All Activity

Over under of 40?

What? I live on Long Island, why would I want that

I can't believe we don't have model agreement. We're only 6 days out.

I wouldn't say that at all. You got two different camps with two different outcomes. Either you're going to worry if you're in Northern New England that it's south of them, or you're going to worry in Southern New England that your rained out. It could go either way. So in other words, if you're going to worry, very very premature at this point.

I think this is the bigger issue, we don't have the same cold press timing we had previously. Even on the amped runs its a lot more thread the needle cold. That said, its not worth throwing in the towel yet as I think some snow somewhere is likely unless it stays amped.

That's what we've seen this summer and fall. I'd run with it until proven wrong.

Worries for some, notbuying until we see some model consistency into this weekend.

I think it is great to have a system to track in December...it has been awhile....if I get an inch I will be happy. Any accumulation in December is bonus snow. The latest weeklies indicate Tuesday is not our only chance this month. (WB).

My gut feeling is a strong amped rainer is the least likely outcome. Weak slider without sufficient cold air for much snow on the north end probably most plausible IMO.

It’s south and less amped then other guidance but minimal cold to work with for 84 south

12z euro and gfs were good for dc area. 18z bumped it back north. Let’s see what 0z holds.

Euro being so flat is a bit of a red flag still. But there’s still so much time for this system.

Hopefully it’s another year of King Nothing.

Worries begin for all

We’re just not in a climatologically favorable time and the models did not go in a direction I wanted to see today. Even with deamp, they may just get weaker but not colder. If I end up wrong and it snows, I’ll eat my shoe.

I would take it.

What’s kinda silly seeing we are still 4+ days out and like said the pattern has been to deamp as we close in. I wouldn’t call anything till we at least get a few runs in a row with similar consistency.

So it tucked more but less amped?

I just mean the snowfall gradient.

Too funny with the back and forth. If anybody takes the runs happening today verbatim, then it's on you whether you believe we're getting a big snowstorm or we're getting a big rainstorm. By Saturday or Sunday I'll feel more confident on what we're getting.

The trend is not our friend. I’m calling it a wrap for 12/2.

Worst case scenario warm and weak

maybe in the middle white plains, and north snow south white rain?

Good

Not for me it's not