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I HATE ice storms with a vengeance in Buda. HOWEVER I will take it IF it will bring DCA 4 feet of pow.
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I didnt think the GEFS was that bad,most QPFS Its shown in TN that run
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January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
Thrasher Fan replied to Jimbo!'s topic in Southeastern States
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Just a couple of observations. After the storm the models are showing a pretty dangerous artic outbreak. Like pipe bursting stuff. That cold is legit. Straight out of the arctic. This is also going to be a historic ice storm somewhere in the south. Over an ich of QPF as rain falling into sub 20 degree temps is horrific. I have seen it once before. And it is no joke. Just a massive hit to a large part of the country. Historic if it is being modelled accurately.
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Imagine the reaction image when the euro does this
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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
colonel717 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Ukie with ratios would be 11-15 for the area. -
00z AI GFS is slightly further south than previous run, heavier moisture and a tad colder, looks to be a significant winter storm.
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That was the Ukmet scenario of 12z which it did hold. Tbh everything I’ve seen for 0z runs has moved in that direction (minus the ai gfs slightly)
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow 1/25 - 1/26
Nibor replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
I think a long duration storm is in the cards with this one. -
Yes it is and now a nearly closed low Georgia area
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Thank you, it’s all in good fun and it’s an amazing reaction image
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
0z Ukie is apparently very good as well! -
22.1/0.9 at midnight with WNW wind at 9 gusting 19 mph. Wind chill 9 to 7.
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Let's hope the Euro shows the "Greatness" thing that @SnowenOutThere was talking about.
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Just more amplification on surface LP...blasts 850 front way further north. If you want 2 models to be against you, those are the 2
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The Baja is picked up/phased in more on the UKMET/CMC which packs the punch needed to split the high pressure and cut north.
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No, just too obscene for their site. Gotta verify you're over 18
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I knew when I saw 200+ posts in an hour that we got smoked. It's going to be a fun week.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
2nd place in eastern pa never felt so good. north trends seem to continue. Gnight all. -
Who’s got the cigarettes?
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Visibility -5 miles!!!
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The 00z Ukie and even at 12z seems to have a more WSW-ENE orientation to the snow axis compared to the EURO/GFS which are more west to east. CMC though further north seems similar to the Ukie in terms of the orientation. Maybe related to the placement of the high pressure over Minnesota and how fast it presses southeast? Or something else about how the energy moves east from Baja? Edit: Might just be a trick of the state boundaries on my eyes on the map, lol
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Definitely lending more support toward the Euro/GFS/Icon vs Ukie/GEM
