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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
LVblizzard replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Storm west of Doylestown is starting to rotate too. That’s probably going to become warned very shortly. -
Yes, but normal waxing and waxing decadal cycles of tornado activity occur by default in the large picture, For instance, there was a distinct minimum in annual totals inn the second half of the 1980s, and another in the mid 2010s. Also, all states are not created equal for symmetric tornado count changes Population change/distribution and visibility are two factors. Also, seasonal trends. For instance, there appears to be a shift for more tornadoes in the cool season w/ a decrease in the warm season. This would tend to make tornado spotting and reporting under-reported in the cool season b/c of less daylight. Hence, uniform extrapolation over all areas/states can not be applies here. There is still and increase net-net of course.
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Has to be some hail in there too, some 68dbz pixels showing up
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
It’s combined with the cell that popped up over 66 (I was driving west to get the culpeper cell) and it was nasty. Some of the heaviest rainfall you can get. The gust front is hitting me from the cell complex. I’m at the Herndon metro garage if anyone is interested in where my reports are from. They have a 6 story roof.- 849 replies
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This morning Mount Holly actually had 1-2" in the forecast here for tonight, with a quarter to a half inch today. I knew that forecast was a bust. Now a half to three quarters tonight, and pretty much nothing this afternoon/early evening. See what it gives. There's always the delayed but not denied thing for tomorrow if tonight underwhelms with another piece of energy slowing the front. I'm sure it will all work out.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
DanTheMan replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
In that cell between Culpepper and Warrenton, getting some legit straight line wind- 849 replies
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Not sure why folks were wishing for this. To each his own I guess.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Downburst evident on the terminal radars.- 849 replies
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just as predicted the sun is shining through here in Northern Middlesex County NJ setting the stage for the next round of Heavy Rain/Storms racing this way from PA This group of storms features a Tornado TOR from KPHI
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Looks like a supercell and it is splitting now.
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So all states would be skewed in the same manner pretty much right? How would that data be invalid for hypothesizing about a movement east of tornado Alley?
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Healthy +ENSO coupled mid-latitude cell showing up in the central pacific on the GEFS. W pac forcing starting to diminish. -
F#%K
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Yeah no s***.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Going for my Herndon metro intercept point- 849 replies
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It's coming down in buckets in Midtown.
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.03". Next round moving in from PA...
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
batmanbrad replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
whoa that cell near Manassas sure got itself together in a hurry... could be heading for DC?- 849 replies
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There is a force field over the northeast it seems
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Absolutely pouring at times here in Kearny. Skies were black as might earlier.
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Best rains may by CT/RI/SE MA with this batch.
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Drought busting 0.03 with this batch
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
Hurricane Agnes replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
