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41F and balmy for this time of year

euro bad and icon bad too now. this storm might not happen at all

Guessing no, since posts went "poof" faster than the long range PD II.

Good Lord Met1985!!! Do you have some spare rooms for people to hang out??? 2026 NCZ051-052-141430- /O.NEW.KGSP.WW.Y.0001.260114T2000Z-260115T1700Z/ Swain-Haywood- 123 AM EST Wed Jan 14 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO NOON EST THURSDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... * WHAT...Snow expected above 3500 feet. Total snow accumulations up to 11 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Elevations above 3500 feet in Haywood and Swain Counties. * WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to noon EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...The heavy snow will make many roads impassable and may produce widespread power outages due to the weight of the snow on tree limbs and power lines. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday evening and Thursday morning commutes. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches.

0z Ukie was close

Time travel to March 1993.

Where are you snowstorm?? I cannot find you…. I live in the foothillsssss…. Just sing that in your best Cindy Lou voice. .

Hope so, if not it looks like 3 chances for snow or ice to end January.

Your going to get another snow most likely.

To far east. To far west. To far north. To far south. Oh the life of wanting snow in the NC foothills. It used to not be so frickin hard just to see a little snow around here.

Interesting, hopefully a coastal low will form.

*sigh* we are getting skipped again

Spring is coming ! Flowers , grass turning green , trees are beginning to bud - The Mid Atlantic flora is springing to life .... Awesome ! But yeah I could wait a few extra weeks for a few weeks of deep deep winter or at least one big dog Nesis storm ! Nothing beats heavy falling snow , the peace beauty and tranquility - not even left over deep snow on the ground can compare - ala Ji...

That's the funniest model run I have ever seen. Lol Sent from my SM-S931U using Tapatalk

Being I’ll be in Morehead City this weekend for a family event this would be acceptable, but I’m always pulling for the triangle and my backyard. I really like being in the center of both GEFS and EPS means at this range for the triangle crowd. We’re in that 5-day range now so there is a lot of time for unhappy trends still but this isn’t a bad spot to be

UKIE is a bomb but much much warmer. It solves the precip problem but thermals are sketchy all the way to I-85. Given recent days of modeling I’ll take the look especially a juiced up solution

0Z Euro is sticking with the coastal regions of SE for heaviest but extends to RDU: 0Z EPS mean has sig. increase: RDU near the max with 0.6”: I count 18 with something in my area (largest I counted before was 13 on 12Z) and ~25 in RDU out of 50:

Could @GaWx score two years straight??? For all the work put in here, you deserve it. You have to be at least somewhat excited with both the GFS and Euro onboard for SE GA and a GEFS snow mean of around an inch not far away which in itself is crazy that far south

I can already hear the CBus people talking about how they got cheated out of 57 inches of snow.

GFS, EURO, UKIE all onboard for Sunday. GEFS is honestly a thing of beauty at this range. CMC is too flat and too warm. I think right now if you’re east of I-85 you’re solidly in the game on Sunday. While north trends will occur and we’re seeing that it will be interesting to see how far north it can go given this is mostly NS energy rather than a big phase with southern stream. That being said, you have to like where the triangle is at this juncture. Epic trends across the best modeling overnight

Winter is turning into a snoozefest. Even fantasy range is wearing granny underwear. What the hell is going on

Wide awake here in Danville sadly. Sleep is at a premium with this dang herniated disc and multiple pinched nerves, so I’m watching this closely. Been a hot minute since down here in Va that we got more than a dusting. .

The Jan 25 event is still in the GEFS mean. In fact it's stronger this run than last. It's a major QPF signal for 11 days out and has been for several runs. Obviously a tiny model change at initialization will propagate across the entire globe over 11 days to result in huge differences at the regional/synoptic scale.

Tick tick?