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  2. BuffaloWeather
    People actually think this is going to be a good winter. What are y'all smoking. This is the strongest El Nino in history. Going to be an end to end torch. Shorts for Christmas, New years, and Valentines day.
  3. SI Mailman
    15/16 was the only winter forecast I ever nailed. I said warm winter with one big storm after MLK day. I said this on Veterans Day 2015.
  4. Chicago Storm
    i can confirm that this is not the case. only 1 measurable snowfall since 2020, and that occurred on halloween 2023 (0.9").
  5. TriPol
    Does anybody use Open Mateo? If so, what kind of experiences do they have?
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Here is my track record for the 15 cities that I do seasonal snowfall forecasts for....mid Atlantic killed me in a couple of seasons....13th will be next week.
  8. SACRUS
    Today's Highs: ACY: 76 JFK: 75 EWR: 74 New Brnswck: 74 PHL: 74 BLM: 74 TEB: 73 ISP: 73 TTN: 73 LGA: 70 NYC: 70
  9. michsnowfreak
    The summers haven't lengthened 2 months is my point. This October is very abnormal warmth wise, especially out your way. Im not sure what your exact averages are being 80 miles south of Chicago, but the Chicago area saw several October snowfalls in recent years. Naturally Michigan or Wisconsin are colder, but you cant consider a top 10 or 5 month "normal". November looks to start with well above avg temperatures, and it will be interesting to see how the back half of the month plays out, because November has the largest difference of any month from first to last day of the month, so the natural quick descent into winter November sees will be fighting the influence of a strong nino.
  10. forkyfork
    cold fronts should be illegal
  11. WinterWolf
    Thanksgiving is late again this year…that’s 4 weeks away…you won’t make it. As I said to you the other day…the later we get, the more dicey it becomes…you’ll frost/freeze at the drop of a hat at some point in the next 4weeks.
  12. powderfreak
    Phenomenal.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not as resigned to a bottom-dweller season as you are.
  14. Today
  15. CoastalWx
    Probably Thanksgiving 01. 01-02 was an awful winter.
  16. GaWx
    Whereas the progged drop in the 10 hPa 60N winds is quite impressive, the progged overall temp. rise of the 60-90N region at 10 hPa (~5-6C and only to ~-57C vs early Nov record of -43C and others in Jan/Feb rising 15-20C) is not because it is mainly on the Russian side with less on our side of the pole:
  17. LibertyBell
    Yes and a record breaking ice storm up north too. Any idea what it did in the Poconos Chris? I was on Long Island for that winter but I'm now at my other house in the Poconos at 1551 feet. I might need to get ready for ice storms up here. I hope not because I have electric heat. I have propane fireplaces too but I don't want to use them unless I really need to.
  18. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  19. klw
    I don't remember if it was Thanksgiving of 01 or 02 but I planted grass seed on the side of our house in RI. It grew and was thick by New Years. That next January there were cherry blossoms out in Providence.
  20. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

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  21. vortex95
    You seem surprised. Get used to it! Very strong El Nino - 'nuff said!
  22. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  23. jaxjagman
    More like the 97 Nino than anything,by far the Eastern Pac into the thernocline is nothing comparable right now,you wont find much of a analog and i still would not use 2015,nothing close.While these maps are still Dec,it shouldnt change unelss the MJO just sits the whole month of Nov into the IO,which would be rare in a strong Ninio
  24. Prismshine Productions
    Clocks fall back tomorrow btw, tonight will be the last 2am ECMWF (next one after will be at 1am Sunday November 1st)
  25. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  26. Golf757075
    Do you have any idea how things may eventually evolve with a record strong niño, -PDO, +QBO, and possible SSW, albeit very early in the game? I think its very interesting
  27. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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