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Re: Weekend…A small uptick in snow for SE KY, SW VA, and NETN with the Euro op. Precip shield made it over the mountain that run. SLP was further off the coast though - east. Still a tough sell. More snow with that run, but having to depend on a low that far off the coast is usually not good.

Very nice Mitch, the MOGREPS didn't actually do too bad with this past storm (I think at least )

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Not sure how you guys feel about Bernie Rayno. He really thinks this thing is going to hit the Northeast, but even has a good chance of hitting anywhere from DC straight up.

I don't thing anyone posted the Ukie ensembles from 12z. Recall the operational was a miss, but not so with the ensemble mean.

Huh

the spire with 3 feet for bob chill!

HRRR says we get to 4 below and who am I to question our flagship CAM

8

Or living in Loudoun and not Sussex County, DE .

Can we grab another 2-3” here in SE MA

You absolutely nailed the northern trend of the last storm. Can't wait for you to start the WEST trend.

Whoohoo. I finally won somethin!! glad Middletown norther westers did so well. Maybe next one it’s a taint fest down here. Snowmobiling is decent but the fin zr we got fr 2 hrs makes it dicey jut there. Just gonna have to pack it down. Looks like it’s stayin around. enjoy all.

Should be out at 8

Long as someone along the shore is willing to open their house up, I’m cool with that outcome!

So close to something huge. Onto 0z

Guess I cant complain for being at around 12 for the season. Who knows? Maybe this verifies or even bumps NW a bit and makes everyone happy

How much new in the last 90 min? That band has been intense. Just getting into the meat of it here and it was already stacking up with fatties falling.

If I was your neighbor I'd be feeling pretty good right now lol. Having the euro and ai firmly in your corner is a great place to be. Leads aren't that long and much of the important stuff transpires by hr96. Seeing both euros honing in on that is a big confidence booster. I just want some clean snow so even the icon with its much shallower dig put a smile on my face. Maybe I'm in a good spot but I'm not feeling safe in any way. I tossed the gfs completely after seeing the run over run trend in the euros. My wag is the 0z gfs will make a decisive move towards the euros

Euro hits the coast good with a sharp cutoff at 95. Absolute bomb 970s at end of run. Regardless it’s better than 12z with an eternity to wobble this back west some more. .

Nope. Old "Five Corners" now a circle.

Right in the game. Adjustments like the last storm will have us buried.

Need to go back and look at H5. Really thought the surface would have been better with gulf low placement and transfer. The big dogs usually transfer right off shore at the Ga Fl line. Still showing off NC.

Yep - we did really well in early December, then reverted back to our climo with the latest storm. It is what it is, and that sleet pack isn't going anywhere anytime soon.

18z AI Euro looks really close to 12z, just a hair east. Ratios would be about 15:1 with the temps being modeled. So these totals would be a couple inches more.