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  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I buy it for MBY.
  3. CAPE
    Down to 28 here. Fire going.
  4. SnoSki14
    High is moving out, antecedent airmass isn't cold enough. Track won't help. You need to be well N&W or elevated
  5. snowfan
    34 imby with a 100% chance of a killer sapwood stout.
  6. wishcast_hater
    I know it’s way too early for accumulation projections but The Weather Channel has me down for 5-8” and AccuWeather 3-6”. One can only dream. .
  7. wishcast_hater started following Discussion OBS for minor to possibly moderate impact winter storm interior 4A Tue - midnight Tue 12/2/25, may bring first measurable snow-sleet to coastal areas including NYC
  8. OrdIowPitMsp
    Still churning out pixie dust at a decent rate. It’s been a 14-1 snow/liquid ratio at the airport.
  9. SnowenOutThere
  10. weatherwiz
    Can't wait to see how amped the NAM turns out to be based on the look so far.
  11. hlcater
    10.2" on the stick. Perhaps another inch yet to go per guidance and radar trends.
  12. snywx
    28° here
  13. Torch Tiger
    if not?
  14. ChiTownSnow
    Nice weenie band overhead.. Good storm . Fun to track.. let's do it again
  15. brewman22001 started following December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
  16. brewman22001
    Getting sleet here in the Rutledge Pike area as well .
  17. weatherwiz
    Isn't Google DeepMind the one which has had extremely encouraging results, however, also described as "the model is able to produce great results, however, the model has no clue how it derived the results". There was some article or paper on this a year or two ago.
  18. Met1985
    Temp just dropped to 30.
  19. cyclone77
    Sure was nice to use the snowblower and not freeze to death. Snow is wetter feeling than expected. Probably from the wind granulating it. Guessing ratios were pretty close to 10:1. Haven't measured since 5 but may have added a half inch. Snow's been very light the past few hours. DVN was 9.5" as of 6pm, MLI had 8.8".
  20. CAPE
    Stop whining about the NS lol. In winter a busy NS is the norm more times than not, unless we are torching, then who cares. A quiet NS in a 'good winter pattern' usually only happens when we have a legit persistent NA blocking pattern like 2009-10, in something like the ideal Modoki Nino with a legit southern jet. Doesnt happen that often.
  21. CoastalWx
    Wish they had that model running for something other than tropicals.
  22. SHELEG
    If we get the perfect track temps will come down.
  23. Chambana
    The best part about this storm? It’s only November 29th. What a bang to start the winter season. Thundersnow was reported in Mahomet roughly 15 miles from Champaign. Such a good storm.
  24. michsnowfreak
    DTW has been SN+ for 2 hours now. Visibility low and roads slippery. Beautiful out!
  25. weatherwiz
    doing both
  26. A-L-E-K
    Another nice period here, nothing too extreme rate wise at any point but done well to avoid any prolonged screw holes
  27. kdxken
    Eff the bufkit. Watch the game. Saturday, Saturday, Saturday night's all right.
  28. Terpeast
    If you compare the 500mb maps they aren’t all that different. The block west of alaska on aifs ens is further west on eps, but eps shows more western US ridging. Both show a TPV in canada with a eastern trough and a -NAO. Biggest thing is how the Alaska domain is resolved, as that will have big effects downstream.
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