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With all these lows(fake or real?), we may see a situation where modeling will decide to blow up/focus on one, and ride it up the coast, after all the other appendages/convection exits east…so it may be a situation where it’s delayed, but not ultimately denied. That is a possibility.

The NAM does throw some moisture all the way back to CT as it bombs and travels NE. That’s the first look to have that expansive of a precip shield

NAM was very consistent calling out the drier solution last weekend. I wouldn't discount it totally. Actually it seems very logical to me. Not agreeing, just saying it has merit. TW

Somebody in the MA forum had me dying because he recommended everyone go outside with their vacuums and suck all the air westward so the coastal would come this way. Then proceeded to create an AI generated photo with a bunch of people holding their vacuums high in the sky lollllll

Euro indeed improved so much at 06Z that is snows in.. Chattanooga!! NBM high-res Ensemble still lacks snow; but, I hypothesize the Ens algo isn't translating very light QPF to fluffy snow. We'll see. NAM and others are trying to come around. Yeah FV3 hints. I get a choppy presentation on my sub, but it's snow in Tenn. We need more of that Euro trend. Cue up Back That Thang Up by whoever sang it. Hip Hop snow dance!

Yep, I think the last 3 nights it has done that here. Windy/breezy during the day, but once the sunsets the wind gusts go into overdrive!

Fixed it thanks - read the right one, pasted the wrong one, lol. Same message though.

Fake jack FTL??

What he means is everyone go stand outside with a thermometer and wait until things start falling from the sky instead of doomscrolling every model run haha

Now-casting? It’s sunny outside. What a fail of a system.

Low here 11.5⁰

Vols game last night was the same as tracking Southern snow. Got it! Ope, OT Comfy lead. Ope, one-pointer! Vols reeled in the road win. Let's do the same in East Tenn!

FV3 looks nice across the forum. Looking like it goes negative tilt. That’s the key for the coastal

I honestly don’t. Nothing at h5 indicates a pivot to the nw should be coming.

RRFS is catching on too although still behind the consensus

6 in Fallston - lowest one yet for my particular location.

How do you "now-cast" on an event that doesn't start for roughly 48 hours out?

Low of 7.

1000% I also agree. This is actually a good thing happening and it goes to show the power of what an ULL can do. Everyone breathe haha.

Lol .. not a W. Just nice to see so far

Yeah... this is one of the more complex situations you'll ever see, so anyone saying its definitely coming/not coming could not be more disingenuous lol From a pure synoptics standpoint you'd think "how could it miss" and then the ridging ahead of the low gets de-torched by little strengthening perturbations in the flow We're not at the end yet either way, my friends

Exactly. The earlier this closes off, the more of this sub forum is happy.

Good lord, really? That's exceptionally awesome - how did you make/carve the pieces? Forms?

GSP 9AM Update. More broad. ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 7 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northeast Georgia, Piedmont and western North Carolina, and Upstate South Carolina. * WHEN...From Friday afternoon through Sunday morning.

Lol...we went through this 12 hours ago when they were cliff diving after the 0z Nam run. Fun thread to read back through