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Yea, just open up today...one and all, right in the kissah

Never underestimate the warm nose. It'll rear its ugly head.

The GFs gives my parents 1” zr

February 2006 and and 2007 were pretty memorable for specific reasons.

NWS Wakefield latest update for anyone interested:

Feb 2006 was one of the greatest I-95 storms no one talks about. One of my all time favorites, hands down.

2/8-9/2013. Scattered 30"+ (including 31.9" at PWM, their biggest on record) and lots of 20s. My area had 9-11" while AUG (25 mi SE) and LEW (40 mi s.) had ~25".

GFS certainly has the full support of its ensembles. This is the literal exact situation we wouldn’t trust its thermals over the euro or NAM nest (inside 48 hrs) though. 6-10+ for the immediate metros and 8-12+ for areas away from 95 seems like a reasonable call at this juncture. Could we see 12-18” up this way? Maybe. But I’m going to play it safe with 8-12 with upside

When you have been absolutely positively beaten into a pulp for four years in this long season called winter, eventually it wears on you. I’ve paid my dues.

An example of what I and others posted earlier... 0z ICON last night showed this as well (but backed off at 12z today). This is from 12z UK, keeps low level easterly flow into 0z-6z Tuesday... this is what we'd need to get us closer to 20":

This place is going to short circuit.

Several models are keying in on NE GA/NW SC as ground zero for freezing rain.

I am already two degrees warmer than my expect high today. There is no way it is going to snow on Saturday.

I have a cluster of about a dozen daffodils , about 5 inches in height First poked out at the very end of December Be interesting to see how they fare

Really? I'll go research those. I only know the famous ones.

Yeah the 10:1 includes sleet. The kuchera is lower, around 6"

Euro is typically steady eddy (so not expecting much change) but I noticed slightly slower start times as the latest trend. Curious if that continues.

@beavis1729 I thought of you. This is deep deep winter. A thick drifty blanket of snow outside and I had to postpone a sledding promise to the nephews Saturday because its going to be TOO COLD to play in the snow!

Oh yeah

Watches are hoisted to the zones to my south.

Disagree. It’s going to be below 0 with more salt on the roads than snow on the ground. Hard pass

definitely at last an homage to a CCB stinger upon exit. Granted it's a honey bee compared to a bald faced hornet's jabber but it's there nonetheless. gosh for winter weather goobers we are sitting in a fun time. relish in this folks... it's been years, YEARS, since we could be sitting at 90 hour before a major, with 12 model cycles of possible upshot solutions to dose our dopa drips hahaha

10 years ago today we were about to get smoked with the blizzard of 2016! Last actual last big storm around here. Let’s get smoked again!

Happy Scooter is much more tolerable than beach weather in January Scooter