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Isn’t it a bit late in the spring season to be dropping fert ? Especially since you are calling for HHH weather which tends to put our grass into dormancy. I could see it if there were a stretch of cool and wet weather coming, but doesn’t appear to be the case.
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He’s been a warminista for awhile now. He’s a few years away from moving the fam down to SW FL.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
No real surprise seeing the models dry up for tonight. Dry begets dry. 87F/DP 66F -
all the cloud cover over us and to the west with no storms developing until you get into eastern Ohio will push back any severe potential a few hours past the peak heating times - SPC has no mention of any possible severe watches close to the area as of 1 PM SPC Products Page
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Definitely a CoastalWx switch I see. He is leaning more towards having a PT in the warm season w/ time and all the wx phenomena that comes w/ that!
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Training showers now. Heat cancel. 71.8/63
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The Cape Cod storm I am pretty sure were from a second wave after the 3 tornadic supercells in the afternoon. A few years ago, high quality photos surfaced taken from central MA showing local damage and also showed a very crisp and impressive CB in the distance to the E close to sunset. So that would jibe w/ the Cape Cod CONS LTG.
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And WxWiz would pass out from Xtreme ecstasy!
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Eastern Mass would lose its mind
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
More on 97. Here were the monthlies: 1+2 3 4 3.4 1997 6 26.12 3.00 28.13 1.51 29.23 0.26 28.82 1.09 1997 7 25.59 3.63 27.90 2.09 29.37 0.47 28.86 1.56 1997 8 24.96 3.96 27.71 2.59 29.29 0.50 28.75 1.89 1997 9 24.69 3.96 27.74 2.84 29.44 0.68 28.85 2.13 1997 10 24.69 3.67 28.06 3.08 29.34 0.58 29.08 2.36 1997 11 26.12 4.47 28.37 3.27 29.39 0.69 29.12 2.41 1997 12 27.06 4.25 28.53 3.30 29.11 0.57 28.89 2.29 1998 1 28.12 3.55 28.74 3.08 28.95 0.64 28.93 2.38 1998 2 28.74 2.64 28.90 2.49 28.79 0.59 28.78 2.03 1+2 (peak 4.47) and 3 (peak 3.3) were way, way stronger than 4, which remained just wk (peak 0.69) and even way stronger than 3.4 (peak 2.41)! The forecast for ‘26 is much stronger in 3.4/4 and stronger in 3, but not as strong in 1+2: Per latest Euro, here are peak non-rel. monthlies: 1+2: 3.9 3: 3.9 3.4: 3.7 4: 2.4 That’s only a contrast of 1.5 from E to W compared to 3.8 in ‘97! And contrast from 1+2 to 3.4 is a mere 0.2 vs 2.1 in ‘97!! So, the prog is for ‘26 to be E based but way more balanced and thus not nearly as E based as the extremely E based ‘97. -
Keeping my fingers crossed that we get a much-needed heavy downpour tonight. It has been close to 2 weeks since we've had rain and the ground is bone dry. I'm tired of having to water the vegetable garden almost every day, so hopefully some help from mother nature tonight.
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HRRR is around that .25" ish
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It didn't have much two weeks ago on Wednesday and we know what happened in parts of Queens and Nassau. WX/PT
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Didn’t get the shower but got the humidity here -
Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
I think 50/50 shot of getting a storm here. Or at least .25 which is minimum needed to wash in . Late timing generally weakens storms but it’s not impossible -
certain mets have been touting plenty of storms and downpours tonight, what could possibly go wrong?! You don't trust them? Drop the fert and be done with it!
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You'll hopefully see a few storms. Yeah everything collapses rapidly, we're all expecting a dry fropa besides Coastalwx
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Superstorm started following Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Superstorm replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Brief shower came through to make it nice and humid. . -
Let’s get an all out torch
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Probably will stay north of us... but... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0998.html Mesoscale Discussion 0998 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1007 AM CDT Sat Jun 06 2026 Areas affected...eastern Ohio...western Pennsylvania...northern West Virginia...and northern Maryland Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely Valid 061507Z - 061730Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorm activity to increase in coverage and intensity through the late morning/afternoon with an increase in damaging wind potential. DISCUSSION...A line of storms continues south and east across portions of eastern Indiana into Ohio, with occasional strong to isolated severe gusts (50-60 mph). It is uncertain how this will evolve downstream, with guidance showing potential for maintenance and intensification along the remaining outflow later in the afternoon. Gradual increase in forcing for ascent will occur this afternoon as strengthening mid-level flow overspreads the area with the trough across the Great Lakes. Filtered heating is expected through broken mid-level cloud cover. This in combination with dew points in the low to mid 60s will yield around 1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE. Additionally, steepening low-level lapse rates are expected, supporting downward transport of higher momentum flow aloft to the surface. Additional downstream development is likely with potential for several clusters of storms capable of damaging wind through the afternoon. While exact timing of this threat remains uncertain, a watch will likely be needed to cover this potential by the afternoon. ..Thornton/Thompson.. 06/06/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...IWX...
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some sprits of rain here.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
high risk replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
This little line moving through now is NOT the main front; it’s some sort of pre-frontal trough feature. The front won’t move through until later tonight.- 388 replies
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We hope its right but I wish it was a couple hours earlier.. might be some weakening by then
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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026
WinstonSalemArlington replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
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Hopefully that extends into July
