All Activity
- Past hour
-
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Looks like nothing to look forward to for a long time. Soon it will be sun angle season. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
UnitedWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
So, Fenway Park weather -
No high pressure to the north to impart better cold air advection. Heavier precip rates overcome a marginal profile and turn precip to frozen, elsewhere, it's rain. Very believable.
-
I think it was last year or the year before, JB was hyping the spire when they first started showing it on WB. Haven't heard him reference it since then...
-
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Exactly. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Keep the 60’s and 70’s. We’ll take them in April, and they’ll be nowhere to be had. You know this. -
How does this model have rain north west of the snow lol
-
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Typhoon Tip replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Lol Jesus guys…let it marinate a little bit -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dendrite replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
16 weeks from 40s and drizzle -
You always take what you don’t have.
-
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
weatherwiz replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
We are about 10 weeks from 60's, 12 weeks from 70's, 15 weeks from 80's, and about 18 weeks from getting some severe weather threats -
I can't remember if it was last year or the year before, but about ALL the south facing flowers/bulbs came up, then disappeared in Feb when a couple near zero nights took care of them.
-
On pivotal hr 384 just gave up. .
-
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
weatherwiz replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
doesn't work :/ edit: working now! -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Garbage pattern -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Ginx snewx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Remember this line kids. -
The new NMME has an even stronger El Niño for later this year by ~0.2C. The end of the run, Sept of 2026, peaks at ~+1.3C (moderate) and still was warming. So, it was more than likely headed to a strong. It has it centered on 115W:
-
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Sey-Mour Snow replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
-
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Torch Tiger replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Forecast. Not last weeks talk, nor banter lol -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Torch Tiger replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Official recent forecasts? not talking last week's general discussions or thoughts on here, nor was kev. Not a single outlet had 50's that I saw -
A milder pattern is now in place. The remainder of the week will see generally above normal temperatures. Some rain is likely Saturday into Sunday. Rainfall amounts will generally be between 0.50"-1.00". The week will conclude with highs finishing in the 50s across much of the region on Friday and Saturday. Cooler air will likely return Sunday or Monday. No significant Arctic blasts or significant snowfalls are likely through at least mid-January. Afterward, conditions might become more favorable for both cold and snowfall, especially if the PNA goes positive. PNA-related developments would have larger implications for snowfall. A persistently positive PNA would have above climatological risk of moderate or significant snowfalls. A mainly negative PNA would favor mainly small snowfalls. It will likely be a few more days before the guidance reaches the high-skill timeframe for teleconnection forecasts. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.7°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.5°C for the week centered around December 31. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.37°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.63°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue into at least late winter. The SOI was +2.31 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.377 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 50% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal January (1991-2020 normal). January will likely finish with a mean temperature near 33.7° (at normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.1° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
-
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dendrite replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Euro still gets 50° up to the Pike Fri night. Would be funny if it maxes out at 5z and goes in the books as 2 days of 50°. edit…that was 12z…18z has a little better caa. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
If we can touch 60F, we ride. -
It's tough for me. I like a big storm but, if it's just one and no more I'm more inclined to several light events I guess. However, if it were a true big dog ( foot or more) then probably it.
