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52.9F for low in Lancaster. .

Oh, o-kay. I see. yeah, and that's going to be dubious for obvious reasons. Of course, muah hahaha if it is a climate threshold being breached. Ha. I guess that would be easily sussed out though if we looked at all sites and if they all exhibited the same behavior than the ( speak of the devil) significance of that above would be more useful.

It was a white pine. I’m not entirely sure but the root ball does appear to have some rot and be a bit bundled. Maybe I’ll take a picture of the exposed root ball later and post it here and you can give me your thoughts. We do have a couple more of these pines but not quite as large or leaning.

Ya I was about to say the same exact thing,

If we’re not all dropped to D1 or D0 I’d be surprised from triangle to your way. I too have had over 6” this week alone and now over a foot for the month with more coming

Low of 54. Perfect days. Happy Friday.

The thing to do would be compare the BOS max and min departures with the other sites going back to spring 2025 and seeing if they start deviating last fall.

This is what I was referring to. If this is how someone makes their seasonal forecast, you should immediately unsubscribe from them.

'normal' is a result of all events mixed together. Conceptually even a bone-heads ( well.. not Trump supporters) can see that the odds of any future event landing a result squarely on a number that is a mix of everything is thus remote. That means that actually hitting an arbitrarily occurring value dead on whatever that normal value is, is no different than the Lotto. Very low odds. Basically ... everything that occurs in nature, perhaps well over 90% likelihood, is going to be ABnormal. This is particularly true for decimals (to the right) of the whole number But it sounds like y'all could use a refresh, or perhaps a first time introduction to what is known in statistical science as 'Chi-Square test'. A formula that produces a rational value, then interpretive as a method for determining if the frequency differs from expected result and by how much. It looks like this ... ( ...that outta clear things up )

With the MADIS charts you look for step changes or changes in trends. There’s a step change in there around the beginning of October last year. Positive error means the station is running cooler than expected; negative error means it’s running warmer than expected. Traditionally BOS has run positive error (cooler than MADIS “expects”) during the warm season. I marked in blue curves above the nighttime temps centered over the 7/1 plots. This warm season you don’t see that…it’s flatlined in the negative error (warmer than expected). The funny thing is that the max temps are running cooler than expected. The net is a little warmer in the means. I’m not sure what’s going on, but it’s almost like when you mount your sensor on the north side of your house…you’re keeping it in permanent shade during the day, but you’re getting radiative heat from the house at night.

That extreme heat was brutal, thank goodness we had so many near or even below normal days between those heat waves. I think it was the first time I had 2 consecutive above 100 degree days. After all that heat most places should end up with a near normal temperature in July, would not have expected that.

The -PDO continues to exceed seasonal model forecasts.

Augdewst looks hotter and hotter each successive ensemble run. Super Ninos love end humid hot summers well into fall

A Nino is just one piece of the pie. Sure it may affect other pieces but it's still a separate entity. And in today's changing climate the signals are more muddled.

No apparently summer is basically over just like how some said cool weather was here to stay in mid June. Ensembles clearly show more hot weather as August arrives and I wouldn't rule out more 100+ readings

They think ENSO is just some sliding scale where the warmest ENSO = no snow and less warm ENSO = more snow and anything that counters “warmest ENSO” means more snow. It’s not true, it’s much more nuanced as it has been discussed plenty of times in this very thread.

Very pleasant 55 this morning

48 degrees again this morning. Wow! Voyager you sure got that low down on your weather station.Impressive!

Wonder if they'll try a permanent standard time bill next time? that would fail too-no one wants sunsets an hour earlier in spring/summer.

modestly hyped for an MCS somewhere around s lake michigan in the sun-mon period

how and perhaps what on Earth are you seeing here that looks like anything

Yeah but you don't deserve it 'cuz you've been chiding and debasing warmth all along haha 'Sides, solar max doesn't exit until ~ the 9th of August

A surprise 1.35" overnight/this morning. Closing in on 6" for the week. Can I get a two category improvement in one week?

57 and cloudy this morning. No radiational cooling.