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Like you said, day 10, so who knows. Feels like it makes sense to lean warmer though unless there ends up being a massive Greenland block.
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Hourly is a smorgasbord of p-types up here. 4.2" of snow, just to get washed down a drain by 1+ inch of rain and mid-40's. Yesterday's storm will be the better of the two. Spring needs to get here asap
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Soon as I’m out. They pull me back in.
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Reading the blizzard warnings in these. would be epic to experience one of these midwestern blizzards one day. True blizzard stuff
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Anyone have an 18z Euro map?
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Need it to slow down enough to get the midnight snowfall. ATP we're just running back Thursday- 228 replies
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Had a cool visitor today, a "Leucistic" red-tail hawk. When I first saw it at a distance, I thought it was a snowy owl, but then he perched right behind the sugarhouse and saw it was a raptor. Supposedly they're pretty rare. short vid here:
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fun to watch the shift in guidance today… much of 12z guidance shifted north, except the euro, which shifted south. now, much of 18z guidance is shifting south, and the euro has doubled down to shift even more south. zero surprise over any of this.
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Ensembles don’t really look all that warm out past day 10 but who knows.
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Euro leads the way even in summer
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
GFS, RAP, and NAM slow the front down a bit and push it through during peak heating now.- 228 replies
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62 for the high. The most boring posts.
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18z GFS next weekend
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
So does CTP. My forecast says snowfall accumulation of less than one inch, which to me says that they think up to an inch could be possible. -
We will see new tiers of percentages. Remember they now have even higher percentages for wind to account for those days when it's widespread and almost certain - but the max intensity is like 58-65mph. I think 60% wind outlooks will become a lot more common with this new outlook strategy.
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I’m in the middle Tennessee area East of i65 .
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Nam would be a lot of 50-60+.
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Which using the new tables, means CIG 1 60 or CIG 2 45
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Defintely Would be awesome
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
That's for the Day 1 midday update when we're socked in with fog and still in the 40s.- 228 replies
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I'd think so as well, but wouldn't be surprised if they go mod for wind in the morning update.
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Chicago hit 87, just one degree off the all-time monthly record. Can also guarantee that isn’t happening either, but another string of 60s and 70s would be nice.
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Downgrade to marginal lol
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Afternoon, IMO.- 228 replies
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Wife and I went up to the flower and pottery outlet off of I77 in Fancy Gap, Va this afternoon. There was still a slight covering of snow lying in the shady areas of the entrance road on the way in. It's waiting on the next batch to arrive, per the old wives tale.
