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  2. Typhoon Tip
    the s. hemisphere the tropics are lewd while the antarctic itself has a scary trend line originating over the last 1.5 months. It'll likely correct down some - we hope. The scalar value at the end of that rust curve is ~ 4th or 5th overall, to date. You don't wanna see early positive anomaly investments of that look before their annual recover is set to get going, in about a 3 weeks.
  3. AdamHLG
    wow! This guy did the math!
  4. Layman
  5. Sey-Mour Snow
    Upgraded WPC outlook looking like southern CT will see a good 2-4” soaking tonight.
  6. SnowenOutThere
    My take on today. Made before the Dulles sounding, but I doubt that changes too much from the parameters shown on mesoanalysis.
  7. vortex95
    I share your skepticism, b/c so many fails this summer. But past performance does not....
  8. IronTy
    Stay safe.
  9. wxmeddler
  10. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  11. MANDA
    Associated discussion and Flash Flood Watch was also lifted slightly north and NW from earlier this morning.
  12. dailylurker
    I'm trying to finish a job in Crofton and I'm getting nailed with heavy rain. It's a small shower but it's heavy.
  13. batmanbrad
    CSU-MLP latest had the best TOR chances between Baltimore and Philly
  14. yoda
    The 18z sounding should be very interesting
  15. GaWx
    The average 3.4 SSTa adjusted for GW has leaned significantly toward La Niña the last 20 years with an avg anomaly of -0.3C.
  16. dailylurker
    Raining and cloudy in Crofton. I've seen this one before lol
  17. chubbs
    Here's Zeke H latest forecasts (updated daily). An August record is almost guaranteed, while a record for 2026 is currently a coin flip. Monthly and yearly record odds have both been increasing as the month continues to run warm. https://dashboard.theclimatebrink.com/#global
  18. vortex95
    I know the event has yet to unfold, but recall a few days go, someone asked "is this it for svr for awhile for the region? And look at the DY3 outlook from 8/18 (attached). Now? 5% tor risk hatched? So it shows how things that do not look so good 3+ days out, can turn around, and sometimes big. The fine mesoscale details are everything, and sometimes it is only apparent that day hours before, or sometimes in real-time (June 5, 2024 comes to mind). May 3, 1999 epic OK tor outbreak. It was clear as mud as to the extent of that event. Morning outlook had SLGHT, upgraded to MDT by 1630z, and the 20z outlook when HIGH. The issue that day was lots of clouds and enough diurnal heating for storm to fire in the first place. And it was not synoptically-evident big tor outbreak day. And yet the result was the biggest single day OK tor outbreak for total tors (66) on record, and some monsters that revealed some amazing data from the DOWs. June 29.,2012 derecho here. That morning it was SLGHT, and by the aftn update, it was upgrade to HIGH as it was apparent the derecho in the OH Valley was taking on a life of its own, and again a historic event. The above are the exceptions, not the rule, but it shows how we can still be "surprised." And that uncertainty still exists today, despite all our advances.
  19. weatherbo
    Cool nights/dry weather can't help but notice.
  20. H2O
    12:58 it got sunny. I missed it by 6 fcking minutes
  21. GaWx
    1. Yes 2. I went from the beautiful Estes Park to Rock Cut (where I walked a bit) and then turned around. On the way back at Forest Canyon, I walked the entire paved path and checked out all of the amazing views. I also stopped at most of the pullovers on each side going and coming back. On the way down, I walked a short dirt path to a beautiful meadow with a tiny stream surrounded by wildflowers. Very peaceful with nobody nearby! (I can’t post because pics are way too large for the attachment limits here.) I spent a total of ~3 hours inside the park. 2. Thanks! Next time I may try Old Fall River Road. How does it compare to TRR safety wise? Even though I loved driving TRR and was very careful, I admit slight feelings of danger on the many parts with a steep drop right off the edge! @mayjawintastawm
  22. AlexD1990
    Seabreeze crappy thunderstorms firing up over my area
  23. wxmeddler
    I didn't expect the 5% or the # for that matter.
  24. Today
  25. mattie g
    That makes sense. I agree that sod scratches that need for satisfaction, but I’d like to try to make it work with seeding it. Just need to keep the dog off of it!
  26. MN Transplant
    0.03” overnight and 0.07” in the noon hour. Really racking it up now.
  27. mgerb
    Noon Excessive Rainfall probs increased to the moderate range for PHL/NYC metro.
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