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That's a problem for this area. Barns Corner is in the heart of the snowbelt. Legend has it there's been 500+ inch winters.
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jasons started following Invest 97L--30% Development Odds
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
forkyfork replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
the highest august value minus the lowest july value is over 1c -
Cant get more than one sunny day around here anymore
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12Z UKMET for 2nd full run in a row has a TC originating in the W MDR well out in the run. 0Z had a TD but 12Z has a strengthening mid-grade TS as it recurves well away from any landmass due to a notable upper trough per H5 maps: NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 15.8N 52.0W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 04.09.2026 120 15.8N 52.0W 1011 25 0000UTC 05.09.2026 132 16.9N 55.0W 1010 30 1200UTC 05.09.2026 144 17.8N 57.6W 1008 35 0000UTC 06.09.2026 156 19.3N 59.2W 1006 41 1200UTC 06.09.2026 168 20.8N 59.6W 1002 48
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Heavy rain shower IMBY, wasn’t expecting this today…
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12Z UKMET doesn’t quite designate this as a TD but it does have 25 knot winds just offshore LA Mon night and landfall Tue AM near TX/LA border. Lowest SLP only gets down to 1011 mb fwiw.
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Tiny downpour dropped 0.07" here.
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12 UKMET: ex-Dolly becomes a TD right before it moves NW into FL NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 26.5N 78.7W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 04.09.2026 108 27.5N 79.5W 1008 29 1200UTC 04.09.2026 120 29.2N 81.3W 1008 31 0000UTC 05.09.2026 132 30.8N 83.2W 1008 24 1200UTC 05.09.2026 144 32.0N 85.4W 1009 19 0000UTC 06.09.2026 156 32.8N 87.3W 1008 18 1200UTC 06.09.2026 168 33.1N 87.9W 1008 20
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Ineedsnow asleep at the wheel. Disappointing.
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But lake effect snow never makes it over the Alleghenies.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yes, I understand. But I found it interesting because Enso 4 anomalies and SST are both cooling, Enso 3 and 3.4 anomalies and SST are both warming, while 4 temps are cooling while anomalies are warming. -
That month was really sunny as we'll I think. Here is a chart of my solar powering my heat pumps and entire house and sending power out to the grid. I think it was on the same day as the other picture I just posted. My solar inverter is rated for 5kw and was actually clipping/reducing power to the 5kw limit.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I expected that and explicitly predicted that your index would neutralize when I did my polar post in latter July. -
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I think the last legit subzero cold shot here was back in Feb 23. I think it dropped to -5 here. I have been using heat pumps since 2016 and went out and took this infrared picture of my heat pump still pulling heat out of the air at -5 with a -20.5 discharge temperature. All the red on my foundation and ground is heat leaking out of my house.
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Where's Lake Ontario? Is that in Canada? Lol
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Hopefully a big ole heat dome sits over the lakes getting LAKE ONTARIO water nice and warm. I want that thing putting out dangerously intense snow bands by Dec 1 right over Barnes Corner. I've never rooted for a warm fall in my life until now lol
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We'll hit 80s into November, and wager this is the year we hit 80 in December.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
moneypitmike replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
You know not of what you speak.I get more snow than ORH and have better retention. . -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
EasternLI replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yeah this pesky ridge east of Japan still being pesky. Not really any signs yet of it going away for the foreseeable future as of now. Interestingly, that seems to be a hallmark of a negative PDO during Sept. Meanwhile, the el nino during Sept would have you believe it should have some resistance or begin to fade away. That's a curious feature. Will be interesting to continue watching that. Want that to go away so we can get a recurving typhoon or two. -
https://x.com/TylerSebreezy/status/2094060893793300908 Tyler Sebree @TylerSebreezy 1h The latest NSSL machine-learning severe probabilities highlight the northwest flow pattern from the Midwest to the Great Lakes to the Mid-Atlantic this week. There will be some severe weather potential Monday through Thursday or Friday for these areas.
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