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Ahh was that was it was, I thought it was the Tuesday set-up. Tuesday has looked upslope driven. But this evening never truly got me jazzed until the 12z+ models have all changed fairly significantly. I had seen a bunch of runs with more of a diffuse 1-4" event further north. Like 12z HRRR. HRRR has made a big change in the past like 4 hours.

The models wavered a bit over the past few days, but have now picked this back up. Fingers crossed that we finally get some snow in the lower elevations next week.

Been having some moderate to heavy rains since 1130. Just had double rainbow appear.

Hit 36.3 around noon (when sun poked out for about 10 minutes) and been dropping since. Currently 33.8/21.4 with clouds and a few flakes still flying around on NW winds 9 gusting to 22 mph. Feels like winter! Nice hot fire in the stove.

Hammering in Robbinsville. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Yeah I tagged you this morning about this. Looks like a spine west event

Certainly hasn't seemed that way with the historical snowfall drought in Cleveland and many other Great Lakes locations:

.63" since last night making for .99" since Friday, temp and dew dropping now, 45/43

Not like that. Its been hit or miss on a few runs but most of it was prior to the cold air.

Flurries in Tamaqua. 38 here as well which is the low so far for the day.

Been on the models for days

CAMs definitely didn't pick up what has moved thru so far too well (they have been focused on more toward sunset)

Great job man, hey at least we know in advance the default holiday warmup cometh…

Weren't we all? But yeah that was something else for New Year's Eve. Mother nature supply their own fireworks.....

Will be interesting to see how much instability, plus the lift, can enhance these bands later this afternoon/evening

Looks like some moisture TRYING to break out overhead nearby.

Snow showers have spilled over mountains into the Valley now.

The combo of the fresh snow and the remaining fall foliage can’t be beat. It’s already melting off the warm-ish driveway, I’m not even going to shovel. Score!

Yeah, it’s very nice. First time visiting this area. It’s such a more relaxed pace from the hustle of the north. I’m just visiting family but casually looking at some small places and accommodations on the side. It’s def something I’m considering in the near future. The weather has been just incredible these last few days.

Can honestly say this has been an almost all day light to moderate snow event here in Erwin. At times, really steady across parts of town.

This is coming out of no where all the sudden. Most models have a decent snow event in the CPV… this is positive snow depth:

Doing a little better on the 10-year, and anything more than 2.3" of snow by December 31 would shift the Big Apple further down the list. Currently, in 8th place for least snowy 10-year periods excluding periods with partial data (since 1866-1875). A rough go of it in the late 80s an early 90s, but certainly moving up the ranks now. And with a relatively snowy 2016-2018 period, with a whopping 110.3" of snow, or more than half of the snow in the last 10 years, we will need to throw up some BIG numbers to avoid dropping lower to replace those snowy years. Indeed, the next 3 years would need to average nearly 30" of snow per year just to avoid plummeting to the least snowy 10-year period in 2019-2028. If the next 3 years are instead relatively unsnowy, we could be in a situation where we will be poised to absolutely SHATTER the 10-year futility record by 2028.

Two questions: The snowfall that winter wasn't that impressive. 1. Is this because it was too cold? 2. If it was because it was too cold, would we see more snow in the modern climate?

I can't justify staying up late for this so hoping for a lil dusting to wake up to. I fear it is so dry it will disappear by the morning even if it does stick