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rough

The colder global temperature sweet spot ended with the 1997-98 el nino. Temperatures jumped with that super el nino, and have never went back to the pre-1997 baseline. Pinatubo was most likely the reason for the colder global temperature sweet spot.

Correct-no rug pull here

Nope. Let it snow until April. This has been a great winter. Last year would have also been great if suppression wasn't an issue. Maybe we are turning the corner here in regards to cold and snowy winters.

HRRR-Hardly Right Rarely Right

FGEN! (I have no idea if its helpful in this setup)

You are not crazy, pivotal does that for some reason. Maybe because the scale adjusts slightly for each run to better fit all totals but idk edit: actually it is not changing the bar length at all so I guess it’s just something with how pivotal processes the gif

I feel like the snowfall color guide on the bottom changing colors. I didn't get a lot of sleep last night so that might be it

Went from 3.39 to 4.49 a/gal over the weekend, and I'm due for a fill up on 3/11. Fun times Lets get this warmth in here.

Pretty disappointing to see winter end this week if that is the case. I'm sure we'll see some more chances after Weds along with a bit of cold, but once the pack is decimated I'm read to move on. I thought we'd be safe at least till 2nd or 3rd week of the month, but such is life.

Looks like a few inches up here.

if you believe the RRFS, that band will be legit lol.

Uh oh.... P Sunny 6.6

Back to weather... started a thread for Tuesday/Wednesday

thats the 12z nam and whats wrong with this?

Models suggest 1-3" of snow, sleet, ZR before transitioning to all rain for south of the MA -VT/NH border

Not a surprise not a rug pull. Also consistent w WPC guidance.

It's imperialistic ... tough shit And anyone that says shit like 'above your paid grade' is trying to elicit toeing the line. Everyone alive has a moral imperative/responsibility to understanding the reality humanity creates, and act accordingly.

The winter of 2025-6 had only 18 of its 90 days with a WPO >0. That’s the lowest # of days since the very cold winter of 1962-3, which had only 11 (lowest number of any since 1948-9). 1956-7 had only 16. So, 2025-6 had the 3rd lowest. I think 1967-8 is in 4th with 21 of its 91 days >0: https://downloads.psl.noaa.gov/Public/map/teleconnections/wpo.reanalysis.t10trunc.1948-present.txt

Prepare for drought busting and shorts in December

Yeah, we should pin the 2026-27 el nino thread, and unpin the 2023-24 el nino.

Not much expectation east of the mountains for snow today. All the models seemed to be fizzling out at 6Z and so has the latest WB 12Z 3K NAM. Our typical rug pull at the last minute.

Long game being used. Way way above your pay grade. Put it this way China ain't invading Taiwan and they will be buying our oil. New sheriff in town. Finally took out the most evil people on earth. Rest in hell

Hopefully the snow melt and projected rain going forward tames brush fire season which starts soon. 3/15-5/15 is the annual burn ban in NY to help mitigate wildfire season….

Low of 21. Tomorrow morning’s commute could be dicey in some areas.