All Activity

All good points. There is way, WAY too much focusing by some on how much a temp has risen at any given location than there is to the overall pattern. The snow season spans a minimum of half the year for most northern locations, same as it always has. The key is the pattern, the indices, the storm tracks, the available moisture. Its actually gotten comical how some have tried to push the record snow from a decade ago as being in the far distant past or in a different era.

Stay downstate.

60/45 Summeh.

Found out today my coworkers family cabin burned down due the fires up north. They can’t even clean up until the insurance adjuster comes out which isn’t for another week. Ironically he showed me a picture of unscathed plastic chairs surrounded the fire pit. Nearing 2” storm total precipitation in Minneapolis. Perfect long duration event. Wish it would spread further north.

I was hot last night. Mowed the lawn this morning in shorts and flip flops, lol

I think the more realistic scenario is by the time the decadal NAO shifts to negative (could be 20 years), the global temperature would have caught up with the impacts of the index, neutralizing it a little bit. However, this 7-10 year snow drought is so extreme, that we will probably see a bump when more -NAO conditions prevail.

Don’t thinker hit the fords at high of 71. It’s 62 at 3:30.

Probably less than 9 months the way its been

Storming heavily here with warnings to my south and north.

Tornado warning, Anderson, Knox, Morgan near @Holston_River_Rambler

also less than 10 months away from the end of next winter, though. Creeping up

The way I look at it though there's 31 days until the longest day of the year then we start losing daylight again.. and only 73 days until August 1st and the crappiest month of the year is behind us

Yup only one night I could of really used it. But it wasn't worth it with the cool air were having now.. it will change soon though

43F for the low this morning 39.9F near the Qtown airport on Wunderground

This is the latest I've made it without installing in long time. Might make it close to June at this point

I've been thinking the first week or so of June for installs.. probably go from cool to boiling for two months..

I'm not a big fan of the portable ones in general due to efficiancy, although they have improved. But they only allow this type of unit where she lives. So far, so good. They are required to run the heat in the building until May 31 I guess...

2006-2007 moderate El Nino...also with -PDO like 2023-2024 and 1972-1973.

Most recent event by ENSO state Strong el nino: 2023-24 (super el nino: 2015-16) Moderate el nino: 2002-03 Weak el nino: 2018-19 (possibly continued into 2019-20?) ENSO neutral: 2024-25 (event currently in progress) Weak la nina: 2016-18 Moderate la nina: 2020-23 Strong la nina: 2010-11

Mine was really old and most likely very inefficient so probably skewing my opinion a bit, guessing the 2025 versions are certainly a little better.

I guess I agree with him that the recent -NAO/+PNA periods haven't been producing, but I'm not sure he agrees with me that a flip in the WPO would largely remedy that...aside from some marginal events that are growing ever more difficult to tilt favorably in a warmer atmosphere. However, I think the storm track issue is largely tied to the +WPO/NAO. IOW, I'm confident we will get BM tracks if we could muster a -WPO/-NAO/+PNA.

Totally - still can't resist looking as a .

Just got back from a 6.5 mile walk. Absolutely beautiful out today! Get out and enjoy it with the next few days coming. This will be a nice soaking rain once again.

you must have been near freezing on this date in 2002, ironic after a huge historic heatwave in April that year and the nicely hot and dry summer to follow.