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I'm expecting 2-3 deg machine number cool bias Fri/Sat, too. Back side attenuated cool advection becomes mainly a DP evac, leaving the region with W-NW d-slope with still +14 850s has super adiabatic expansion ...blah blah... I bet it's 88+ and in fact the MEX is already doing 90 now that I look at KBDL-KFIT-KASH .... this should translated into town no problem in that synoptic. In fact, we may materialize the heat wave beginning Sat -->

If you select a spot away from the metros, it looks more reasonable (Reston 99 on GFS, 102 on Euro). The models got too good and are projecting the tarmac temps

It would be interesting to see the 500MB charts from (Jul 15-20) 2013 and (Jul 16 - 24) 2011 to compare vs the forecasted ridge as well as 2024 (June). Jun 7-10 had some strong heat as well for if talking June specific.

yeah hot run

69° / 62 dew point. Feeling a little warm already. I can imagine how I will feel next week.

Seven days w/o measurable precip - last time that happened here was in January. June average rain is 5.11" (2nd only to OCT) but we're on a 2.5" pace so far. The month has often been tough on the garden, either a washout like 1998, 2009, 2023 or sun-baked Stein like 2004 and 2021. With 2 weeks left, June 2025 hasn't landed in either extreme - yet.

Already had two showers blow thru this am, but still under .10 total. Boy is it miserably muggy. Currently 72.2/70.0, feels like a sauna out there.

Meanwhile 96 hours of sub 70 a mighty task for June 66 here.

Yeah I have my second to last tournament up in Churchville this weekend... so far we have been able to get every tournament in this year. Next weekend's EOY tournament is at the beach.

Thursday's severe threat seems decent especially near/west of I-91. Mid-level lapse rates are fairly steep plus decent low and deep layer shear.

Hot spot. Over the last 20 years, the BDL average for year's hottest is 98.2. 15 years reached 97 or hotter, though only 5 set a year's hottest before July 1.

Summer softball starts tomorrow. Need some sun to dry out soggy infields

Yea, I saw that..oof. I took mine apart as much as I could and did a bleach cleaning and let it dry. I think every window AC prob has some type of issue with water and some mold, but yea looks like a design flaw.

I never lost power at my home in little ferry. It surged all night but never went out. Was odd being one of the few houses in the area with full power...and A/C!

Let's break the power grid. 105+

Much of central PA is now under a moderate risk of excessive rainfall today. CTP highlighting the area for "Dangerous Flooding."

We live on an island surrounded by water…

Yeah I’m selling on 104-106. 100 though seems possible

This looks fun for Thursday....

We just set the all-time 500mb height record last June at 599 DM. So getting a ridge nearly this strong only a year later is pretty extreme. Several spots around the region made it to 100°. This time around the models are forecasting 850mb temperatures which will be several degrees higher around 22C to 23C. So there is a good chance that the usual warm spots from Central NJ to interior Queens will see 100° or higher heat next week with how unusually well the ensembles agree. Newark recently set their June all-time high of 103° back in 2021 which could be challenged. LGA recorded their 2nd highest June high temperature at 100°. Their all-time June high is 101° set in 2017.

lets frickin roast

Slight risk for Thursday…of course I won’t be around, instead I’ll be in Denver baking in 100 degree heat. I also managed to pick the deadest 3 day period for storms in Denver since storm season began, so no chasing like I was looking forward to. Oh well.

Euro ran way too high last year at range. GFS seems to have a high bias in the metro areas too.

While a bit warmer out than yesterday, 71. Just got myself a nice cup of tea and popped my slippers on. Also I know there are others on here with PWS in their yards. I have had my station reporting to Weather Underground for sometime now. But I finally was able to get my reporting set up for PWSWeather. It does not activate right away as it does quality checks of your station before making it active. But I have mine up and reporting now. You can find the link below in my signature. They have a handy App also for on the go.