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Yep. Subsurface anomalies are over +8C now. We have left 1972-73, 1982-83 and 2015-16 in the dust. The only El Niño even comparable to being this warm this early in the subsurface is the 1997-98 super El Niño. And the record DWKW has just begun to propagate east And there are more WWBs to come….

Heavy rain and storms rolling in.

Looks like the Euro whiffed on the light rain, thank goodness. We are getting a heavy thunderstorm currently.

'Can definitely believe all the clear-air CG lightning strikes. Considering all the severe hail dumping that unfolded in DFW Saturday night. But despite what NWS claims, those more powerful +CG strikes originating from near the tops of storms can definitely strike more than 15 miles away, as I've seen before.

I recently read a book on ancient Rome- did you know the “kids these days” routine can even be found back then?

ARC137-280400- /O.CON.KLZK.TO.W.0018.000000T0000Z-260428T0400Z/ Stone AR- 1046 PM CDT Mon Apr 27 2026 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN STONE COUNTY... At 1046 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located near Mountain View, moving east at 35 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! Yep, this setup had all the classic signs. Just before I hit the hay, the warnings burgeon and the monsters emerge.

My dad said he measured an inch of rain in his bucket. Again, .3in of rain at Newport News International Airport.

I agree. The CAM's were stacking these semi discreet bows like Civil War regiment lines for the last 48hrs whereas the lower res models were playing the synoptic game. Think the CAM's won (maybe not the HRRR, it was just wonky). Some of them looked like late June/July ridge riding cold pool driven bows. Definitely not enough spacing for any sups to bust and run. There's still 80/70's down south and a definite nocturnal threat ongoing down there. Kinda the price we pay in Spring for these setups. We need wide open warm sectors all morning and day with just enough capping to allow more surface based initiation. Sux to waste a stout EML that worked its way this far East. Those will be harder and harder to come by as we move into mid June.

46F in the northern valleys, but the sandy SE MA soil is radiating better so far. Low-40s there.

Boomers have been running this country since 1993 - and look where we are. So don't blame it on us.

Hollabaughs sounds less catastrophic- let’s hope that’s true

Yup...28F to 74F at BML today. Love to see it.

As expected it was a non-event for the entire DVN cwa. Another bullet dodged.

Don't mow for a few more weeks and it'll go to seed. Harvest the seeds and put them in a paper bag for a few days then scatter them the day before it rains. If it's already growing on your land successfully it will continue. Buying grass seed is way too expensive anymore.

Just for perspective, 2009 was 17 years ago. The climate has not rapidly changed in 17 years. Declaring it has is disingenuous

Just so much crowding with these storms today. I think they get too hyped on ingredients anymore, sure the SRH was great but they gotta have room to breathe

If you want to know where the worst weather is just open you're favorite flight tracker lol

I'm extremely thrilled about this... 57F at 9:30pm

Round 2 of thundery rain is almost here.

Good luck. Seed it now before the weeds take over. We have a cool period now with some rain coming this week.

Got up to 75F in the valley after a sub-freezing morning. Could do this weather for months.

70 today. Gorgeous

Tomorrow and Wednesday will see temperatures reach the lower and middle 60s, with tomorrow being the warmer day. However, another shot of rain followed by somewhat cooler temperatures will arrive during the middle of the week. A general 0.50"-1.00" rainfall appears likely for Wednesday into Thursday. May could also open with cooler than normal conditions. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.7°C for the week centered around April 22. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.47°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.27°C. El Niño conditions will likely develop during late spring or early summer. The SOI was -19.11 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.189 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 55.2° (1.5° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.2° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

As far as posting activity goes, nothing's changed for the almost 3 years I've been on here now. Really, the only time this state topic gets (real) activity is when snow or a tornado outbreak is forecast in NTX. Which is extremely typical on this wx forum. At least with snow. My goal here (with whatever energy & motivation I can use), is to cover all other wx aspects and parts of this big lone star state I've lived in all my life. Which is also why I do not include OK in these threads. Aside from that, you should already know this is a completely public thread. Anyone, can look up what's being said or discussed in here on major search engines, at least. Google is obviously a no-brainer. The thread view counter, does mean something.