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  2. Terpeast
    Likely has something to do with that warm blob south of the aleutians. Not a typical pattern in a growing el nino, but as the NH season cools, that blob should get slowly shunted east as the north pac jet strengthens. We’ve seen the PDO dive in the spring and summer, and then slowly climb in the fall and winter, time and again and this year probably will be no exception. We may even break positive this time with the super nino.
  3. pazzo83
    Yeah my station isn’t capturing the full amount for sure
  4. Supernovice
    Don’t give our resident moron the oxygen he needs. Just ignore his ‘weather related’ posts like everyone else and he will slowly….ever so slowly, go away.
  5. MN Transplant
    I had to leave town for it to finally rain. My station says 1.24”. Radar seems to think that there is upwards of 3” in spots between my house and DCA.
  6. hawkeye_wx
    My July rain total is 6.75". My June-July rain total is 15.79".
  7. GaWx
    The latest WCS daily PDO has fallen to -2.19, which is the lowest since way back on 8/29/25! This plunge was not predicted AFAIK:
  8. Psychguy
    Touched 90 again today here in Phila. as well!
  9. pazzo83
    Feels like maybe Tuesday broke the seal for the city - getting slammed.
  10. WxUSAF
    Thunder in Columbia with the start of this batch
  11. marsman
    Picked up .17" with this passing cell. Dew now at 81. I don't even want to take the garbage out.
  12. JTA66
    Been getting nickel & dimed here with rain as well the last few weeks. I’m not interested in flooding, but the lawn could use a good soaker. Kicked up a lot of dust mowing yesterday and the grass is starting to brown up again. Hit 88F today. Probably would have reached 90F both days this weekend if we had full sun. 83F/DP 67F
  13. SACRUS
    Did touch 90 before more clouds came in around 4:15 or so. I see others in NJ did could be some places with a little/mini heatwave this weekend/Friday.
  14. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Deluge in takoma park - been a while
  15. CheeselandSkies
    500mb pattern recognition via GFS/NAM suggests something may happen Wednesday although runs differ where/if significant instability may develop given ample/persistent convection. At least could be another good soak for NW parts of the sub.
  16. Itstrainingtime
    .03". Can't recall the last good rain here.
  17. EasternLI
    Today's run shows it well too.
  18. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  19. yoda
    NAM failure
  20. mahantango#1
    .89 rain today so far.
  21. Paleocene
    Dumping for the second time today in silver spring. Could end up with over 2" on the day. Niño time finally here?
  22. Terpeast
    Yeah, this winter we will either hit one out of the park, or strike out spectacularly.
  23. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  24. IronTy
    Just got home after driving through heavy rain all the way through Calvert county. My rain gauge has 1.1" in it from the storms today so far. Solid drought remediation. Seems like more to come too.
  25. psuhoffman
    Let’s just use pure math for now to set expectations. If we use Ninos that reached > +1.5 during winter 5/9 or 56% had a HECS. If we use years that reached > +2 during winter 2/3 or 66% had a HECS. Clearly we have a significantly elevated probability of a HECS this winter. But yes for the DEBs the caution is the years in that analog set that didn’t have an HECS were really really really awful winters for the most part.
  26. Spartman
    Biblically the wettest start to August ever here. A harbinger of what's to come for the entire month, perhaps? 000 SXUS71 KILN 021040 RERDAY RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 1039 AM EDT SUN AUG 02 2026 ...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM RAINFALL SET AT DAYTON OH... A RECORD RAINFALL OF 2.20 INCHES WAS SET AT DAYTON OH YESTERDAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 2.19 INCHES SET IN 1953. $$
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