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  2. Happy New Year. You’re about to get raked and you’ve earned this for sure.
  3. It's actually funny looking at radar. Like a dome a dry air keeping anything from falling here. Radar showing 0 here when precipitation just about 5 miles west was looking good.
  4. Yeah it’s extraordinary how wrong it’ll be. Shut the blinds until mid month. The pattern regression now is quite impressive. Looks like a big warm up around 1/9-1/10 with a trough in the west. Never want to punt peak climo but it is what it is
  5. I’d expect anything post-1/8 to be pretty poorly modeled right now with the big PAC changes going on. Our biggest chance at a monster torch day or two would be just beyond that…maybe 1/10ish if we warm sector cleanly with no precip like a few OP runs showed. But we’ve also seen some CAD looks around then too. So we wait. Heights will be way above normal but we don’t know on sfc temps yet.
  6. Woo... I look down for one second and bam... near white out!
  7. What a God awful performance by the op EURO and EPS on that big west-based -NAO block for early-mid January. Epic failure. Good lord did they fuck that model up with the “update” years back. It’s sad
  8. Yeah, I guess after the 12th ...but the timing of all this isn't set either. it's just where the indicators look now... again again again, we need to get on the other side of the Pac change window
  9. Woke up to an emergency govt alert here. I'm dreaming of the nightmare of muting ALL government alerts risking it so I don't get awaken by every squall going forward.
  10. The result is a combination of climate change, the urban heat island effect, and the pattern.
  11. End of the 6z Gefs, if correct, looks workable as it may be a bit wetter with marginal temps.
  12. Look like 2-3” though I’ll measure soon .. 2.6” Bethel
  13. Vis got down to about 100 yards here at one point. Maybe even slightly lower. Must’ve been beyond insane just to the south in the better echoes
  14. Much as I like such things - this stunk for me. I've been working on installing windows in a sunroom - was halfway through installing one but hadn't secured it completely yet. Woke this morning to tons of shattered glass. Oh well. Lesson learned. I see it gusted up to 35 mph here.
  15. If it’s an inch in 20 min that’s different than an inch in 12hrs.
  16. Barely any flakes here in Cranston near 295. Seems anything coming this way is getting sucked up with a dry spung. Left just after midnight for home from Coventry. Radar looked good at the CT RI border. It completely fell apart by the time it made it here.
  17. Trying to get to 1/2 S, looks like my area will be just north of the main line.
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