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Agreed. Most of our summer rains occurred on 7/19 and 8/1. Too much too fast.

Dew point 50 ! Exceptional

55/52

What a beautiful morning out! Temp is down to 49 degrees this morning! Going to be a wonderful day on tap!

It's not. Ridge rebuilds as tropics get active again

Brisk this morning, currently 52

This is the strongest -PMM we have seen in some time. This is only going to enhance La Niña development. The new run on the normally severely warm biased BOM model has begun a cave to a La Niña now

It’s freaking great.

48 this morning. Who ordered this cold? It's only August for Gods sake.

Overnight runs are bone dry for the next 2 weeks. What a strange year precip-wise. Dryish through mid-late April, then wet to very wet through July, and potentially <1” (or even less in spots) from August 1 through mid September.

summer is effectively over the odds of any long stretch of either hot or very warm humid weather 3 days or more is gone..

I remember that one all too well. I was helping Debbie a neighbor on Aug 23 2011. At first i thought it was a concrete truck rumbling by but then I realized we were getting an EARTHQUAKE! Everyone ran out of their houses. I also remember Aug 23 real good because 7 years later it was the very day I left Dale City for good. I can't believe I have been down here in HOT Texas for 7 years already!

0Z followup to all 12Z major ops but GFS showing a surface low forming just off of Africa this weekend: 0Z Icon like 12Z has a sfc low just off Africa Sat. It becomes a TD that day and then a TS by Sun as it moves mainly W just N of the CV Islands.

Can't ask for better weather !!

I'm so interested to see if we get a cold December this year, because strong -QBO/weak -ENSO analogs strongly support it. I remember those similar 2 conditions in the Fall of 2005, we used the 1989 analog, and it worked out great that Winter. Besides that, there is nothing strongly anomalously warm about the global pattern right now, wrt to previous years. I am going to be in the 70s for highs something like 13/14 August days, which is unusual. We had a warm up in June, but cold H5 was overtop of it, so it was a strong +NAO driven warm up. We aren't just popping ridging out of nowhere, like we did a lot 2020-2024. For all this about 2nd year El Nino's being so warm in the global pattern, you don't hear much about 2nd year La Nina's, and the cooling effect. I think since late November last year it's been a cooler US pattern, relative to global warming and all. Will be interesting to see if it lasts into the Winter. Analogs say that odds are starting to become in that favor, the more we get these cooler patterns through the Fall.

Woot woot!

Funny - I wonder if I saw the same one. I am northwest of the city tonight (New Paltz area) and I saw one south and slightly east of me. Maybe that would have appeared wnw of you. Rather bright…showed through a thin cloud. Maybe the same? I’m glad you mentioned it.

Never underestimate the sinking/rising air from MJO waves.

I am on a migraine medication with a side effect of being hotter in heat. It was unbearably hot at times.

No rain predicted through the end of the month, so guessing it'll set that record. This is killing me. I've got some bare spots on the lawn that I'm trying to seed by taking advantage of the cooler weather - but having to sprinkle like crazy to get it to germinate. No rain in sight - hope the well doesn't run dry. Third year in a row we've had drought conditions during the fall overseed season.

It’s already 40.6 at Canaan NWR. 50ish at surrounding mountaintops it seems.

It’s only one case @weatherwiz but you might find this interesting

Went back and looked at my COOP records for RSTM2. I've only had about 6 days with a high at or above 95°, and no overnight lows above 80°. Compared to growing up in Philly in the 90s with no air conditioning, this wasn't the worst. 2012, 2016, 2019, 2020, 2021 were wat worse, IMO.

High of 93. Picked up .05" today.