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  2. TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 507 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 205 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2026 TORNADO WATCH 507 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS DEC003-220100- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0507.260721T1805Z-260722T0100Z/ DE . DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE NEW CASTLE $$
  3. Tornado watch was just issued for the city and regions to the north. TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 507 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 205 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2026 TORNADO WATCH 507 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NYC005-007-017-021-025-027-035-039-043-047-053-057-059-061-065- 071-077-079-081-085-087-095-105-111-119-220100- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0507.260721T1805Z-260722T0100Z/ NY . NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRONX BROOME CHENANGO COLUMBIA DELAWARE DUTCHESS FULTON GREENE HERKIMER KINGS MADISON MONTGOMERY NASSAU NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)ONEIDA ORANGE OTSEGO PUTNAM QUEENS RICHMOND ROCKLAND SCHOHARIE SULLIVAN ULSTER WESTCHESTER $$
  4. The tornado warned storm looks legit on radar.
  5. We have a small Lee trough signature out along I-81 I think. It’s pretty weak though.
  6. It's crazy I've had nothing this year. Every single event is a miss.
  7. Tornado watch through 9pm for a large part of the area including NYC
  8. Tornado watch out for the area, goes until 9pm. 40% Tornado, 40% hail, 70% wind probabilities.
  9. Hopefully the VA storms don't rob energy - I think they have enough separation. That severe cell back in WV may be awfully far away to be our threat...will have to see if anything can trigger along the ridges and such.
  10. Humidity is on point, but radar out west looks more like heavy rainers than the electrical show we had Saturday…which I’m kinda craving again because it was awesome.
  11. Nice rotation aloft over Budd Lake
  12. The cell in NW Jersey has a nice couplet on it right now. Another cell popping in burl co going into a good environment, debating crossing the river and intercepting
  13. Isn’t that pretty much the case with everything humans do/have done?
  14. I mean it’s not hard to not say stupid things. Not trying to be a jerk but the comment was asinine.
  15. The first part of this point is super important when it comes to our severe ability. Convective instability isn’t really because it’s hot out with some humidity, it’s a measure of how much energy a parcel can release as it traverses the atmosphere. Water carries a lot of heat with it, so despite us being clouded over since it’s so wet out we have 3000+ CAPE over the region. Additionally, airs ability to hold water increases exponentially, it’s why a dewpoint change from 40 -> 50 feels fine, but 60 -> 70 is rough. Hence, we have a ton of energy stored through all that extra water. The issue without heating is that you need forcing to cause storms as you don’t get natural convective currents to help out. I’m not qualified to know if our Lee trough will be enough to pop storms, but In some ways I wonder that a lack of heating could help our severe odds today. Since we don’t have a cap traditionally storm overcrowding could be a fail mode, but with poor level lapse rates maybe it will mitigate overcrowding.
  16. My nomination for worst post
  17. SPC hinting you have get E of Lancaster for the real severe - but we’re about to get a tor watch
  18. Tornado warnings popping off in NE PA. Supercell trying to develop in Berks right now
  19. Yes we had that during Ida
  20. ouch ! I take all what I said back don't want to jinx myself
  21. I have a friend in the Plainfield area and in one of the recent flooding events there it came pouring in the ground level basement window wells. Could be any number of reasons with those excessive rates. Pumps or drains with those rates are not a lock that you are safe.
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