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jelly, looks like a quality cement defo

It’s barley east the aifs but it’s also not budging it’s pretty steady…. One of these models is gonna have an epic fail soon

Watches at 12z

i fixed it

Euro ai wasn’t a no

RGEM finally started caving. Herpes is pushing warning criteria too.

Dr nos at 6z

ahhh very true. Plus another 4/1/97 except lower elevations are nailed too.

At the upper levels, the 6z Euro continues to make big leaps towards a more consolidated trough like the GFS. I know the surface may not reflect these changes yet (outside of the IVT), but it's getting there. The difference between the GFS and Euro right now is the GFS tilts that trough neutral through the Ohio Valley and the Euro keeps it positive 6-12 hours longer.

Euro runs the southern pva out too far SE early on even though the N shortwave looks 10x better. GFS on an island is never a good place to be.

Will - appreciate you being our map guy. Favor....can you just post the current run and not these comparisons. Its confusing as hell at times.

I though this looked better than this

Nope I put them back on, keep on getting dressed and undressed to EURO / GFS

Still got about 6 weeks left to get this Mon storm, Mar 1993, Mar 1888, Apr 1997 and May 1977

Goofus has a potent little s/w dive in late to help give the system another bump north toward SNE. The euro doesn’t have much of a trailing s/w and it just scoots E-ENE.

lol I know. We all know what to actually believe

The GFS is an unusable model. Wow.

Nope Will have to hope for next season

Locking in?? At 4 days out?

Who wants to tell him?

Love the trend. Just a bit more NW please

HRRR looks good for EMA

Tick se

Clicking through the Ai, it’s awfully warm along 95 during the “snow”. Starts at 35-36 and drops to 33 during the best of it towards the end. I’d be cautious with that as well