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Lfg! Months after months of connective season, just how we like it!
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because March has 31 days
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2026-2027 El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yeah, they prematurely overhyped the el nino. But by the time you got to 14-15, you just knew whenever the el nino developed, it was going to be historic. The el nino was building up for 3-4 years at that time. I'd even argue that 2024-25 was a la nina bust, as well. That one was predicted early on to be a strong la nina, but ended up as a disjointed 2-year la nina. -
Get under something
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I think his mother is the woman who's face is just to the right of the ball.
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A few decent downpours
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How is it still March?
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The Euro is prone to being too warm with ONI, sometimes by a lot: It in 3/2014 predicted a +1.3 ONI for JAS vs only +0.1 that verified It progged in 4/2014 +1.4 for ASO vs only +0.3 that verified Euro progged in 5/2014 +1.5 for ASO vs only +0.3 that verified It progged in 4/2012 +1.0 for ASO vs only +0.4 that verified It progged in 5/2012 +1.0 for SON vs only +0.3 that verified It progged in 6/2012 +1.2 for OND vs only +0.1 that verified I’m not even talking about RONI, which as of now is ~0.5 cooler than ONI. Sources: Euro progs https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/2014-June-quick-look/?enso_tab=enso-sst_table ONI: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/oni.ascii.txt
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Never heard of either of these places -- national high of 101 at Cibola, AZ and low of 7 at Saint Mary, MT. 7-day precip map shows the contrast from SE to NW across the state. -
Agreed. Today's max will be the 47 late last evening. Now we're mid 30s with -RA. Maybe we get enough rain to matter, though March will be the 9th BN month of the most recent 10, and the one AN month (Sept) was only 0.19" above. Precip for those 10 months is running 61% of average, might climb all the way to 62% by today's end. Grandkids are getting the torch in SNJ - 80 today and 83/65 progged for tomorrow. That mean of 74 is 25° AN for there.
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Overcast with snow shwrs this morning. T of snow.
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Decent call here. Front working its way through today into tomorrow with shwrs/stms, and a little snow up N. Active pattern for the 1st week of April.
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A few breaks poking through. Thinking we can touch the mid 50's today that continues. Yesterday was too f'n windy and didn't even touch 50.
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Had .20" here but I get your point. The .20" received here in March got me to an even 50" for the season.
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Another cloudy, gross day
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2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
PDO isn't as strongly connected to ENSO as you would think.. here are the Strongest El Nino's. 2 other areas in the globe have bigger anomalies -
Ready to garden variety
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Same , good rumble here 2 minutes ago or so/ 51F .23" so far, more thunder as I type this.
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March 31 1896: A strong snowstorm dumps 13.5 inches of snow at Maple Plain. Vivid lightning is also in the storm with 10-12 flashes per minute. Visibility was down to less than one block. The high temperature was 57 at Maple Plain the day before. 1843: The low temperature at Ft. Snelling plummets to -11. For Tuesday, March 31, 2026 1890 - Saint Louis, MO, received 20 inches of snow in 24 hours. It was the worst snowstorm of record for the St Louis. (David Ludlum) 1954 - The temperature at Rio Grande City, TX, hit 108 degrees, which for thirty years was a U.S. record for the month of March. (The Weather Channel) 1962 - A tornado struck the town of Milton, FL, killing 17 persons and injuring 100 others. It was the worst tornado disaster in Florida history. (David Ludlum) 1973 - A devastating tornado took a nearly continuous 75 mile path through north central Georgia causing more than 113 million dollars damage, the highest total of record for a natural disaster in the state. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - March went out like a lion in the northeastern U.S. A slow moving storm produced heavy snow in the Lower Great Lakes Region, and heavy rain in New England. Heavy rain and melting snow caused catastrophic flooding along rivers and streams in Maine and New Hampshire. Strong southerly winds ahead of the storm gusted to 62 mph at New York City, and reached 87 mph at Milton MA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - March went out like a lion in eastern Colorado. A winter-like storm produced 42 inches of snow at Lake Isabel, including 20 inches in six hours. Fort Collins reported 15 inches of snow in 24 hours. Winds gusted to 80 mph at Centerville UT. Albuquerque NM received 14 inches of snow. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Afternoon thunderstorms produced severe weather from North Carolina to Pennsylvania. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 76 mph at Cape Henry VA. While squalls blanketed northwest Pennsylvania with up to 9 inches of snow, thunderstorms in eastern Pennsylvania produced golf ball size hail at Avondale. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - The month of March went out just as it came in, like a lamb. Marquette MI, which started the month with a record high of 52 degrees, equaled their record for the date with a reading of 62 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 2010 - Jacksonville, Florida's, record streak of days with high temperatures below 80 degrees comes to an end at 105 days. It was also Jacksonville's first 80 degree reading of the year. The previous latest first 80 degree day was on March 14, 1978.
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2026-2027 El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Feb 2002 -1.51, Feb 1957 it was -1.57.... -
thunder here
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Yeah we've had a lot of warmer days
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2026-2027 El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
PDO was only -1.01 for February....I don't get the reluctance to fathom a flip in the face of a strong El Nino.
