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We had a positive trend for some on Tuesday, when the colder air held tough and over performed in a lot of inland area. It was a small win in that regard. So maybe we can keep the trend going…?

4amish

Bet the dry air will push it later than we think. I am thinking 7-8 at my area in W PWC.

And Miami will have the same as Weymouth and Seymour

Man this forum is pretty dead considering we have a chance at a little wintry mix early in the season...I know the Triangle isn't looking at much potential, hoping I can squeeze a little something out of this system here in Hillsborough. I'm a little less than an hour south of Danville.

What time is the onset of precipitation? Nam is super early. .

Exactly. But we have pro METS talking about sun angle and warm ground. Laughable.

Again CNE to Ray and Central Mass,good chance of a brief heavy heavy squall along the Arctic Boundary. This is in 40/70s hood

Honestly, where do some of these METS(NWS/TV etc) get their flawed ideas/knowledge from, that they are misleading the general public with. It’s pathetic actually.

Can't we just put to bed the sun angle garbage? It is such a misnomer.

These overnight runs really do us dirty, but we always come back during the day.

I moved from Richmond to Tampa last Friday. I am extremely upset right now…

Definitely feeling more confident in seeing "something" vs. a complete miss. Toggling through some of the other models (crappy ones mostly while bored), everything seems to pushing coverage north.

And we had forecasts worried about sun angle in December a couple days ago. I also still have ice on the trees.

So snow in the tn valley is basically a crapshoot at the moment? I've been trying to educate myself on what makes this particular area so difficult to forecast, it's really fascinating to me.

I had NWS’ snow prognostic in mind The results barely made the grade. In principle the snow area was shorted because in the fair sense we’d expect at least some mid ranged results … not just tickling chode hairs to validate a warning The southern region of the warned zones did fail altogether

We always prefer a system with some girth to it.

12z FV3 way north of its 0z. Flurries to I70.

If we were to take Kuchera as gospel on 12z RGEM: 06z at DCA was 0.2". 12z is 1.2"

Does this "dong slap" have quantifiable parameters to it? Perhaps based on depth, inches, pressure or intensity? All the above?

Will look and feel like Christmas

12z RGEM also moved north with its qpf field

Even the RGEM gets some light stuff to DC/a little north. Nice jump.

Said no woman ever ! Lol