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On channel 7 Lee Goldberg will often say that he disagrees with the futurecast. Or he'll do what he did yesterday which was show the HRRR futurecast because he didn't agree with the regular futurecast not showing the break during the afternoon like the HRRR did.

Getting sunny here through the high clouds

Yes, I'm pretty sure the August spike was 2023, and likely the September spike as well. I remember there being an anomolous heatwave in South America in August 2023, and another one the following month.

Looks like we will See More Rain. Severe threat increasing locally too as heating builds ..

That would be like the El Ninos of yore.

Chris, I find it fascinating that the previous warmest was in August, another winter month! Do you know if that was also in El Niño?

That's why I hate RH, it's a measure of nothing important. Why do people use it instead of DP? I remember getting out my sling psychrometer when I was a 12 year old weather geek (and one time losing my grip as the thermometers went flying), and using tables to figure it out.

Carnage incoming here if that holds together

Mine too. Will we see measurable precipitation the next few days before it gets hot again over the weekend?

Looks like a fun ride along I-684

D2 ENH is the new D2 MOD in these parts.

Wow, that was impressive. Nice drink.

Forum having server issues again this morning.

It looks like it’s riding right along the actual warm front . That is the type that could spin one up

Feeling a little more muggy today. It’s nice to have it actually feel like summer again, at least ahead of the next round of moisture. Let’s see how wide the flood gates open up later!

Data back to 1925. Hopefully that record is robust. The majority of GHCN sites in the world are very broken. Either way, that is an impressive temp

Just as it looked like that SE band was maturing it got sheared south in the most recent radar shots. Probably be the name of the game for this system today, periodic attempts to organize but shear winning out each time. Probably a 55-60 kt ceiling and that is only if it can sustain longer than it did this morning. Still interesting to watch the circulation strengthen with this much shear, certainly a stronger storm than at any point yesterday though wind speed will likely go up and down through the day

New York City has been a veritable Lake Maraciabo this summer

July 21 2002: Dew points reach 84 degrees at Madison, Morris, and Olivia. This ties the all time highest dew point reading in Minnesota, as recorded by the State Climatology Office. 1934: Extreme heat hits western Minnesota, and the temperature topped out at 113 at Milan. For Tuesday, July 21, 2026 1911 - The temperature at Painter, WY, dipped to 10 degrees to equal the record low for July for the continental U.S. (The Weather Channel) 1934 - The temperature reached 109 degrees at Cincinnati, OH, to cap their hottest summer of record. The state record for Ohio was established that day with a reading of 113 degrees near the town of Gallipolis. (David Ludlum) 1975 - Six inches of rain fell across Mercer County, NJ, in just ten hours causing the worst flooding in twenty years. Assunpink Creek crested eleven feet above flood stage at Hamilton and Trenton, the highest level of record. Traffic was brought to a standstill, and railway service between New York City and Washington D.C. was cut off for two days. Flooding left 1000 persons homeless, and caused an estimated 25 million dollars damage. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from Utah to North Dakota, spawning a dozen tornadoes in North Dakota. Thunderstorms in North Dakota also produced baseball size hail at Clifford which caused four million dollars damage, and high winds which toppled a couple of eighty foot towers cutting off power to the town of Blanchard. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - While cool air invaded the central U.S., unseasonably hot weather continued over the western states. The temperature at Spring Valley, NV, soared from a morning low of 35 degrees to an afternoon high of 95 degrees. Fallon, NV, reported an all-time record high of 108 degrees, and Death Valley, CA, reported their sixth straight day of 120 degree heat. (The Weather Channel) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Afternoon thunderstorms over Florida produced wind gusts to 92 mph at Jacksonville, damaging thirteen light planes at Herlong Field. Five cities in Texas reported record low temperatures for the date. Corpus Christi, TX, equalled their record low for the date with a reading of 71 degrees, and then tied their record high for the date that afternoon with a reading of 97 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) Observances: 21 Tue National Junk Food Day 21 Tue Invite an Alien to Live with You Day 21 Tue Legal Drinking Age Day 21 Tue National Craft for your Local Shelters Day 21 Tue National Be Someone Day 21 Tue No Pet Store Puppies Day 21 Tue Take a Monkey to Lunch Day

warning went out for that after my post, but that is for the cell south of the one I was referring too

Why isn't it dying...warm front storm?

I'd be careful with the bold ... The straight up linear correlation, sure - that's ...sort of similar to the tripole SST state, which is highly correlated to -NAOs..etc..etc..but, the causality of why that colder region is notable there is circumstantially - quite possibly - evolved for different reason.. Mimicry, in other words. There's is ongoing research about a recent decadal persistent "Atlantic cold blob" that is being geophysically connected to a longer term changes/flux of the AMOC ... Of course, CC and attribution science is all over that. Some bigger media, definitely social media doomers, are pumping out warnings how that's portends the end of the G-string circulation eddy et al ... reaming on people's chode hair that the new paradigm will mean a black and white noir this that and the other Michael Bay plot line surreality ... yadda yadda. Who knows, but the point is, if there are kernels of truth to that whole science and/or science-narrative, on-going, than it's being caused for other reasons.

There’s a warning for that storm

Then the 13z HRRR comes in and is back to total garbage for everyone.