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06 SREF QPF Snow NAM Snow REGM Snow GFS Snow

Something will pop back up. We'll still be in a favorable MJO phase. And then we've got HM on our side.

Sleet and snow here in MoCo too.

Anyone else notice how models by 7am today show precip barely into west central Tennessee... And then actual ground truth.

Still calling for 6-10” here though may still be higher if the mix line is off. Seems some compromising is happening on the models.

I was wrong in saying that KNYC wouldn't go below 10 during this stretch. That's a good sign!

Cold AF outside. 5 degrees here

Wth went on down there. My brother said his bill has doubled+. New rates or new taxes?

Very light snow in Sweetwater, Currently 24 with a dew point of 16. .

If Lucy's dry air doesn't pull the ball we could be getting an honest to goodness Big Dog here. Earlier onset the better. My call for 7 looks money but odds are increasing for a bust high substantially. Models keep upping the saturation times little by little. Definitely our brethren just S look to go 12+. Some of these soundings from various models showing 15-18k ft deep DGZ's Sat evening. And man, if we can get any decent wind this stuffs gonna be white waves. Gonna be the kind of snow that stacks quick.

6z ukie shaves the top off everyone a wee little bit. Still 10ish + for most. Sign where??

32/15

6z euro looks like it held serve Hrdps has a crazy thump. Could be 8 or 9 in spots with ratios

8 here

@tnwxwatcher I would not be surprised if precip. starts quite a bit earlier than most models were showing last night based on the obs. above. I still think noon is a good call for travel getting worse, but if possible, I'd try to finish up those deliveries in Sevier county in as safe and an expeditious way as possible.

Never forget, the Euro is usually right when it screws us and wrong when it crushes us.

My god the BGE bills after this cold period…

Almost 36 hours to go before the snow starts in Maine. Still time to change.

Locals Mets on WYFF are saying the latest models bring good news of much less precipitation, more sleet than freezing rain and then just rain before it ends. They now have us with 0.46” of ice, with that being more sleet than freezing rain. I pray that trend continues.

I was watching some coverage of those protest in Minneapolis with below zero temperatures and wind. I think the windchill was in the -40s. They can keep that kind of cold then I didn’t realize it was quite so cold in Watertown area

35.1/15.9

Just a quick reminder, I made an obs thread now that we are getting precip. You may also post there if you wish. I am not a moderator and would not tell anyone what to do, but I do now some folks like to read the straight up obs. in the long hot summer months.

Dropped 11F to 10F Dew point-8

Love seeing the strong euro runs. I haven’t looked yet, but is there really any synoptic difference between the euro and the nams at this point? As of when I was looking yesterday, seems a lot just comes down to how heavy the precip is in the 9-18z period tomorrow. Nams seem uncharacteristically light with that. 24hrs out, euro *should* be kicking ass.