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They stole a lot of UI from TT. It's much better, I still prefer TT, but PWx has the Euro so ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Yeah you may see most of those locals only get to like 33F or so. I always think a true flash freeze is overrated around here, but tomorrow is interesting. It will get down into the 20's tonight so these paved surfaces will get cold. I guess we'll see what kind of treatments are applied, but with precipitation falling much of the day and then dropping below freezing through the evening and back into the 20's...things could slick up quick if not treated.

Yeah looks like a significantly BN start to the month at least. Get the ground nice and frozen for the grinch.

Sounding from Cville is juiced with saturation past 400mb and well through the DGZ. Also has strong frontogenesis through the 850-700mb layer before LFC would take over above the inversion. Would be a fun evening!

Like last year.

This cool season so far, it seems we permanently have the D13-15 torch instead of our usual D13-15 blizzard.

so my guess is that in my area Barkhamsted/East Hartland we’re looking at very little snow accumulation?

Not this year

flash freeze potential. warms to 35 after a matting of snow and failed icing period, then as the low gets abeam of RI the 32 F isotherm collapses SE abruptly and it's -d(30) F jack knifin' fun and joy on the highways. I'm starting to suspect that the the sfc isn't going above freezing N of a White Plains/HFD/ORH/BED-PSM line tho.

YES

Welcome to Currier and Ives.

Very 2020 Covid-year like with the fast start to December. Not saying to expect as much as fell on December 1, 2020, but certainly a positive development.

What were the precipitation anomalies?

I was just looking yesterday at why Pivotal Weather is so unfriendly for mobile devices. Turned out that their Beta feature basically solves the problem and works well enough.

We still have 30 days to go for the final verdict on December, so a lot of time. But I will say this, just speaking for the NYC metro area and not any other place, in a La Niña winter, if you have a below normal snow December, in particular if you had no measureable snow in November, followed by a below normal December, it’s a very, very bad omen…..almost none of them throughout weather record keeping history have gone on to be above normal winters for snow and the overwhelming majority of them go on to be below normal winters for snow…..

yup...even NAM bufkit has it too. Definitely something to watch. Could have some impact for the evening, particularly later evening commute but could make for a slew of delays out of BOS in the evening.

Those are always fun surprises. Global models never capture their full extent.

That’s a very good NA brew.

That clipper next Wednesday/Thursday is energetic. That would be a solid hit.

Looks like 12Z continued the trend of the past several runs of more QPF for us. Temps are dicey, especially at the surface, but it's showing quite a bit of frozen.

I won’t do what should be done with this post

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My perspective on the next few weeks- Thursday night/Friday overrunning is the one to watch. Gotta get that northern stream to calm down to allow the southern energy to amplify enough to bring in moisture. The earlier it comes in the better. After that threat, the northern stream looks to be dominant for the next week or so with mostly clipper type systems and at or below average temps for most of the Carolinas. We would need one of those to dig far enough south to bring areas outside of the mountains any snow. After about next weekend, I think the pattern relaxes some and we warm back up to 50s/60s for most and the pattern resets again around the holidays.