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What does a strong El Niño mean for Pittsburgh snow? Historically it has meant less snow and a warmer winter. Across the nine winters NOAA's index classes as strong or very strong El Niño events, Pittsburgh averaged 31.2 inches of snow against a long-term mean of 42.9 inches. Eight of those nine finished below normal. Here is every one of them, with the airport's own measured total. The ONI peak is the highest three-month value the event reached, which is how NOAA classifies event strength. Winter ONI peak Class Pittsburgh snowfall vs 44.1" normal Dec-Feb temp 1957-58 +1.81 Strong 37.0" Below 28.5°F 1965-66 +1.98 Strong 48.0" Above 30.3°F 1972-73 +2.12 Strong 26.3" Below 31.9°F 1982-83 +2.23 Very strong 30.1" Below 34.1°F 1987-88 +1.70 Strong 35.1" Below 30.2°F 1991-92 +1.71 Strong 33.9" Below 33.4°F 1997-98 +2.40 Very strong 24.2" Below 36.3°F 2015-16 +2.75 Very strong 29.6" Below 34.9°F 2023-24 +2.06 Strong 16.3" Below 38.4°F

...they remind me of Jets fans lol..

Thanks for setting the record straight

Typical Strong (and super strong) EL Nino climo seems to have become established much sooner and more quickly than previous events but this shouldn't be shocking given how much earlier this Nino materialized, how rapidly it strengthened, and the general state of the PAC all-together. All this talk around of PV split and blah and NAO this and AO that...if people are thinking that is going to net a colder pattern or a stormier pattern for our region I think they're mistaken. People automatically assume these configurations automatically equate to Northeast weather...they are just as big of a player on the pattern across Europe.

https://x.com/WorldClimateSvc/status/2117331616821633301

All time El Nino... 76-77 Montreal...

bncho, the voice of reason.

RIP to the NAM. Retired today. Where will we get our blown-out-of-proportion snow total maps from this year?

What does your modeling method show for December?

We may keep this stretch of weather well into the second half of the month...obviously with some "cooler" periods with any weak fronts. But its pretty crazy being in November and a cold FROPA still results in temperatures above climo

At least it's a good zzzz

This weather has been too good for too long. I'm afraid of what might happen when the rubber band snaps. That said, damn it's nice out

0.01% chance...

High of 79, AC is on again.

heh, it'd be nothing shy of marvelous if in the face of all ... nothing exceptional worth turd of mention actually happened through April. that would be sooo awesome

heh ... ever get the sense we'll be in here 71 days from now still assessing all these ways to get a winter outside the windows while we're rolling up seasonally blunted heat wave after heat wave...

I saw mine doing that the other day. We have had 3 freezes here, but maybe they had seeded

We could definitely tap a small piece of the residual tropical moisture plume feeding north along the stalled front on Friday which lead to the historic Florida rainfall and flooding.

This is almost like a summer heat wave .. only shave 20 to 25 off the maxes. It's like 94/100/100/92 then a front, only 74/80/80/72

I'm not gonna lie, I don't mind the warmth right now given that I have to pay for oil.

Need to see it sustained...it keeps trying to do normalize, then reverts back...

hmm... We made 74 for a high T today, with considerable cloud contamination. Just looking at the sounding for tomorrow. With less critical ceiling level RH ( meaning more sun), a warmer starting T/launch, and an even warmer mixing column ... yeeeeah, 80 is possible.

Omg why is it so hot out