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I can see why the snow is having trouble finding its way north. My DP at 7 AM was 21. Now, it's a whopping 2. Talk about a beat down.

Yes looks like it's snowing pretty good by you on the peninsula. Nothing's going to stick till after 3:00 or 4:00 p.m. The cold dry dome is taking its time moving south. DPs tanked up north. Im watching the progression on the Va Eastern Shore as enough has already leaked into Northern Norfolk and Virginia Beach where it's been snowing a little bit.

Below is the latest GFS model which paints an almost ideal view of what a classic White Christmas would look like. Below is the total snow between this weekend and Christmas Eve morning at 7am. That model has a morning temperature of 18 degrees with between 10" to 14" of model snow we will never have to shovel.

Totally un-scientific but this year, with the amount of cold built up in Canada (SE especially), is just totally different than years past. I remember we would get good tracks with Highs in the right spots but it would be 31 degrees in Toronto and would do us no good. I'd be willing to go out on a limb and say we get a region wide "good" one this year.

But gotta remember that Lucy will always pull back the football...

Mountains above 3k will get an inch or 2 out of it

MERRY CHRISTMAS CHARLIE BROWN!

2.7"

Shame to be on the warm side of the low. Hopefully it continues to trend further south as we get closer. Definitely more chances for snow as we get into the weekend.

2 fantasy gfs runs in a row dropping the blocking hammer after a brief zonal relax. Fits the personality of the last 6 weeks and makes sense to me. Might be too quick or a total fantasy but my gut says some version of this is coming back before 2026

12z Euro AI closes the DC to NYC snow hole before Christmas, and ensures many of us are at 100% of December snowfall climo. Yes please.

Apparently, snow is sticking in Greensboro now https://x.com/timbuckleywx/status/1998080906939265052?s=46&t=5ny5bPgiX5Vy3bQMvYTY5g

Icon has it Saturday

Another positive signal Euro AI onboard- the Phase 8 MJO is now close to or into the COD so its weak not sure where it will be on the 15th - it is moving fast

Given the raging PAC jet, would bet against this outcome

Closing in on 3” snow has picked back up in intensity here. Coming down at a strong moderate pace.

Looking like only advisory level here in MI.

AI Euro is nice

Per CC rain snow line in wake is making quick progress to SE

roads caving in C Chesterfield. Still sitting at 32. Grassy areas and cars are completely covered.

2.3 inches here i Forest as of 12om

Closing in on 3” snow has picked back up in intensity here. Coming down at a strong moderate pace.

AI euro also shows a few inches. Hopefully the phase 8 mjo will start working in our favor .

lol back to just rain

AI is kinda dumb... 44.6" in 23-24 and 47.7" in 24-25???