All Activity

Map?

Yeah, this is a frozen event but sleet could do a huge number on reducing accumulations. Still it’s much better than freezing rain which would be horrific.

Probably more realistic euro run unfortunately. I think euro was best case north scenario and gfs was worse case south scenario so it's correcting some. An in between solution.

I am already cooked down here. I bought a sled, then some sleet cleats, and then batteries. Shit, I might need an umbrella. Good Luck to my previous crew!

Now we are on to who deserves more snow!

Record low hunting next Tuesday?

I blame this for the model chaos: https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/earth-just-hit-strongest-solar-160000803.html

Nice weenie band SW of Madison

Maybe I'm the only one who would be happy to get 4-6" of snow with a glacier of sleet/ice on top of it.

Upton also all in

So you’re saying i should be happy with my 11” and quarter inch of ice, i definitely trust you.

Byeeeee

EPS didn’t really move from my early look

We all know where this is going. As much as we hate to admit it, we can see the trend, which is not our friend. Better to accept it now than hold on to fading hopes. 4” of snow and epic ice is still exciting!

Mixing gets to the CT coast on that run. Not liking this trend at all.

I love when people tell you they don’t have time to but have time to tell you they don’t

Did any of you see northern lights out of this geomagnetic storm?

Typically the ceiling give or take 1-2" more, But there are other variables in play with duration, Moisture available and cold air.

I'm starting to run out of steam for this one. The changes over the last 48 hours have been almost too much, and even with this massive high and super cold we're still looking to take one squarely on the chin with sleet/freezing rain. Too many headfakes, too. I'm just worn out. Hoping against hope that the new flight data somehow helps us, but at this point I don't think I should be holding my breath.

I think the GEFS was more north than the GFS.

I'm pretty skeptical of the zr output for now. Imo, it would be more sleet than zr. I'll check 18z soundings when they come out but if they aren't much different then 12z I expect much more sleet than the panels posted above

They did, I got a text earlier with it

Even if it only drops 8-10" still a solid total adder considering how this winter has gone so far Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

Lived in PG county for 30 years, Ellicott City 20 years, and into my 7th winter in Brunswick. Biggest snow since I've been here looks to be on the doorstep. Once in awhile, the people living 50 miles plus NW of work in DC deserve a big snow storm. Hopefully everyone gets a 10 inch thump before the changeover. Looking at the weeklies, there will be other chances.