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Is it just my amateur eye, or did 18z euro improve significantly for the 15th? I don't know where to post now, Torch Tiger has effed up the forum with his bullshit.

I have already told my wife that I am gonna start chasing the atmospheric river in the Sierra Nevada or big storms in the East.

Fwiw, 18z Eps gives us an inch and operational just shy of it.

@Holston_River_Rambler and Co...I have a hard time believing this doesn't produce 1-2" of snow for anyone under that.

Yes, the PNA is far more important to Atlanta's January snowstorms than the NAO. Since 1950, the PNA was positive for 84.2% of Atlanta's 1" or greater snowstorms. The NAO was negative for 63.2% of such storms.

The 2020s in a nutshell

It looks active wednesday-sunday with various short waves rotating through. It will all be short range / nowcast type stuff but could be fun and we've done well this season thus far with that.

Yeah none of the ensemble suites had much of anything for the 16th so the fact that there's at least a modest signal for the following period is at least somewhat intriguing. I think it's also worth mentioning the CMC/GEM has a system in the area by that time as well, when it was never interested in the 16th iirc

Yea not at all.

Yeah not at all

Thread title

Travis Kelce is available! Thank you I'll see myself out now.

As long as the extended range looks active with hits that's all we can ask for right now. The extended shows plenty of cold around and looks active...can't ask for anything else really. Obviously we're going to want to see this continuing as we get closer but the look is hopeful.

I'm frustrated but remain optimistic...this isn't last year IMHO.

Im optimistic… but its just because all the let downs have led me to be positive even though i know deep down we cant score in the foothills circle of doom. .

Should be some good SWFEs in short order.

Yessss

18z Euro AI Ensemble for Sunday

CMC Ensemble for Sunday

Needs some work but I wouldn’t rule out an interior shovelable event yet for 1/18. I’m more optimistic beyond that timeframe though.

Pretty much every thread turns into a whiner thread these days Luck has got to change eventually

I mean... this is the 18z GEFS just for the Sunday system. This is not a terrible look. Or maybe its just me

we can edit title until the goods are delivered

Fluid

@CoastalWx would love this.