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  1. Past hour
  2. Itstrainingtime
    70/64 with a light shower in progress. Humidity caught me off guard this afternoon.
  3. Layman
    Wasn't aware of this variant. Thought it had something to do with diet. Nice to have so many birds back this year. Last year was scant.
  4. snowman19
    Yes. The next WWB late month is modeled as being amplified by an Equatorial Rossby Wave (ERW), which would trigger another DWKW and another big subsurface and surface warming push into the EPAC. If so, we would see a bunch of TC’s develop like the models are starting to advertise, causing more westerlies behind them, in their wake
  5. Stormlover74
    Made it to 76. Mostly cloudy now
  6. kdxken
    I wonder why they don't get it?
  7. kdxken
    Can you add an intuitive threadex interface to your app please.
  8. GBOVolz
    The NAM on Wednesday afternoon is interesting…… .
  9. MN Transplant
    30-yr average at DCA is 10.65" for M-A-M. Lowest recently was 6.49" in 2023. 1986 is the modern times dud at 3.47". Most of the region is in the 4-7" range since March 1st, but DC to Annapolis and south are in worse shape. DCA is sitting at 3.72" and there are even spots in Calvert County and across the Bay that are ~2". There has not been a sub-6" Spring since 2006, so we are in rare territory if we don't get some substantial rain in the next 3 weeks.
  10. aldie 22
    Clouds look impressive to my west im sure the mountains will eat up most of the moisture
  11. Ginx snewx
  12. NorthHillsWx
    For NC piedmont and foothills it’s a matter of when not if we slip into exceptional drought. Long range looks dry and hot and obviously we missed most of the rain from last couple weeks.
  13. BooneWX
    Thursdays drought monitor will be interesting. I’d expect some marginal improvement along and south of I-85 but I’d say the foothills to the piedmont and southern VA are all about to be in an exceptional drought.
  14. Today
  15. jaxjagman
    These westerlies the models have been showing has been countered with strong easterlies,so they have failed to get much past the IDL,maybe its gonna be different this time,probably could be the strongest ERW east of the IDL yet in this event
  16. SnowenOutThere
    Thanks for the confirmation, I’m just spitballing in these threads after seeing the mesoanalysis page so it’s nice to hear I’m on the right track. Quick question but what is downdraft cape in relation to cape itself? Seems a bit like an oxymoron from the name itself.
  17. Typhoon Tip
    For the time being, and relative to date, the NH T mean has risen warmest comparing other curves in dataset for this product, https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/t2_daily/?dm_id=nh
  18. dendrite
    Multiple rumbles. Looks like we’re going to get 7-10’d.
  19. SACRUS
  20. NorthHillsWx
    Hot and dry. That’s how long range looks
  21. psv88
  22. jaxjagman
    Still seems kinda strange why you dont see the AAM and SOI synced up.Im not saying this wont be a strong NINO,even CPC today shows some pockets today of +8 down into the subsurface.The next WWB seems to be caused by a ERW into the eastern PAC,whicH we havent seen these strong WWB so far
  23. Chinook
  24. psv88
    Dew is 60 here
  25. Avdave
    Its par for the course hear near RDU. Everything like to miss this small area for some reason. I'm glad we got the rain, although .52 for the event but areas about 15 mins NW got over an inch. Sitting a paltry .55 MTD
  26. high risk
    You are correct that better moisture today would have contributed to a likely good event. That said, the deep dry boundary layer has a lot of downdraft cape, and there is definitely at least some potential for wind.
  27. uofmiami
    Muggy? DP low to mid 50s
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