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Since we cooled down late August/Sept, it's been more of a -AO pattern. I think it's solar, and therefore the connection is on both sides of the globe. The Southern Hemisphere has had a nice -AAO period since September: Going into next year - that rolls forward to a -NAO, tripole pattern the following March to June (map default is positive so it's opposite correlation v )

holding strong on the long range gfs is the mother of cutters

yeah h5 looked more disjointed last night at this time, at least the eventual evolution. 0z yesterday an initial s/w went through and started to dig, and took the second piece of energy along with it. gfs doing it's weird shit

lol

Did yo mama slap you that hard as a child and rename you negative nelly? It's almost impossible for you to pick up on anything good.

But that model is trash…no matter what.

The GFS just improved.

Just like clockwork. Perpetual snow for 3+ months. Love how these people just take it in stride. They just drive in it and scrape the roads after each event. No chemicals put on the roads to ruin their vehicles.

the type of shit @SnowenOutThere feels when he creates the thread and gets the jack zone while the northern crew gets nothing:

Snowin Out There, no need to worry. You got this BIG-TIME! Your posts about developing upper air dynamics are so well done you need RED TAGGED already! NWS mets better start takin notes from you!

0.3” final call.

I don't like that the rgem and ggem are more like the gfs op as the main drivers/features become better sampled lol

Ukie getting better

Ukie better. There will be high ratios with this also.

if I had to choose any models (thus far) to run with, it'd be the 12z/18z euro ai. Maybe a tad toned down

Looks to be trending in the wrong direction for holiday snow lovers. Might be another somewhat warm and dry Christmas this year. But we still got enough time for this to flip but not much.

People will say it's my "heat tolerance," but out my way I seldom use the AC in May and September, outside of short stretches. In recent years we've even gone well into June without it. Before we got that heatwave this past June in fact it was quite cool. The city is outrageous with how it retains heat. Sometimes I see they are close to 90 at midnight whereas I'll be in the mid 70's.

Someone should start one because this potential is moving into the short range..

Snowshoe is getting totally demolished by torrential snow! The Alleghenies are experiencing shellacking snow conditions right now! https://www.snowshoemtn.com/media-room/skidder-slope-live-cam

Lots of time left. Could become a strung out mess could pop an ocean storm and drop 3-6". Should know more definitively Tommorow night

yeah - that one is gonna be a tough one to watch.

No, but if was a step back from 12z thougb

the CMC isn’t that far off from the ECMWF, the ECMWF is just a bit deeper

Great 30 for 30 on Stuart Scott. Trailblazer. Teared up a bit at the end.

0z CMC... *chef's kiss*