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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Strong Ninos are still generally the worst-case scenario for winter here, but again, we still get winter. Ironically, the strong Nino you guys would pick out of the big guns would probably be 1982-83, and that was the worst one here. Each still has different patterns, some big storms, and often decent spells of winter....its just the mean over the whole season is subpar relative to climate. The east is more feast/famine. The Great Lakes always save us to an extent. Even in the worst case scenarios we get plenty of mood flake days to feel like winter. Detroit and Boston average near identical seasonal snowfall. In the past 50 years....both places averaged 44". Yet, look at the top and bottom 5 in those 50 years at each location. Detroit Boston 20.0” – 1982-83 9.3” – 2011-12 23.4” – 1997-98 9.8” – 2023-24 23.5” – 2023-24 12.4” – 2022-23 23.7” – 1999-00 12.7” – 1979-80 24.1” – 2003-04 14.9” – 1994-95 94.9” – 2013-14 110.6” – 2014-15 74.0” – 1981-82 107.6” – 1995-96 71.7” – 2007-08 96.3” – 1993-94 69.1” – 2010-11 86.6” – 2004-05 65.7” – 2008-09 85.1” – 1977-78- 1,193 replies
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Gorgeous morning today waiting for the trains I needed to ride for work. Just gorgeous!
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Its my understanding that the pre-1950 ENSO years are more subject to debate re: strength, but still cool to see which years were which. 2002-03 was another cold moderate Nino. 2009-10 was funky but cold in spots. And several others hovered near climo temp-wise.- 1,193 replies
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We got through summer in less than a month, now welcome autumn!
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No destructive sunshine here - blue skies, seasonal temps (high a couple degrees BN, low a couple AN) with a bit of breeze. Maple buds opening, along with black cherry.
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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We did indeed have snow mixed in with rain around 4:35 this morning in northern Noble County.
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April numbers: Avg max: 52.4 +0.3 Highest, 72 on the 27th Avg min: 30.4 +1.5 Lowest, 14 on the 8th Mean: 41.4 +0.9 Precip: 4.00" -0.06" Wettest day: 1.18" on the 30th. Storm tried hard to avoid the 7th consecutive BN month (10th of 11) but fell just short. Snow: 2.4" -2.5" (But right on the median) 2.0" of 22:1 fluff fell 9:15-10;45 PM on 4/7, reported on the 8th as my 4/7 obs came at 9 PM. SDDs: one, on the 1st. The 2" fluff was intact at 7 AM for 4/8 cocorahs, but was gone long before my obs. Very average month in many ways - temp within 1°, near avg precip and median snowfall. The warmest and the lowest were within 1° of the 28-year medians (both below). Available sunshine was 47%, exactly on the average for April. We had no powerful storms, a tune that's played for quite a while, but did have a garden-variety TS late evening of the 16th. For 8-10 minutes there was about 2"/hr rate. Half of our Aprils have had at least one thunder day.
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A beautiful afternoon with a current high of 63 degrees.
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Southington finished at 58” here.
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Truck was reading 64…with sun and clouds..but more sun. Great spring day.
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Cool in May > cool in March. I’ll prob be ok with these temps. I just hope we don’t get stuck with a meandering cutoff low, unless it’s the kind that brings humid weather and afternoon tstorms.
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This weather is big time.
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Twolves have a squad
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Clt went from .31 to .4. LETS REEL IT IN
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Don’t get too worried …you’ll be dead long before anything like that happens.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
RedSky replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
ECM has snow showers in Scranton next Friday and likely a frost threat next weekend -
The Catawbas are ahead of schedule. These are at 4700' in Wolf. Last year these same plants didn't bloom until early June. We've had some fantastic weather this week. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk
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They can put it back after the home is completed though? Instead our builder used to sell it off to their landscaping contractor, who then turned around and bilked the HOA at double the market price for landscaping the common areas (of which the builder at the time sat on the HOA board). Ah, the good old days of Calvert… lmao
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We got reports of snow mixing with rain in Ligonier, IN, this morning.
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in other words back to normal where every month is +2
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GramaxRefugee started following Mid-Atlantic Lawn and Garden Chat 2026
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Every spec requires stripping out the topsoil. It's not acceptable for graded areas. If it was left in, the Geotech would reject it. P.G. Co no longer allows topsoil, seed and mulch. Sod is required. I'm not sure about other jurisdictions. FYI...
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perfect weather 61 no wind
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I have a few mayapples! I have an area under some trees that I’m mostly leaving alone and intermittently planting some shade and dry soil tolerant natives. After 3-4 years, my Christmas ferns have started to spread. Dwarf crested iris has really spread and some asters have also spread into the shade a bit. There’s a lot of tree saplings and one sweetgum that volunteered is now like 6-7 feet tall. All that to say it can happen quicker than you might think if you don’t mow. I pull out any invasives that try to grow and any poison ivy (native but not welcome in my yard!).
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I do think uber strong ninos tend to me more negative for us than for you. Midwest is pretty resistant to terrible snow years. Not the case on the coast, even interior NE.- 1,193 replies
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