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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Headed to Texas Thursday. Weather looks decent there - 60 lows, 80 high. Sunday might be a washout though. -
I’ll be lucky to hit 40° after a low near 20° and wetbulbs will be below freezing. There may be some open spots, but I think some will survive.
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What are you forecasting to happen in 6 months to Yanks?
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I know I'm a little early on this, but since it's quiet for the time being and winter is all but finished, I thought I'd look forward to next winter a tad. With the predicted El Nino currently in transition, let's peek at Pittsburgh's recent history when it comes to such an ENSO environment. I've been plotting recent history on this only (since 1990) because I'm just not sure how valuable older data is, even though it shrinks my sample size. Generally speaking, we do the "worst" re: snowfall in El Nino-based winters as opposed to the other two possibilities (La Nina or Neutral). Average snowfall for this period is 42.5" over the entire term (1990-2026). 10 Neutral Phase winters, 5 being above average and 5 being below. Max = 76.8" (1993-94) // Min = 17.2" (1990-91). Mean is 44.75" (Highest) - 50% chance of above average snowfall 11 El Nino Phase winters, 4 being above average and 7 being below. Max = 77.4" (2009-10) // Min = 16.3" (2023-24). Mean is 39.65" (Lowest) - 36% chance of above average snowfall 16 La Nina Phase winters, 6 being above average and 10 being below. Max = 74.5" (1995-96) // Min = 17.6" (2022-23). Mean is 42.72" (Middle) - 38% chance of above average snowfall Again, those percentages are based on small samples so not hugely important, but you can see the odds of better-than-average are generally even across El Nino and La Nina. Difference in snowfall averages is, perhaps, more relevant, with El Nino winters offering the lowest average but highest maximum and widest range. The strength of the ENSO doesn't necessarily seem to matter independently. For example, our El Nino high snowfall was coupled with a 1.6 anomaly, while the lowest snowfall was a 1.9 max, both "strong" El Ninos. No different with the La Nina (-1.0 anomaly high snowfall, -0.8 anomaly low snowfall). This is a much smaller sample, but if the >+2.0 anomalies that are predicted do occur, we have two examples since 1990 and both are poor snowfall winters. 1997-98 - 24.2" (2.3) 2015-16 - 29.6" (2.6) I don't know if that will mean much as it's only two years worth of data, but it's something to consider if a "super" El Nino comes to fruition, at least in terms of how to set expectations. I'll revisit some of these numbers come the onset of next winter, once we know exactly what kind of ENSO type and strength we're dealing with, but at least there's some light reading for anyone here in the quiet of spring.
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it's pretty much congrats Dodgers again. Then a possible lockout after a likely torch winter next year. Fun times!
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Yup - it's amazing. From the top of the Klein Matterhorn you walk through a long tunnel bored through the top of the mountain at 13,300' - Ski out the back into Italy for a few hundred meters, then curve around onto the glacier at the foot of the Matterhorn and wind your way down the mountain. If there is sufficient snow, you eventually ski into Zermat at about 5000' asl. If you do that twice in one day, you know you've done something. Of course, along the way you can you may want to stop at a chalet for some strawberry waffles, fondue or a sip of cognac. The cable car/tram that goes from the Trockner Steg station to the Klein Matterhorn holds 120 people and was at one time the longest unsupport tram span in Europe (possibly the world - not sure). Near the upper end the tram rises nearly vertical up the face of the mountain.
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Sorry about the Yanks....it will make sense in about 6 months. I'm honestly not torn up over the Sox...I have zero expectations bc this ownership isn't committed. I haven't stepped foot in Fenway in several years.
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Tomorrows gonna be 50 there. Sorry about the Sox man
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A little sleet mixing in with the cell moving through here.
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this sums up todays thread
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Looks like this snow cover may last into Thursday.
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What's the wind chill?
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Snow brings out so much anger here. Thankfully peaceful dewy times await.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
WolfStock1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
You're missing the point and whole picture here though. The scope of the original point wasn't actually about consensus on science. Allow me to re-quote what I was addressing: "The scientific consensus is that the long list of CO2/warming debits far outweigh a couple of benefits. " That's a misleading statement. Note that it's NOT specifically addressing the *science* of CO2/warming, but rather it's addressing the *whole* of pros vs cons - generally this is going to refer more to the societal pros and cons (economic, social, and political) than it is to the scientific. One could have complete 100% consensus (if one found some way to reasonably measure it) on the science of AGW (if that were possible), but still not have any consensus on the other aspects, vis a vis the policy prescriptions. And of course the debits vs benefits very much includes the non-scientific aspects. Stated in the form of a question: Is it scientific consensus that mankind, as a whole, would have been better off - through all of time, both historic and future - if we never emitted any CO2? I have see no such claim made by anyone, let alone any documentation of "consensus" of such a claim. If such a thing exists - please show the measurements, given that this is a scientific thing. -
lol.
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ohhhhhhhhhhhhhh
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Ginxy.
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Thank you lol...now who the hell is Steve??? lol
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Bizarre.
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Gee thanks for letting me know lol That made my day lol
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Yep-2010 ended with a bang, but that was it-winter was over by 3/1 although there were big storms they were just all rain no cold air left that year
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- april showers bring may..
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Is there a way to automatically get all your posts to end in “lol” on here? Like a cheat code?
