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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
ORH_wxman replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Yeah prob warning snows for eastern half of SNE but western parts still get good advisory snows. -
Yeah it's just plain old looking to see if there's agreement. And this evening that has moved in a positive direction
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
WeatherGeek2025 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
how much for philly -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
The 4 Seasons replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
yea as long as it tics west id be fine with that even if its a scraper again. -
Pretty of quiet around here. Goofus, cmc and rgem looked decent.
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
RUNNAWAYICEBERG replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Poor TFlizz… -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
WinterWolf replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
How bout the rest of us lol…advisory at least on that depiction? -
When other models agree lol. CMC close that’s a start let’s see ukmet and euro come in as well.
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So what is our least snowiest model attm? Euro? Just curious
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Nothing is more stubborn more than that sob model
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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Shoveled the driveway during the lull before round 2 moves in. The band seems narrower. We’ll see what damage it does before it sweeps off tothe west. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
George001 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Great start to 0z. -
I'm not even going to hope with the Euro. It never does what we want and if it does, it'll be closer to game time.
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
wxsniss replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
CMC 0z ~100-150 mile shift northwest over 12z... So far 0z major league guidance is 2/2 with a substantial hit -
So here’s a question. When is it that we can actually start to trust the garbage GooFuS? I feel like it’s about in its wheelhouse from here on out?
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
ORH_wxman replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
GGEM is a pretty big hit too for eastern zones. -
Thanks for that update – as noted in the BTV NWS forecast discussion below, it looks like it’s snow right from the start of this system at 3,000’ and above. I’m sure the 2,000’ – 3,000’ elevation band should do fine as well though based on the way the snow levels were already down to 2,300’ as of this afternoon. There hasn’t been much of a change with respect to expected accumulations in the valleys, but the BTV NWS point forecasts have given a bit of a bump in accumulations for the mountains (~6-12” in the Mansfield point forecast), and I see that there are a few shots of that 8-12” shading making its way into the Event Total Snowfall Accumulation Map now. Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 653 PM EST Wed Jan 14 2026 Lets start with what we know, its currently 26F at Whiteface, 28F Mt Mansfield, 30F at Little Whiteface, SLK 39F and 45F here at BTV, indicating elevations above 3000 feet should see an all snow event, producing a sharp elevation dependent snowfall from valley floors to summits, especially in VT. …a sharp elevation dependent snowfall is expected with a dusting to 3 inches Champlain Valley 8 to 10 inches atop Mt Mansfield to Jay Peak and similar amounts over the northern Dacks.
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I like that!! No chance of any mixing or the dreaded rain/snow line!!
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And far too warm south of 85
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
weathafella replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Yeah cmc joined the party. Unc will be available within the next few minutes -
Borderline warning snows on the GDPS for NYC
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Canadian, while nothing for us, went from off the coast to precip well west into NC from 12z to 0z.
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