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  2. mappy
    Local news did a good job mentioning the risk for later tonight in the brief weather hit. Hopefully people pay attention.
  3. Yardstickgozinya
    The sun sucks, cumulus clouds are way cooler to look at.
  4. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  5. Yardstickgozinya
    I absolutely hate canadian air and blue bird skies. Reminds of fall and another boring weather periods. If it's gonna be cooler, the sky needs to least be filled with cumulus congestis to keep hopes alive and promote the top water bite.
  6. GaWx
    I agree he’s a blowhard and not a nice person, and he’s been dead wrong on several things (including claiming “Heat Dome” is a recent term used primarily by alarmists and first claiming this disaster was caused by an earthquake), but I don’t think it’s a waste of time to post his stuff as especially Don and I have done the last few months. Because he’s been widely read/quoted in recent months, he often shows data to support his posts (whether misleading or not), and is smart/well spoken/pretty clear communicator, I think his posts should be addressed here whether in disagreement or not. A person like him who many here disagree with is the perfect person to bring into the discussion to make for robust discussion. To avoid people with very different views tends to make forums like this closer to an echo chamber. The most interesting forums aren’t afraid to consider major differences of opinion and debate them. Also, it’s good to be open-minded as I feel I am on most topics.
  7. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  8. Powerball
    Multiple active tornado warnings across Metro Detroit right now with Round 4, including all of Wayne County...
  9. Yardstickgozinya
    I do
  10. Orange county
    I was working at the Old Guilford Courthouse in Greensboro in the summer of 1977 That old giant Bank thermometer near us hit 100 a lot. I also remember the Greensboro paper running an article about a string of farms that got popup thunderstorms nobody else in the County Got-about 5 times.They were embarrassed to be so lucky while the rest of the county crops burned up
  11. GaWx
    Hello Newman, For this winter, I’m thinking (none of this should be surprising based on super Nino analogs/models): -above normal precip (up to 3” above) within a couple hundred miles of the NE coast with highest anomalies near the coast and closer to normal well inland -above to MA normal precip SE with the largest anomalies in the deep SE/FL, where 4-8” will be common -anomalies tending to get colder as one goes further SE -New England/NE US likely to average 3-5F warmer than normal with warmest in N New England -Mid-Atlantic will likely average ~1-3F warmer than normal with closest to normal near coast -SE likely averaging near normal to slightly colder than normal with coldest anomalies deep SE/FL -Regarding snowfall, the SE tends to do best anomalywise in moderate or stronger El Niño winters. But even so, much of the SE, especially deep, is unforecastable since it takes only 1-2 snowstorms (often just 1) to make it a very winter there. But that chance tends to be best with El Niño winters vs other winters averaged out. Strong+ Nino winters have tended to have the best chance though moderate may be close.
  12. yoda
    @high risk when looking at future radar, should i be looking more at composite or 1km AGL? Or neither lol
  13. anotherman
    Who likes dew points in the low 80s? That is truly tropical air in freaking Pennsylvania.
  14. Itstrainingtime
    Today is not as bad as I feared it would be. Having said that, I completely agree with the sentiment.
  15. Brewbeer
    he's a blowhard not worth wasting time on
  16. anotherman
    Oh yes I can. Get this crap out of here.
  17. yoda
    Granted its 1km AGL reflectivity and composite reflectivity, but I don't hate what the 18z RRFS is showing between 02z and 06z for the region
  18. high risk
    It’s actually more likely the storms firing out ahead over northeast Ohio. That would be better, because we want these storms to arrive as early as possible.
  19. NorthHillsWx
    Nope it fell apart just before reaching here, nothing but some mood drops. We blew the top off the thermometer today, topped out at 101.8!!!
  20. FPizz
    I took mine too, but am parking in the garage later
  21. yoda
    Fwiw, both 16z and 17z HRRR have an MCS/line/complex come rolling through the region between midnight and 3am. 17z HRRR encompasses more of the region than the 16z run did. Not saying its severe, just something to think about overnight as we watch it develop out to our NW ETA - 18z HRRR same idea... but an hour or so faster
  22. Stormlover74
    Up to 87
  23. GaWx
    Indeed, it has become more E based despite a flat Nino 3.4 recently since Nino 3 has warmed some while Nino 4 has cooled some netting out to an essentially flat period for Nino 3.4.
  24. winterwx21
    I'll tell you though, it felt great running in 69 degrees and cloudy yesterday. Not nice weather obviously, but great for outdoor exercise.
  25. GaWx
    Thanks, Charlie. Interesting. The contradiction of viewpoints/supporting data and info as well as the complexities involved in this terrible disaster are why I said that most of what Martz put in that post is at least worthy of discussion/debate. I think that the odds of CC being at least a little involved are high. I feel that the main debate is whether CC was a major factor or just a minor factor. I agree that it’s too early to conclude anything and there likely will be continued disagreements in upcoming releases. We may never know the exact answer.
  26. SI Mailman
    Taking my car tot he car wash, so we will get hit hard with storms later.
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