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I love how you mock those on Social Media who dare to suggest that the ONI may not top 2.5, and then quote a dude suggesting that his incorrect interpretation of the RONI forecast could trigger "dystopian global climate change impacts over the next 1.5 years". 'Cmon, Adam...you're better than that.

Now do the 1000s of posts calling for a warm Nov-Feb for the NE. You probably don't have enough space on this site to post screenshots

72 / 66 clouds rain / showers just to the south. Cluds look to perist all day and pushing temps below forecast likely. Dry and cool and its still a matter of escaping clouds/ unsettled -ness from the strong cut off / ULL into the northeast first Saturday and then next Tuesday. Untill then cooler than normal and models would have you believe dry, but id be weary of at least Sat and next Tue for rain. Beyond then much warmer as ridge finally pushes east and a more sw flow, next shot at heat in the 6/4 - beyond period.

March and April were solidly above normal.

That takes up about 3 minutes of your life total, unless you own a clock/watch store, then you have a little work to do for a day between customers every few hours.

torrential on and off rain, thunder and lightning. it alternates between almost sunny to the street lights coming on—very dramatic weather this morning.

I'm kinda looking for a "new" type of spring and summer heat that's been papered. "heat excursions" at higher latitudes have become a coherent/reproducible aspect of CC. That period of time suspiciously looks like an opportunity for one of those ridge nodal resonant features. UK is experiencing one now. And just like them, this one was not very well modeled either. They may be more sussed out by telecon trends - the old institutional way to 'sense' or see storms or warmth or cold etc.. at extended leads, because ( my conjecture) is that they are emerging within regions where the non-linear wave function is supplying - hence the "invisible" - a constructive feedback. The UK heat of these recent days didn't really show up in the guidance until 120 hours out. That's awesome in 1988, but 2026 ... mm. It's anomaly distribution has been extreme, relative to date. Uuuusually bigger anomalous in the physics materialize early in the linearity of the guidance, and have a way of sticking around from a longer lead... Sandy showed up 13 days out. So did the 1993 so called super storm. There are other examples. These heat nodes at higher latitudes are an increasing global phenomenon, and the linear day-to-day logistics of events in the models are not seeing them like that. There was a whopper in Siberia either last year or the previous ... The Pacific NW, 2020... there's a huge list. They are proportional in SD to no heat-related bigs, but with historic heat... not storms, thus less well seen ahead of time. And have been surging in occurrence in the last 20 years. The fact that this heat over in the UK might have been been merely suggested, but then went kind of bonkers is a smoking gun attribution deal. The PNA dips to -1 for 3 or 4 days between June 6-ish and 10-like, while the EPO does a weird 3-day dive to -2 SD, all the while the NAO is positive. Every so often the operational runs do like that 18z yesterday... then of course fade. Seems like there's a region where the non-linear ( "tendencies" is the best way to describe that - I've called that correction vectoring in the past) forcing occurs in a domain from say IA-ME. It's unfortunately not a linear weather forecast, because it can't be. I'm probably over-explaining it. Simply put, we have to sense where these tendency fields are, and then watch for the models to avail.

This last week was pretty pitiful for rain down in Calvert. Today is another day of mist/drizzle that doesn't even get the ground under the trees wet. Might as well go back to sun and full drought instead of this stupid weather.

Currently at work in Frederick, yeah that was a nice big thunder.

Well was not expecting that. Large flash out my bedroom window and thunder. Was going to show but will wait.

I find that hard to believe. Outside our 4-5 days of heat in March April and May, this hasnt been a particularly warm or pleasant spring. Cool, cloudy, misty, windy are adjectives I would use

Only about half an inch of rain from the western mesonet sites. Good for soils and denting the drought.

Just had a brief heavy shower; looks like more to come!

Having married into a sub-Saharan genealogy that's about as close to living with heat as you really want to go, huh lol

Yes it's been pouring rain here.

Take.

Remarkable consistency in my observations lately, with three consecutive days of nearly exactly a third of an inch, then an even one-incher, followed by three consecutive tenth-of-an-inch type days. I understand this probably only interests me ha. carry on. 20-May Heavy Rain 0.34 21-May Rain 0.33 22-May Rain 0.33 23-May Rain 1.00 24-May Rain 0.11 25-May Rain 0.10 26-May Rain 0.10

Almost matched here

Stations in NJ will finish spring near first place for the most 90 days. Time Series Summary for HARRISON, NJ - Mar through May 90° Days Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2026 7 5 2 2018 6 0 3 2001 5 2 4 2021 4 0 - 2016 4 0 - 2010 4 10 - 2004 4 2 - 2002 4 3 5 2022 3 0 - 2017 3 0 - 2009 3 13 - 2006 3 1 - 2000 3 4 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Mar through May Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1991 8 0 2 2026 6 5 - 1986 6 0 3 2002 5 0 - 1959 5 0 - 1896 5 0 4 2022 4 0 - 2021 4 0 - 2018 4 0 - 2000 4 0 - 1987 4 0 - 1977 4 0 - 1965 4 0 - 1939 4 0 Time Series Summary for NEW BRUNSWICK 3 SE, NJ - Mar through May Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2026 6 5 2 2016 4 0 - 2010 4 0 - 1976 4 0 3 2021 3 0 - 2017 3 0 - 2012 3 0 - 2009 3 0 - 2002 3 0 - 2001 3 1 - 2000 3 0 Time Series Summary for SOMERSET AIRPORT, NJ - Mar through May Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2026 5 5 2 2021 4 1 3 2022 3 0 - 2017 3 0 - 2012 3 0 - 2009 3 0 - 2002 3 0 - 2000 3 2 Time Series Summary for SUSSEX AIRPORT, NJ - Mar through May Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2026 3 6 - 2022 3 4 2 2023 2 0 - 2018 2 0 - 2013 2 5 - 2009 2 1 - 2002 2 0

That cluster of showers and storms in western MD and WV looks decent…

EPS breaks down the omega block and opens the gulf back up, so that’s possible.

63 degrees for the low. Cloudy, not sure if we got rain showers coming.

Broiling in Minneapolis under the Omega. Send rain please

Watch the rain come back the week after that.