All Activity
- Past hour
-
0.13" from this morning and only 1.02" for the entire month of June. The entire south shore is dry as a bone! Currently only 81/72
-
Where did people get thunderstorms??
-
Two Harbors' mean 53.9 (avg 56.3) is the 11th coldest temp, tied with 2019, out of 65 unique temps (midpoint temp is 56.6) in the record since 1894. 4.63" of precip (avg 4.23"). DLH mean 60.7 (avg 61.2) is 26th warmest out of 79 unique temps (midpoint temp is 59.0) since 1874. 4.28" of precip (avg 4.39). I looked at a PWS stn that is near the old wx bureau office location in the downtown area. It had an avg of 59.6. Duluth arpt data in the Threadex record starts in 1941. Near lake, and over the hill data can be a little different with the diurnal range.
-
93/74/103 where im working
-
Sea breeze as expected doing its thing today. 80 here, 75 on the barrier island. Up to 90 a mile inland. Water's ice cold from upwelling again. Back down to 58. There will be a lot of water rescues over the next few days.
-
Yeah...agreed. I wasn't interested in nailing down - per se - where it is we "actually" are... full disclosure ( there's alien technology being hid from us!!! repent repent) no but to be honest, I'm wondering if CR can be trusted or might have known this or that. I mean I don't know anymore. This f era of reality and civility ... it's got a problem. One that is almost as big as GW and it's entirely self-manifesting at species' level.
-
Meh, only 86F at my house right now, not impressed. Leaving for DCL at 4am to beat the traffic. My game cam up there reported 82F at 11am.
-
Hot outside? CONFIRMED
-
11AM Round up New Brnswck: 88 BLM: 87 EWR: 87 ACY: 86 LGA: 86 TEB: 86 TTN: 86 PHL: 85 JFK: 85 NYC: 84 ISP: 81
-
.67” this morning with loud thunder. A nice surprise
-
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
Typhoon Tip replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
See ...there are baseline flow constructs around the entire hemisphere that are geo-physically forced. Example, western North America. The Rockies cordillera extends from Alaska deep into and through Mexico, over the western continent. That imposes a backward exertion on the prevailing westerlies of the Northern Hemisphere. The flow is directed up and over the terrain. However, it takes longer to do so than the ~ 9 hour, time dependency of the Coriolis parameter at mid latitudes; in a reference frame that induces clockwise rotation, a that force acts to turn the rising flow toward the left. This creates a subtle but significant background ridge signal that is always in place ... so long as there is always westerly prevailing flow. This is a baseline construct... This means that western N/A is favored to have heat before the eastern geographical regions of the continent. It is why the Gulf Coast can, though rarely ..., experience 0 F in the winter, despite the deep latitude. This geologic circumstance enhances cold potential and realizes a drive sending colder air mass from Canada that far S. So, with all that in mind ... since western N/A is prone to ridging, they are also favored to heat. It's like being born on second base for having wealth descendancy, and though daddy claims he didn't help his kids succeed, they still end up retiring somehow by 35. This happens all over the world, both hemispheres. There are geological regional circumstances 'built in' that favor cool vs warm, relative to the whole latitude in question and mean. And where ever is warm, there is a quicker and more frequent recurrence of heat. But here's the thing that makes this argumentative - but really shouldn't if one understands the "emergence" ... Because there are circulation changes occurring ..however subtle or gross, notwithstanding ... this may and probably does expose new routes for cool vs warm biases overall. Western Europe appears to be victim to this, as Saharan processed kinetic extreme air is being drawn up across the Iberian Peninsula ... where it can assault as far N as the UK and eventually Scandinavian latitudes. The UK is ~ to Calgary, Canada ... so we're seeing temps nearing 40 C ... that's a bit of an emergence considering the frequency uptick -
New around here? Lol It’s heat. Of course DC will reach 100 today, and probably will for the next 5 days
-
90/74
-
I believe that Leesburg (KJYO), but that matches the Poolesville mesonet site well.
-
I partially blame local media outlets too. They can put more emphasis on other sites when nessasary. Or stop saying things like, NYC has not experienced 100+ since 2012. Central Park hasnt. There have been multiple offical 100 degree readings within NYC at LGA and even JFK. Plus plenty others where ever Con Ed puts a thermometer for what its worth. They probably just don't give it much thought, since many do not have decades of real life context about NYC climate records like people here. They work in NYC media because it was the best job offer.
-
90/75 w/a 100F HI currently at IAD.
-
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
82 dewpoint here. Now only if we could get thunderstorms to fire up with the heat and humidity it would be nice. My shirt was completely soaked from sweat working in the garden for 3 5 hrs. Got what needed done. Garden finally drying out from the rain we had and the irrigation that I did before we got the rain. It was basically a muddy mess you sank when you trid to get in the garden. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The interesting thing is how much of a La Niña-like influence we are currently getting with the record warm pool from the IO over to the Maritime Continent and ENSO regions. Sure we are seeing the development of the El Nino standing wave which is expected. But as the forcing shifts back west of there, we keep getting these Southeast ridge amplifications with record heat which are more La Niña-like. So much more of an overlapping influence of the multiple forcing zones. Now this has a few potential ramifications going forward. First, we would expect the El Niño standing wave to get stronger as time progresses as the record ENSO SSTs increase. Second, the record mid-latitude SSTs could also carry the Niña-like signal for more interactions going forward. So a more active Southeast ridge pattern to go along with the Nino-ridge response further north over North America. This winter will present a good real time test of the new RONI scale. If the RONI can set records along with the expected ONI ones, then we can see if the scale will be valid by what the atmospheric response looks like. If the Aleutian low and low in the south to Mid-Atlantic is weaker than the 1997-1998 El Niño like in 2015-2016 and 2023-2024, then it may just be a new character of super El Niños and not related to RONI. In this case it would point out that the RONI may not be a valuable tool in such high end super El Niño events. But more for marginal La Ninas where the WPAC warm pool is more significant than the ENSO SSTs. Since we have seen the ridges getting stronger than the troughs regardless of the ENSO phase. -
As bad as it will be in much of the SE, consider that the NYC forecasted low for July 4th is a very oppressive 81 F!
-
This early humidity and heat is no joke. Just got a call from my youngest who is helping at a Pony Camp in Bluemont. She just passed out. She is ok but it was a wake up call that she needs to get some issues she has been having figured out. It was definitely the heat that cause it.
