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Think happy cold thoughts

Beer

LMAO. My recollection of dates is a disaster

It is but if they do see you driving i doubt they stop you.

With the storm this weekend and the one next weekend... Gonna be a lot of sleepless nights!!! I'll be dragging ass at work all week !!

Yeah, it will be interesting for you. Redhouse will likely switch over. Good news is that if it does flip over, it will be towards the end and 90% of your precip will have already fallen as Snow.

20” in Savoy and 10” in N Adams, literally 10 minute drive but world of difference.

Over my fanny

2013

yes, seems since 730pm the wind here has cranked up! 16F/6 windchill

Just saw on Ryan Hall, from what I'vegathered this system is apparently capable of or is in the process of creating thunder snow/sleet/ice.

This is how we salt the roads in Maryland!

There's been some light sleet in Norman, and Google Maps is saying there are travel impacts on I-35 and I-44 south of the OKC metro.

bruh if this corrects even MORE warm… this would be worse than my pessimistic 6-8in call for ABE before sleet

It has begun -- moderate snow at Dodge City KS, temp zero F. Moderate sleet near Wichita Falls TX, temp 27 F. My current take is very sharp snowfall cutoff close to I-95, hope I am wrong by 25-50 miles (south) but somewhere in that general area, gradients of 2 or 3 inches total snowfall every 10 miles until you reach an all-snow zone something like Frederick to York to Allentown. North of that, 12-16 local 20. So across DC region, it could be 8" south to 12" north, or just as easily 4" to 8". I will go with median values there and say 6" near DCA and 10" near IAD. Around 8-10" BWI to 12-15" Westminster. Would love to see this verify along GFS lines instead but often, the result of model disparity and model range is a weighted consensus. If the ECM stays near average of GFS and NAM output, then it will most likely do better than both of them. Should be a very impactful storm regardless of details. Expect thunder-snow or sleet mid-afternoon Sunday about when coastal begins to deepen.

Morch storm 2018. 22” here. All East inflow

DT says go with 18z Nam

You could drive from the Texas/Mexico border to north central Vermont right now and be under a WSW the entire way. Wild.

23F but the wind is starting to crank...

Yeah people trying to fit this into a normal SWFE dynamic are just wrong, IMO. This has upside many of these do not have, as has already been mentioned. Even if the coastal portion ends up meh, Easter SNE could still add a few inches of fluff as everything moves east.

DT like 18z Nam thinks its not done correcting warm

Hey Siri, when did the front come through?

Very good map

Your area did pretty well didn't it?

It's definitely a defined circulation that organized in southern Mexico induced by another upper air circulation