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What's a mosquito? A

Nice, George BM! I love your summer storm presentations!

It's only 80 degrees today, nice high cloud overcast. But the dewpoint is a muggy 77. It's a real sweatshop out there today!

You time all the moisture a strong Nino brings with cold air = serious Brobdingnagian blizzard that could set new 200 year records for DCA and the entire sub! Moisture laden storm in our sub, cold air in our sub, Super Nino in the sub, OUR Super Nino. Look out Mid Atlantic! You're gonna need a MUCH BIGGER SHOVEL!

The breeze has been nice today working around the house finishing the summer patio set-up. Hoping it dies down after dinner tho, finally put the boat in the water and the wife wants to go for a cruise.

Severe tomorrow??

Got up to 78* in Mattapoisett. Nice and comfy breeze along with it. COC.

I am not sure. A warm front passed early in the day, so that would mean RW/TRW were likely. In the afternoon, it was three distinct supercells, one in NH and two in MA. Then I think w/ the actual cold front there were few more severe storms, based on photos near sunset that showed crisp CBs on the horizon well the E of Rutland MA. Warm front passages in the morning w/ RW/TRW occurred both on 7/10/1989 and 6/1/2011.

Yeah, the trough that posed a cutoff risk is being pushed a little to the east so that heat ridge moves in. Nothing impressive but upper 80s to lower 90s and spots possible later next week into the weekend. After that, it does look like a more humid set up moves in, still see that happening second half of June.

The index was called DAX... Differential Advection Index.

Sounds like '89. Had penny size hail and continous lightning for more than 3 hours in falmouth

Tomorrow will be fair and hot with highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s. Should Central Park reach 90°, 2026 would become the first year on record that New York City had a high of 80° or above in March and highs of 90° or above in April, May, and June. Some showers or thundershowers are possible early Sunday. Highs will still reach the lower and middle 80s. Somewhat cooler conditions early next week will give way to a return to above normal temperatures for the remainder of the week. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.0°C for the week centered around May 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.90°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -29.81 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.795 today.

It might not be as east-based as either of those two ENSO events, but there's still a lot of time before the anomalies peak. It looks solidly east-based, perhaps evolving into a basinwide event as it weakens.

Euro and CANSIPS completely different over the EPO domain for the Winter.

Just some added info. Dr. Mel Goldstein (who passed away in 2012?) developed a Severe Weather Index in the 1970's that was used to gauge severe weather potential in SNE. The index ranged from 1 to 5; 1 little or no severe wx potential, 5 was strong potential for tornadoes. He worked closely with region electricity suppliers to gauge the threat for power outages. In his morning update on October 3rd his index came in as 5!!! He issued updates during the day indicating the tornado potential was high, and in fact called the Office of Emergency Management several times about his concern. As a side note, I was living on the western edge of the Farmington Valley then, and observed obvious large scale low-level rotation racing northeast about 10 to 15 minutes prior to touchdown in Windsor Locks.

88-89F here. Not too bad with low humidity.

Yea, that's how I feel. I don't see it showing up in the seasonal mean like the CANSIPS implies, but probably periods of it, especially in the 2nd half.

@weatherwiz go to Brooks BBQ, a few extra pounds on you will make spiders more fearful !!

Same, granted mostly wooded areas

90 earlier, 88 now

Thank you so much for this. I’ve often wondered what the day was like elsewhere

Yeah but the humidity made it unbearable.

Oneonta is our target area for tomorrow!

Ahead of the tornadoes, communities across the region were battered by massive hailstones, with baseball-sized hail reported in multiple towns. Cape Cod experienced vivid, continuous lightning for nearly three hours that evening