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UK going to be a Miss. GFS right now on its own

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UK is still paltry but better than 12Z

Why doesn’t the regular GFS show this?

Ukmet has been the extreme northeastern outlier on this one. It's just trying to get home...

UK continues to look splatchy and stays positive tilted

So I either fly back today or stay in the hope this is good for NYC. I'm totally bewildered. A real mixed bag, two most likeky options are a further push W 12-16" or a middleground 1-4" the latter more likely now.

UKMET is nowhere close to the GFS. Gonna be mostly OTS.

It’s not our storm folks

The Canadian is about in line with the Euro Ai now, once ratio'd.

thats a hard pill to swallow, but it isnt like we are starting from scratch. We have a solid 10-15" snow pack on the ground. 2" would be awesome to watch fall on top

Just keep posting. Just keep posting. Just keep posting.

Maybe the ULL cranks and then energy transfers offshore. Not saying it’s right but I suspect that’s what it’s showing. TW

Double precip maxima. Western areas are getting smoked under the upper level low and lee side enhancement.

Wouldnt that be crazy if GFS was right

Nor an SEC championship

That beast over Canada is annoying

It just shows how much is going into this system, and how much difficulty the models are going to have handling it. Its not often virtually every model is showing a ~960 mb low pressure system somewhere off the coast of the mid-Atlantic U.S. This situation is so anomalous, I think its better to watch how the ensembles are trending at this point

I wouldn't even be mad if a fujiwhara effect screwed us out of snow. This is some 1991 Perfect Storm shit.

GEFS west so far

If history repeats itself as it has over and over again, precip in the triad will quickly wind down once the low moves north of hatteras. Book it. TW

Remember guys, Canada has never won a Super Bowl.

lol what happened?

CMC at 0z is a nice hit from Nashville East. Improvement from 12z with westward expansion of accumulation