All Activity
- Past hour
-
-
Wasn't expecting this extended dry period this morning, I'm taking advantage and doing some outdoor stuff until the next batch comes in.
-
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, I know what you mean. 1957 and 1965 were very good here, but they were kind of borderline strong versus super. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
ChescoWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Happy Memorial Day Weekend! Unfortunately weather wise it will be wet and almost record cold especially tomorrow afternoon. Most models now keep temperatures below 50 degrees tomorrow afternoon - this would break the Chester County record for low maximum temperatures for the date set back in 1982. There is a chance it could be the coldest late season high temperature on record. With gusty winds it will feel a lot more like early March than Memorial Day Weekend. Rain-wise models show between an inch to as much as 3.5" of much needed rain! -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
To clarify...I meant 1982-83 was the absolute shittiest winter of the bunch here. I grew up with my winter-hating dad saying he remembers how "great" that winter was. My mom (who loves winter) was pregnant with me and said she remembers feeling sick at Christmas Eve midnight mass because it was warm in her coat. It was pretty much on its way to being the least snowy winter on record, with only 9" falling thru March 19, but then two spring snowstorms (Mar 21 & Apr 17) added 11" so the winter finished at 20". No winter since has seen that little snowfall. Also, it still stands as the least snowy astrononomical winter on record with only 5.8" falling Dec 21-Mar 19. 1957-58 and 1965-66 at least had some cold, white stretches but were also absolutely atrocious snow years. In fact, both finished UNDER 20" of snowfall. I only give them the nod above 1982-83 since they had some cold & white stretches in winter. With the abysmal snowfall, as you would imagine, the snowdepth was only 2-3" during these wintry stretches 1997-98 and 2023-24 sucked overall, but were better than 1957-58, 1965-66, and 1982-83. 1972-73, 1987-88, 1991-92, 2015-16 all had some fun winter stretches and while none of them were great winters Id take any of them in a heartbeat over the others. -
E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Happy Memorial Day Weekend! Unfortunately weather wise it will be wet and almost record cold especially tomorrow afternoon. Most models now keep temperatures below 50 degrees tomorrow afternoon - this would break the Chester County record for low maximum temperatures for the date set back in 1982. There is a chance it could be the coldest late season high temperature on record. With gusty winds it will feel a lot more like early March than Memorial Day Weekend. Rain-wise models show between an inch to as much as 3.5" of much needed rain! -
.35 now total since Wednesday. I was really hoping for 3 to 4 inches from this stretch.
-
Finally soakers have arrived here. A little over an inch since midnight.
- 243 replies
-
- severe
- mountain snow
-
(and 1 more)
Tagged with:
-
I don't buy it.
-
Shocking
-
So far today .43" 1.47 mtd
-
Nonstop light rain since last night Vienna/Fairfax. Feels similar to Memorial Day weekend 1996, which was in the fifties and raining the whole time.
-
We finally got a little something overnight but we definitely need a lot more.
-
And obviously cooler on The Block but still plenty of nice beach days
- Today
-
NAM twins showing a fairly significant shift nw w the precip max thru tomorrow.
-
-
@donsutherland1 or @bluewave Do either of you have any idea when the last time a monthly record low was tied or broken at any of our local climo sites?
-
Agree 100%. The picture you posted yesterday was just beautiful! I zoomed in and thought I was able to see just a little snow left up on some of the trails on the mountain in the background.
-
Sorry friend. Rain yesterday def hugged the MD/PA line for a few hours. I just got lucky I guess
-
0.5” yesterday, 0.3” so far today. Steady rain this morning.
-
39 to 60... Funny, it was 38 here this am when I crept down the stair. The house chillier down here, apparently having finally forgotten the warmth the other day. Typically it takes 30 or so hourse for the 'thermal edifice memory' I debated flipping the compressor to heat mode. It was just 59. I don't think it's improved much. Something about May-22nd pisses me off enough to stubbornly prevent myself. SO... ah, 61 ..I may as well just open the windows now and let the warm air in. Winning
-
Everyday is sunny and 75-82 next week. Probably 84-85 Tuesday/ Wednesday
-
All I can say is "About damn time!" https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2026/05/07/2026-09099/request-for-comments-on-the-national-weather-service-cooperative-observing-program-coop
-
I agree, but trying to be a bit optimistic But anytime you see an omega-block like look...always prepare for crap
-
Subjective reply here but ...I'd even go worse than 'mehhh' I'd say there's a decent chance that's a piece of shit down right frustration that pushes one's patients closer to pulling the trigger on a relo These protracted continental folding patterns that cause the Maritime to try and fist it's way back SW all the way to Florida thing that's been (apparently) a paradoxical /counter-intuitive consequence of CC ...are getting unbearable. As an aside, I had a feeling we would have a problem with this, this particular latter spring this year...because of the way the persistent upstream seasonal pattern behavior was. Since last October, really... I showed the evidence of this every month during the cold season, Nov-Apr... despite those 3 or 4 months having averaged ( Globally ) in contention for 3rd warmest since Humanity became a geological force in Earth's history ( eh hm), the NE CONUS/SE Canada were persistently showing relative offset cooler than everywhere else. This was true whether we were technically above average those months, or not. It's like always coming in last? I still see vestigial markers for that still going on, tho harder to see it. It's some kind of fractal in the hemisphere that hasn't broken completely down... and having these back ward carving Maritime troughs like the current Euro and GFS are doing is some kind of "non-Markovian" bias playing out.
