All Activity

It was nice to see the return of snowy clippers and a benchmark 10”+ snowstorm. But Central PA is still waiting for the return of the big Miller A tracks east of the APPS. They have only reached average once in the last decade. State College hasn’t been in the top 20 for snowiest seasons for more than 20 years. It has to be very rough for JB since that area has turned into one of the worst snow holes in the East.

Wish it were a bit colder and SW for CT.

D10 GFS ...this is the truer spring thrust - first of the year.

we are honestly going to see some of these piles of snow until April unless we get a stretch of 80s in March or something.

This SHOULD get us back to phase 8 by the 2nd week of March. Perhaps we get one last good window.

Agreed, if we get moderate rates, we will snow tomorrow evening. The track is ideal to work with a marginal air mass at this time of year. There is not a primary low tracking toward northern WV this time.

yeah pretty much the same here.

I don’t disagree, but the current solution as modeled is better than the precip missing us to the south by 300 miles. At least we have a shot with the precip now.

Yeah it will take some rates for sure but that's what some of the meso's are showing down our way. You are right though, what's being depicted as snowfall on these maps will surely not amount to that much on the ground with the marginal temps in place. Heck, I was scouring through skew-T's earlier and we really would be walking the tight rope through the lower part of the column, with a wet snow and a surface right around freezing. Could be fun though.

I was 50-50 this morning at 7 am, likely my last 'measurement' of SOTG (reported 1.0"). About 2-2.5" in shaded/north facing spots. Likely a 'T' for under 50% tomorrow. No complaints, been a nice 3 week period.

lack of moisture has been a problem all year. i see nothing to break that trend. piddly events that dry out or stay south ain't gonna do.

Ukmet says enjoy your few sprinkles. The difference between these models 24hrs out is pathetic

One thing fairly certain is there’s no torch / furnace rainer

Need clouds to start arriving by 5:50-6am tomorrow.

Solid warning event next weekend on GGEM for a lot of SNE. Gonna see a lot of solutions on this.

He likely tolerates winter a lot better than some of the people here...lol

Same with ukie Not good trends today. Light snowfall likely.

I'm sure I'll be frowned upon. We don't have a good air mass. It's not like a March day when it's 55 but there's a NW wind cranking a fresh supply of colder air. What we have is stale. We can make stale work and night will help some but we need dynamics. GFS was a red flag to me. Less QPF is not our friend right now.

Yeah but closer to an inch then 2 to 4

I’ll be beyond livid if I deal with tmrw’a prep and no sleep just for some annoying snow that’s melt by noon Monday cancel the appt. Meanwhile curios if someone here hits 50 today. I’m at 44 already.

UKMET

Canadian might be good for weekend.

Who in their right mind wants rain?

Ehhhh, I’m losing the warm and fuzzies for next week.

Records: Highs: EWR: 65 (1946) NYC: 63 (1946) LGA: 60 (20000) JFK: 62 (1990) Lows: EWR: 0 (2016) NYC: -1 (2016) LGA: 1 (2016) JFK: 1 (2016) Historical: 1798: The Norfolk Herald on Feb. 17 and the New York Spectator on March 3 reported snow in Norfolk "in many places up to six feet deep," the greatest snowfall ever experienced. Some accounts claim that 40 inches of snow fell in one night in Norfolk and along the coast, but no snow fell 25 miles inland. Over northeast North Carolina, 16 inches of snow was reported. Wind blowing from the north to northwest off the Chesapeake Bay may have enhanced the snowfall in the Norfolk area, much like the winds blowing across Lake Erie produce "lake effect snow" in New York. (Ref. Virginia Weather History) 1895: The most significant snowfall in the history of Houston, Texas, occurred on the 14th and 15th. The Houston area saw 20 inches of snow. 1895: One of the Deep South's greatest snowstorms took place with the following reported snow totals: Rayne, LA: 24 inches, Glaveston, TX: 15 inches and 8.2 inches at New Orleans, LA. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1899 - A great blizzard struck the eastern U.S. Washington D.C. received 20.5 inches of snow to bring their total snow depth to nearly three feet. The storm produced 36 inches of snow at Cape May NJ. (David Ludlum) 1899: A great blizzard ended along the eastern United States giving Washington DC 20.5 inches of snow to bring their total snow depth to nearly three feet and ended here late in the evening of the 14th. The storm produced 36 inches of snow at Cape May NJ. (Ref. Virginia Weather History) (David Ludlum) The blizzard ended on Valentine's Day, dropping 16.3 inches of snow in Richmond and giving Washington, DC a snow depth of 34 inches. The city recorded its greatest monthly total with 35.2 inches and its greatest seasonal snowfall total with 54.4 inches. For the month, Harrisonburg recorded 47 inches, Winchester 39 inches and Fredericksburg 35 inches. Warrenton recorded the state monthly snowfall record with 54 inches. (Ref. Virginia Weather History) 1940 - A "Saint Valentine's Day Blizzard" hit the northeastern U.S. Up to a foot and a half of snow blanketed southern New England, and whole gales accompanied the heavy snow stranding many in downtown Boston. (David Ludlum) 1940: A St. Valentine's Day Blizzard blankets New England with up to 18 inches of snow. Gale force winds associated with the storm strand many in downtown Boston. 1947: The Weather Bureau commissioned its first weather radar at Washington, DC. The radar network would only grow slowly over the next few years, but eventually would become the backbone of the National Weather Service's warning system. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1949: Late afternoon heavy snows began on Valentine's Day in Boise, ID and by 5:00 am the following morning, 14 new inches of snow had fallen. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1978: A winter storm brought freezing precipitation and high winds to eastern Colorado, knocking out power to thousands of people, some for more than a week. The ice accumulated to a thickness of five inches in some locations. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1987 - A powerful storm spawned severe thunderstorms in Texas and Oklahoma, and produced heavy snow in the Rocky Mountain Region. Snowfall totals in Colorado ranged up to 27 inches at Telluride. Straight line winds gusting to 104 mph howled through Guadalupe Pass in West Texas. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Strong northerly winds ushered arctic air into the north central U.S. Snow and high winds created blizzard conditions in Minnesota and the Dakotas. Winds gusted to 56 mph at Rapid City SD, and reached 65 mph at Cody WY. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - While "Valentine's Day" was a soggy one in the Ohio Valley and the Tennessee Valley, unseasonably warm weather prevailed in the southeastern U.S. Seventeen cities reported record high temperatures for the date as readings warmed into the 70s and 80s. (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - Valentine's Day was a snowy one for many parts of the western and central U.S. Five to ten inches of snow fell across Iowa, and 6 to 12 inches of snow blanketed northern Illinois, and strong northeasterly winds accompanied the heavy snow. Air traffic came to a halt during the evening at O'Hare Airport in Chicago, where 9.7 inches of snow was reported. More than 250 traffic accidents were reported around Des Moines IA during the evening rush hour. An icestorm glazed east central sections of Illinois, causing twelve million dollars damage in Champaign County alone. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2004 - Dallas receives 3 inches of snow, wreaking havoc with Valentine's Day flower deliveries. The greatest snowfall since 1978 caused numerous traffic accidents, power outages and flight cancellations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport. 2007: The Valentine's Day Storm was a massive winter storm that affected most of the eastern half of North America, starting on February 12, 2007 and peaking on Valentine's Day, February 14. The storm produced heavy snowfalls across the midwestern United States from Nebraska to Ohio and produced similar conditions across parts of the northeastern United States. Significant sleet and freezing rain fell across the southern Ohio Valley and affected portions of the east coast of the United States, including the cities of Boston, Baltimore, Washington, DC., New York City and Philadelphia.(Ref. Wikipedia.org (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/February_2007_North_America_Winter_Storm) Ref. (NWS Ranking for Storms between 1956 and 2011) This is the 14th Worst Snowstorm