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Yes -tad better

Icon has rain next week

AI-GFS south again,

RAP is terrible so doesn't count as an "at bat" haha. GEM solid. Also AIFS very nice for midweek.

You do live south of the Wake County gradient though so I completely understand.[emoji41] .

Latest GEM looks GFSish

This cold has already and will continue to set up some impressive river ice. Maybe come March we can get some jamming and flooding on the Connecticut to rival 1936. Not that I really want that. It’s just a fascinating phenomena. 1936 took out dozens of bridges and I believe it was worse flooding than the 1938 hurricane.

Dry Slot Risk

Yep, looking at being able to go to Jersey Mikes now for a Philly Chicken substituting their green peppers for cooked in jalapeños and substituting American for provolone cheese with Rosemary Parm bread. Take it home and toast for 2 minutes and it’s awesome. We should get it rolling later tomorrow. .

CMC good ALSO AIGFS a beaut for midweek.

Down to 9-10 for most. If we can calm down for a few hours we’ll drop like a rock.

Latest RAP

The canines have been out for blood.

@mitchnick I saw this seasonal snowfall mean map back in the early 2000s and was like “what’s that little max in north central MD just south of PA that gets as much snow as southern CT according to this. That can’t be real”. So I started paying attention to coop reports in the area after every storm. Even drove up from northern VA a couple of times to see for myself. And damn it was real. During “snowy” periods there was this little area on these ridges up here that got dumped on. I remembered that when I ended up in the area and bought a place accordingly.

Nice modest hit on the GFS

I think I will just stick to a nice cold beer.

where the genuine hell are you finding all of these storm types? what's next, miller e, the cutter?

The latest RAP is an absolute crush job for the I77, I85, ,and I40 corridor! I sure hope it holds true!

I’d paint myself red and light myself on fire and run around the yard for 3in.

The last HRRR has us actually getting no snow at the moment (it's still coming down lightly at my house), and building back to our side of town around 2 AM and hanging around through 2 PM, with 3-4" on top of what we already have. Which I think would put us about on schedule for the median model result for our area

Miller d

Nickel size flakage

The concern there is the gradient between the NAO block and the se height bump via RNA....I think I'd prefer to play it safe and just do overruning rather than try for a coastal in that setup.

I think the first batch of snow is all we are gonna get in Chattanooga to be honest .