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Accounting for the typical NAM biases at this range this is largely a non-event. I'm waiting on the Euro but with all the pieces firmly now inside the denser/more physically realized sounding inputs, this hasn't trended favorable. Probably was time to move on earlier but in deference to desperation ( lol ). Anyway, the next possible notoriety in the pipeline is possible historic warmth during the week of Xmas. I know ... I know, not a notoriety some would incline to marvel. But, it is what it is. Unfortunately for the winter/snow/Currier&Ives settings enthusiasts, the following is more coherent than not. The indexes signal warm period. This is suggested numerically, but is definitely than supported when noting the idiosyncrasies of the spatial layouts coming from the different clusters that has been emerging over the last couple of day's worth of cycles They've all been incrementally retrograding the -WPO ridge W, across the N. Pac. Meanwhile stopping/signaling any emerging positive non-hydrostatitc hgt anomalies amid the EPO domain region. Meanwhile, the PNA slipping negative through Jan 1. So with +EPO/-PNA, this does correlate well with a Pac NW River-type circulation mode, which then teleconnects downstream with the SE ridge response. This is uneasy, as we've been seeing this feature there - albeit suppress and compressed - despite the current cold pattern. When that compression relaxes in lieu of the above, that sort of implies a carte blanche in latitude with the SE aspect. I wouldn't get to blown away by amplitude for now. Although ... I must admit, I'm fighting the impression that warmth is like .. in a state of always being spring-loaded. When the cold relaxes, go the other way above "Climate anomalies" more frequently than we used to. That's also lurking in there. We'll see

Gfs looks a bit better through 60. Let’s see if it translates to anything

RGEM is a nice swatch of 4-6". Nice to see things coming together rather than the opposite

Sorry 3.5 to 4.6789"

why even bother with snowmaps? use liquid and then apply 10:1 or slightly above / below depending on DGZ and dynamics. this event would produce 12-15:1 pretty easily on the northern end of the precip shield; these events usually do so

lol it has 0.4' liquid in NYC. 3-5" is a perfect description

This morning…wouldn’t let me post pictures together.

JMA must have a blizzard by now, May have to pull the herpes model out of mothballs as well,

Yeah RGEM looks a little euroesque.

yup, move towards the euro with the TPV more tucked in and higher heights over the NE

Shows 3” over me and @mitchnick land so I’d buy haha

Picked up 1.5” snow yesterday. Cold & windy today River is froze over already so fishing is done for awhile.

Is a skiff the scientific term below a dusting? I had a little on the cars, the roof, and the deck. Not enough to cover any of those, but it was there.

For 95 area at least, snow maps are worse because of the weird mix line that stays in place while it snows south of 95. QPF for Baltimore was 0.3 but 10:1 only shows 1-2 inches.

Where do you see the RGEM showing 5 inch totals anywhere in the metro? RGEM: https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rdps&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2025121112&fh=84&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1

The RGEM has been garbage, Been way to cold for starters, Just saying so far this winter up here, I'm still looking for my 3.6" it had for yesterday.

Rgem def improved. Need a little more for up here but that was a nice hit for SE areas/Cape.

While I always share frustration in snowmelt, Im curious, why do you only post when its to complain? I dont think I saw one post from you during Chicago's snow blitz not to mention one of the coldest starts to December on record.

It's weird cause I though H5 was sharper going into it. Precip just never gets going.

RGEM not all that inspiring - still an inch DC-BALT but has the heaviest stuff from PHL- NYC. More NAM-y

3 to 4 inches would be heavenly !

lol. The mix on RDPS is comical

RGEM is blah

These dudes were chilling by the side of a road last night. Frozen solid after a slushy day.