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Thanks. As w/ so much, there is usually more to the story, or details to add that change what one (or the MSM) may think immediately. You can't just gloss over every event. Not all record high temps, for instance, are due to a large-scale pattern that promote high heat or anomalies. An example would be a heat burst, which are mesoscale phenomena, and I think all-time records at some locations across the globe are due to this phenomena. Another example, and in colder climates this is often the reason for record temps, are local, strong downslope winds (chinook, foehn, sirocco, etc, -- there are many names across the globe for this!). Here's another recent case for hot temps. Hong Kong recently recorded its all-time record high temp (98) on Aug 9. Why?, b/c downslope offshore winds from Typhoon Dolphin that made landfall well to the N. So given the strong tropical sun and lower dew points, why wouldn't this happen? But it does not mean there was a big heat wave in progress across southern China or "heat dome" present! Dolphin was a very large typhoon at landfall, so the atypical part here was that many typhoons make landfall in ern China, and the vast majority of the time, you don't get record hot temps to the S. In the case, you had very long parcel trajectories originating deep within the Asian continent, so there you go. Daily or month record high temps have occurred in the CONUS b/c of this. Corpus Christi has had this happen a few time when a hurricane made landfall to the NE, as one example. Where did the dry air pocket come from in FL? I don't know, but it was small-scale, so it does not represent the synoptic or hemisphere pattern either way! And aren't such wx details cool? It shows the sheer variety of what can happen and how there is always something new to learn or something one was not aware of.

Dews n Stein n CoC. Same old same old. Ya'll can come over here if you want some summer weather. High and lows for the month:

Hopefully not here-we are waterlogged. Was odd I was in south Jersey for vacation it's been really dry there-trees dropping leaves and burnt out grass

I'm not suggesting that we are going back to the 60s in a few years, so I think we're on the same page there.

79/71 it's a solid beach day

Bbbbuuuutttttt the cccc hhharrttss….

Dews at “Back broken” time

IMO no. I think we’ve got a long stretch of 90s coming in Sept at some point before we get entrenched in a long, cool & wet pattern.

Ken gone wild. Ginxy doesn’t live in CON but ok

Beer?

It was near 70 at the time of your post.

pretty sick storm in my hometown. yuge surge

If some of the models are correct there could be a flooding threat tomorrow with some areas getting 2 to 4 inches of rain. Probably will be the usual situation with some spots getting a lot of rain while other spots get a little.

the beginning of the end of summer?

Looking at Mt Holly and the models watch this be a reverse June 27th.

Big 35

Can I get away with planting a dwarf Alberta Spruce IMBY this weekend? Or is it too soon.

Do you whine about everything? Just enjoy it. Remarkable stretch.

It was a beautiful morning; went cycling up the Parkway this AM:

A grand total of .02 here overnight.

Yeah, but was is equilibrium when d(C) is not only positive, but d(d(C)) at that. The second derivative being the acceleration quotient. That means that any return state is returning a higher level. So if the idea is to return below the warmer state, that basis has changed higher. Climate doesn't move that fast, no. But as 2023 evinces ... the jolt by .5 and holding there, probably was a two-fold factorization of the Earth being behind schedule in warming - so a bit of a restoring force, while also having the longer term slope of changing positive.

yeah like a 6" depth

Interesting that the JMA 3 mth updated, it goes out to NOV. Its already showing the Canadian ridge in place which is ahead of schedule. Paul Roundy posted last week that one of his tools has the Candian ridge in early DEC similar to 1997. It is possible, some interest in DEC may develop early then fade. Can we get any cold air at that point is the big question. Paul's tool suggest block further west in Canada early.

The pattern continues as well with me being in the office tomorrow...always.