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  2. I wasn't even expecting snow before noon. The fact that I have accumulation already.. could the cracked out models be on to something?
  3. Shushy accums underway, first 0.1". Heavy snow, 34
  4. Just got the text from the family that it’s all snow in our corner of Arlington. Hopefully we all flip fully soon.
  5. Was dumping in that band but it shifted west a bit
  6. Just went out and now it’s sleet/snow mix. Wild day
  7. Kinda pulsing here between maybe mod snow and a flizzard. Gonna need that mod snow consistently to get the grass to cave at these temps.
  8. Getting close to a legit 0.1" on the grass. 33.8 degrees.
  9. It’s been very light mix near Cap 1 for the past hour or so. Just want a good jebwalk.
  10. Sigh. Over by Navy Yard. Rain. I hate it here
  11. Accumulating nicely at Wintergreen, Va 3600 feet: https://www.wintergreenresort.com/mountain-report-cams/
  12. We win when we hedge the risk properly. The phenomenon you're describing is literally us discarding that tendency to hedge out the window, right as volatility ramps. Yeah, policy prescription has sucked to this point and the shilling about the "low cost of transition" has turned out to be damaging and wrong (if you have doubts, look at PPA prices and virtually every base metal in the past couple of years) It was always going to be costly (a significant % of GDP). The balking at the cost is understandable and the damage costs *to this point* have been mostly a "freebie" since it's a) mostly indirect, b) have not pushed us outside historical ranges except at/very near the equator, c) non-linear change tends to be slow at first, and d) tech/econ growth rate has been enough to offset. Problem is, if you wait until forward economic growth is meaningfully impacted, much slowing towards zero, then you are already too late. Hedging 20 years ago would've been much cheaper. Hedging now is fairly expensive. Hedging 20 years from now will be extraordinarily expensive. You hedge when it's cheap, not when you have to. But until we do hedge this risk properly and start really taking it seriously, the doomers will be right. You are literally short selling a temp graph that is accelerating up.
  13. Ripping here. Flatties Trees and mulch starting to cave
  14. Hey at least you and me are in this cold rain show together. Though I can hopefully jet out to the Afton overlook for the sunset after my lab.
  15. Just dropped to 33.9° where I am in Leesburg and snow is starting to stick in the grass. Fun event!
  16. radar looks like its filling in the east side
  17. Sleet mixing near Flemington NJ under heavier echoes.
  18. The potato hail to torrential rain to ice pellets to fatty mood flakes was a pretty cool 18 hour deal.
  19. Just can’t get into the heavy precip inside the Beltway. Need to wait for this to push east.
  20. dropped from 71 at 7 AM to just 42 now. it was 74 at midnight
  21. Md roads app. Nothing on the ground there. Apparently lighter snow up there. Can hardly even tell it’s snowing
  22. Really ripping here in Germantown. Non-paved surfaces are caving. 33.1°
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