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  2. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  3. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  4. Eclipse is visible for some of us right now, at the moment, just got a pretty good look at it before it got filtered.
  5. You are being specific as to why a given change occurs, when I was talking in only in general about how it is nothing new for name changes and how they are more common than many think. Your statement is non-sequitur argument. And your statement is selective outage, as I noted in my initial post was likely occurring/occurred Again, I was only talking in general and giving a bunch of historical examples about location name changes and how many administrations have done it...factual. The implied deriding statement "opus of factuality" is an ad hominem attack/poisoning the well statement. I suggest you avoid committing logical fallacies in your statements if you want to have a reasonable discussion. I said my post was not political, and you turned it into one. I stuck w/ facts..
  6. I’m glad I woke up- clear skies for the max here. Got some good shots, I’ll post pics in the morning.
  7. Yes, the mid and upper levels are a mess and chaotic, You can see upper lows prevalent at 250 on the 18z ECMWF analysis attached and lots of dry air on the WV image attached. Also on the IR image attached, how disheveled it is, lacking in any circular symmetry aloft and the stable stratocumulus W and NW of the system (seeing this in the MDR during the peak of the season?, that is rare). In addition, how small and isolated Dolly is, w/ barely any other deep convection in the entire MDR! When it's bad, it can be *really* bad (for TCs).
  8. And how often in this opus of factuality, does a major landmark get a name change due to the namer having erupted, yet again, into an epic hissy fit?
  9. Name changes to locations happen more often than many think from all levels of govt and globally. It is nothing new. Idlewild Airport in NYC was changed to J.F.K. in 1963. Manchester Airport was changed to Manchester-Boston Regional Airport in 2006. In 2023, Fort Bragg NC was changed to Fort Liberty and then back to Bragg in 2025. Other military bases had this done in the previous administration and current. Mt McKinley was changed to Denali in 2015, and now is back to Mt McKinley. Barrow AK was changed to Utqiaġvik in 2016. Hot Springs NM changed to Truth or Consequences in 1950. There are many others examples in the country and worldwide Leningrad changed to St Petersburg in 1991, Myanmar was Burma, Belize was British Honduras, Eswatini was Swaziland. So anyone thinking name changes to locations are not allowed/llegal or unique to just the current administration or political reasons for changes did not occur during prior administrations is incorrect and may be displaying bias and/or selective outrage. And the above is not a political statement, it is a factual statement.
  10. Sorry to have to make 3 posts because of the forum...but any who
  11. One of Paul Roudy's tools https://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/roundy/waves/analogs/analogslp.html
  12. Today
  13. dude....i've gotten PUMMELED down here in norlanco. Basement and garage took on water again. shop vac and squeegie to the rescue. now fans and dehumidifiers takin over. Gonna be ugly round here tomorrow me thinks. glad i'm off tomorrow. gotta plan to fix this reocurring issue. had 1" of standing water on my paver patio. Round 3 just went through. heaviest yet of all bursts weve had, but thankfully only a 5-10 min burst. Headed back down one more time to see if I've got more work to do before bed. gnight all
  14. Partial Lunar Eclipse visible now
  15. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  16. Nonsense, I think he should rename everything with America or Trump, it's what the founding fathers would've wanted.
  17. Pretty cool going on right now. Got lightning to my nw and clear skies south where the moon is so it’s lightning during the eclipse.
  18. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  19. Not a drop here in Hanover. But got clear enough skies watching the eclipse right now.
  20. Ever notice watches likes this "mysteriously" stop on the ALY CWA borders? Like one can really peg down w-cntrl VT has less of a risk or should not be in the watch in this case? My point is this happens too often to just be coincidence. The atmosphere does not care about geopolitical borders!
  21. In last 20 years or so, NHC often skips the TD stage completely in the Atlantic. I am not sure why. However in the EPAC, they have no problem starting systems as TDs. It's not like TCs work any different between these 2 basins, and 30 kt winds w/ a defined closed sfc circulation and deep convection doesn't care which basin it is in. It is still the same thing! Skipping the TD stage is a disservice IMHO since declaring a system that is indeed a TD gives a full fcst product suite and raises awareness sooner. Is that not of high value? Models have become very good for TC genesis now, and we have ASCAT and SAR winds to see better than ever what is actually there, so no reason to take advantage of this skill. And yes, there is PTC to cover this, but that is only applicable when it is a fcst to be a TC within 72 hr affecting land. Does not apply for Dolly since it is fcst to *not^ be a TC when impacts the Lesser Antilles.
  22. Well clearly the climate cult spread themselves 1000s of miles across Canada and were all activated simultaneously by the Fire starter signal.
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