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  2. There’s nothing up here. Perfectly blue skies besides some Ci. MWN has been 80-90sm vis all day too.
  3. Lots of PVA/dPVA use in this subforum. A lot of us are just old enough to be in college when the NWS mets had to cram everything into acronyms because of bandwidth. I have a habit of mixing METAR and SAO coding. I’ll usually use +SN or RA instead of S+ but rarely FZRA or PL…ZR/ZL and IP are my go-to’s. Not a fan of CLR either since that is the “clear below 12kft” nonsense. I always go SKC. I miss seeing BCFG, PRFG, MIFG, DRSN, etc too. I’ll give myself a for that.
  4. What an incredible almost perfect June day. Started out at 60 and rose to 75. Dew points hovered in the mid 40's. Very windy today though. Winds blew in the 15 to 25 mph range off the water most of the day. Made it feel chilly actually.
  5. "Scott Spinner" in Upstate NY on 5/29 from the "cold" storm here on 5/30.
  6. Okay seriously, we got burned by another head fake. The forecast for the Memorial Day soaker didn’t disappoint for the first time in ages, and in the week leading up to it the models did show it ushering in a wet pattern. Yet when the system ran its course the follow up rain events were can kicked an additional week and are now in the process of collapsing. Since 2023 we’ve get these big rain events that happen roughly 6 months apart which mathematically should usher in a wet pattern but every time said pattern fails to materialize despite the storm verifying. Did something else break in the atmosphere to make things permanently drier? It’s not supposed to be this hard to get a wet pattern here.
  7. Winter 2026-2027 Speculation - It's gonna snow.
  8. There was a 3" snow Nov 14 and another 1.6" the 15th. I dont remember forecasts that long ago (I was young lol). Mid november to mid December, the 2nd half of january, and spurts of March were wintry. The rest sucked.
  9. Even though its clear who the trolls are, its a shocking lack of understanding how the actual weather works.
  10. I would like to see this cold bias documented too. Bias would mean it regularly runs too warm/cold. Cansips was the only model close to the cold in the great lakes and northeast last winter. Does that mean every other model has a warm bias?
  11. Looks like it’s originating from Dryslot’s “garden”
  12. Its the same group that gets on their soapbox about school closing decisions so nothing surprises me.
  13. We all know this but its alwags good to remind ourselves....even with very similar indices, an analog is an analog. The weather itself will always play out differently.
  14. The dry air allowed us to drop to 49 early this morning. Back up to 86 this afternoon.
  15. Today's high was 61 and we will be going down to the 40s tonight!
  16. Today
  17. My memory might be failing me but I think 1997 was the year of the November snowstorm bust here. We had a winter storm warning for 6-10 inches for the next day. By morning the warning was dropped and the forecast was for 1-3 inches. We never got a flake. It was all down toward you.
  18. 82/45 is tops when you are sitting outside with a book.
  19. All the snow weenies care about are 10:1 and Kuchera
  20. "A real-time parallel feed of RRFS and REFS will be available on or about July 7, 2026, on NOMADS for both NCEP Web services and NOAAPORT" SCN26-048-Updated_RRFS_and_REFS_Implementation.aaa.pdf
  21. "A real-time parallel feed of RRFS and REFS will be available on or about July 7, 2026, on NOMADS for both NCEP Web services and NOAAPORT." SCN26-048-Updated_RRFS_and_REFS_Implementation.aaa.pdf
  22. OISST rose on June 1st a whopping ~0.09C, which is the largest gain in one day since way back on April 13th! Is this just the start of an overall big warming? Based on the recent SOI and models, I think it is:
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