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  2. I like that the thread title is not factually inaccurate.
  3. Latest visible loop shows the system taking shape east of North Carolina. https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_US/loop60v.html
  4. CAD holding very strong today again. Current temp at 56 degrees.
  5. I can't go into details on the cases because I signed a confidentiality agreement But with that said there are plenty of people who view those lawsuits as a money grab. And it can be very difficult to get a "juror" to change his/her views on that regardless of the circumstances.
  6. ah, gotcha Yeah, and I'm also waiting on the NAM's dependable NW bias to kick in, too. we'll see
  7. GGEM way southwest at 12z. Measurable rain to the Potomac.
  8. Yep... you would need to have something already in writing that you told the property owner about it. If you have nothing in writing, good luck. It is not like, it fell and you should have known it was rotted. They need to be made aware.
  9. meaning it's over amplyfing the storm and sending it in too far south
  10. Throw in the fact we’re going to have a full moon during the event. Sheesh.
  11. Beaches from NC/VA taking on water this morning. https://x.com/hurricanetrack/status/2103104692251464073/video/1 https://x.com/LiveCamChaser/status/2103108589720408552/video/1 https://x.com/LiveCamChaser/status/2103093525869170733/video/1 https://x.com/RobertRayWx/status/2102878650089582869/video/1
  12. Definitely can't rule out 40-50 mph gusts inland yet, especially if we get that LLJ overhead during the day versus at night. Also will depend on if we are getting heavy precip or not. Its going to be quite windy because of the gradient but if we get more banded precip versus a rain shield, that is when we'll rip good gusts.
  13. I guess the ECAIFS to a degree has that idea too but its evolution of the far west drift is quite a bit later on and would make sense.
  14. Is that the fv3 hi res Meso model i see on tidbits?
  15. Correction, it would appear the cmc does a slow north west drift so to speak for a few frames at 988 in the direction of Montauk.
  16. Keep in mind full moon this weekend... Conditions on the shore will be rough Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk
  17. Not exactly promising to see the RRFS doing something even more wacky than the NAM. Albeit the RRFS version available is not the one I believe will be going operational
  18. If it wasn’t for the stable environment surrounding Fay now we’d have a mid latitude microcane. Decent looking system on visible but very clearly limited by dry air surrounding it
  19. Surf should be fun. Don't need those ( likely ) hyperbolic ideas of "90 mph" wind gust coming out of some the usual weather pundits to be a substantial ocean risk for the shores. This looks like a 48 hours of sustained 35 mph integrating energy into the tumult. What do the lunar guys say?
  20. (also low key our birthday is the 19th so hoping Mother Nature gives a snowy birthday present) Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk
  21. Good luck winning those cases. I've been on several mock juries pertaining to those types of cases. They aren't as cut and dried as you think they are.
  22. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  23. And this is the GFS. A further north track with decent mixing would put good gusts into much of southeast New England and maybe into CT. This is HFD at 18z Saturday.
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