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Definitely a little trend so far tonight to improve that. Let’s grab another 2-4 instead of C-1

This hurts my soul

But didn't the euro keep it? One model kept it.. they were still better back then..

Almost all of the guidance, including the NAM have the 875 mb layer down to the surface well below freezing. That would produce sleet. Some freezing drizzle can't be ruled out at some point, but the steady precipitation following the changeover from snow should be sleet.

RRFS gets the sleet line to Scranton. Meanwhile none of the other mesos (minus the NAM) get it past the Lehigh Valley. Quite the battle we have here.

The -9/-21 at MSP gives an average temp of -15, which was the third coldest day in the past 30 years (since Feb 1996).

I don’t think that’s what he meant. Everyone should want this a little flatter because there’s a direct correlation between that and how good Mondays potential extra snow is

You can check the observations from the main MSP forecast area page. Or any forecast area page for that matter. Just click "Current Conditions". Then "Observations". Map will come come up. Click on whatever station. The dialog box will come up. Click 3 day history, and you will get a graph with the text under it.

RPDS says ky is a glacier

I'm going with 9-12" down here. I think the big city gets rocked. 12-15".

Monday is a little better too

We need the snow shield to be heavier/steadier. In 3 hours that NAM run surged the sleet line from Wilmington DE to Staten Island. The heavy precip is when it's sleeting. It would be varying snow rates for a few hours then all out sleetstorm for 60-70% of the precip that falls.

Simpsonville SC here

Is it spring yet?

I actually planned on doing a revised forecast tonight, but the models are not handling the HP out west well at all. I'll release a final call tomorrow at 18z.

Thanks

Down to 13 here

This storm has definitely sped up a bit both in onset time and ending time now that we’re getting into the near term forecasting of it, which is pretty common with these type of storms. It looks like the business end of this occurs in a bit under 24 hours now, arriving in the LSV approx 2-3am Sunday and starting to shut off midnight-1am or so Monday.

Yeah- I’ll be here giving an account of what happens, until power is lost. BTW, I am literally .25 mile north of 85 here in Greenville…

Talk about no change run to run lol.

Enjoy ice!

these can flip early in the wwa phase, and then have trouble flipping over when the dry air at the surface starts coming in. It ends up mostly non-accumulating stuff away from better banding N of pike, OES, terrain and so on. I lived near the south coast for a while, and I'm not saying that would be the case, but it's something to look for jmo. You may get 10" or 12" but "what could have been" is like 18" or 24" lol

It isn't actually, totals increased ex right on the coast Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

22 now. This cold means business