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That was brutal

still? Isnt that like 1987?

the 24 hour precip thing on the eps increased pretty good last night for that window

Seriously, smh. The Euro solution would be quite unlike what we've seen from sliders the last several years. They haven't tracked across central MD in I don't know how long. Color me skeptical until it gets more support.

The have's and have nots....

Getting missed to the south on December 5th wouid be icing on the cake of the past few winters.

Appreciate your posts Walt. I think you did a fine job in highlighting this event. This never was about accumulating snow south and east of I95. I think the event under performed from my area north and west compared to most modeling 36-48 hours out. The 12Z Monday guidance pulled the football away and that was mostly correct for the north of 80 / west of 287 crowd.

Lol

TBH, that isn't the ideal route to a high-end month east of ORH in December, anyway.

Great post!!

So has anyone used Cline.ai to write code?

Slightly more than 0.0" here as well.

Which in winter tends to mean "cold, damned cold."

Very interesting

Unfortunate wave timing on the models right now. The southern stream shortwaves for Friday and Sunday are perfectly timed with a northern stream shortwave to suppress the flow out ahead of them and prevent amplification. On the GFS, the subsequent wave on Wednesday instead has a little ridging in the northern stream out ahead of it and easily amplifies into a cutter. We should avoid simplistic black and white statements like the Pacific is somehow preventing snowstorms. For each of the next several waves, a subtle and random shift in the height field could or could have allowed snow for us. We've always had wave interference. It's why it doesn't snow every week in our region. This is our climo. When the pieces fit together, it will snow. Same as it's always been.

On December 3? .

This hard freeze is pretty impressive looking.

ICON looks similar to the NAM precip distribution wise.

Possibly each of us with our own chapter? Stay calm and lucid ….. as always …

Had constant SN from 7:15 AM thru 11:30 PM as the temp slowly climbed from 17 to 23, finishing with 6.9" on 0.49" LE, 14:1 ratio. However, it was like 2 different storms; by 4:30 we had only 2" of tiny flakes. I didn't take a core then, but it was like walking on cornmeal, probably no higher ratio than 8:1. Then the dendrites began to look better and by 9 the total was 5.2" on 0.43" LE, probably close to 20:1. The board held 1.7" this morning with only 0.06" LE and given the fluff, the post-9 PM might've been 2" if I'd gone out at midnight. Very little wind as of now, so the fir and hemlocks are loaded.

This past storm trended more amped all the way up until the storm.

Thankfully the soil temps wont be a problem. Its been cold!

I think you both are talking about how the euro nailed Sandy