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It's all about sun angle! Kills the snow pack this time of the year....lol
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Idk, i'll take October.
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It does appear to be heading your way but it's shrinking a bit
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Im the new Stephens City lol
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Its headed east... coming for you
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
EastCoast NPZ replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Constant thunder. Someone is getting it good.- 2,178 replies
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+4 at SLK is still a very cold winter for 90% of New England lol. Like the minimum temp was 3F instead of -1F.
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I have this feeling too, and if you think about it, the warmer December is the colder JFM can be and still the winter can average normal to slightly above overall. I am almost ready to root for this as it feels close to a lock anyway.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
EastCoast NPZ replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
And miss it will.- 2,178 replies
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Me too! -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
powderfreak replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Bummer on the snow depth down to 0”. -
lsukev5 started following 2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
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Long time, everyone. Looks like the names are mostly the same. I live in Stephens City. We’ll see how it goes I guess. .
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We just got back from a trip to Portugal, Spain, and the UK. All I can say is they have had a very long, hot, and incredibly dry summer. The leaves in London are all falling from the lack of rain and the grass is all burnt out. When we were in London it was their first "cool" shot of the whole summer, but moisture starved front, so no rain. It felt like October the first night we were there, but looked like it even more with so many leaves on the ground. We did not see one cloud the whole time we were in Portugal and Spain though. Weather was hot hot hot, especially in Spain. Great trip overall though. Really incredible places. Now hopefully we can maybe dry out just a bit...
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
dailylurker replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
A tornado through Stephen's City would be funny, but not funny at the same time. Hail core headed right for Stephen's City. I can't wait to see how it misses lol- 2,178 replies
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Torch!
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This is actually a good series to go to since we are 5 games away from .500 (the problems don't start until we're 3 games away), and we have randomly owned the Rays for some strange reason this year, lol
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Looks like its re-intensifying... hail core has reappeared
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Mesoscale Discussion 2091 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0502 PM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026 Areas affected...Portions of western/central Virginia and northern North Carolina Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 222202Z - 230030Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Storms are expected to increase in coverage while spreading eastward into this evening. The primary concern is locally damaging wind gusts. While a watch is not currently expected, trends are being monitored. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms are increasing in coverage along the Blue Ridge in western VA, potentially aided by increasing midlevel height falls preceding a broad midlevel trough approaching the region from the west. Over the next few hours, these storms should continue spreading eastward across western/central VA and northern NC. A warm, moist, and uncapped air mass downstream should support a modest increase in thunderstorm coverage. While midlevel lapse rates are limiting overall buoyancy (around 1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE), an elongated midlevel hodograph (40 kt of 0-6 km shear per FCX VWP) could promote a few loosely organized clusters capable of producing locally damaging wind gusts. While the overall risk may remain too localized/sparse for a watch, trends are being monitored. ..Weinman/Thompson.. 08/22/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...GSP... LAT...LON 36568122 36908125 37628037 38057977 38737887 39377837 39447792 39237739 38807712 38207722 36967810 36137933 35987997 36008043 36298116 36568122 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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The CFS has been remarkably consistent in suggesting Feb and March will hold the best chance for cold and a big winter storm. Dec h5 pattern looks very mild with PAC puke look, and Jan might trend colder towards the end. Not surprising that the latter part of winter has the best potential to deliver when the Nino may relax a bit/ max SST anomalies shift more westward. All fwiw ofc. Pretty nice looks here. Should be just cold enough a time or two as the key features shift/ align in a favorable configuration.
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Wouldnt trust them especially with timing Seemed to have struggled with this system ever since Thursday
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What the... what is this Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 614 PM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026 WVC027-031-222245- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0435.000000T0000Z-260822T2245Z/ Hardy WV-Hampshire WV- 614 PM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT FOR NORTHEASTERN HARDY AND SOUTHEASTERN HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES... At 613 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Wardensville, or 14 miles southeast of Romney, moving east at 10 mph. THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM FOR SOUTHERN HAMPSHIRE COUNTY. HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and two inch hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect considerable damage to trees and power lines. Your life is at significant risk if outdoors. In addition to some trees falling into homes, wind damage is possible to roofs, sheds, open garages, and mobile homes. Locations impacted include... Rio, Yellow Spring, Delray, and Capon Springs. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This storm is producing destructive winds and large damaging hail. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay away from windows. Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature`s leading killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3913 7869 3920 7867 3926 7846 3912 7845 3911 7848 3910 7850 TIME...MOT...LOC 2213Z 273DEG 8KT 3917 7861 TORNADO...POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...2.00 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...80 MPH
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Prettymuch solid cloud cover over southern half of New England, but the sinking air produced a ribbon of clearing north of the mountains: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G19§or=ne&band=01&length=36&dim=1
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That cell west of winchester means business
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