Jump to content

All Activity

This stream auto-updates

  1. Past hour
  2. I'm using the World Climate website. It's been mentioned by Gawx many times it's lower than the site you posted. Either site is fine if you're using it for relative changes compared to historical values, which is is all I'm doing.
  3. My coldest so far was 28.0 on 11/7. So far this morning, at 3:30am, it's 28.2
  4. Today
  5. Nice -NAO pattern Nov 7-23.. through hr384 on the 00z GFS ensemble mean. That's what you want to see as a wintery pattern, constant sustained High pressure west of Greenland and over the Davis Strait through the entire model run. That's a good sign for Winter, and does correlate at about 55% to -AO the rest of the Winter. We aren't super cold in the east because of a N. Pacific High pressure in that time... but since the 23-24 Strong Nino, since June 2023, the PNA has been positive 21/29 months (CPC)! It's been hard for -PNA's to sustain..
  6. Going to miss out on the snow events this winter as I've moved to Texas now
  7. Will be interesting to see where the period 2021-2025 falls on the 5-year cumulative snow futility list. Currently, this is the second least snowy 5-year period on record, behind the 5-year period ending 12/31/2024 (2020-2024). BOS would need 16.1" of snow by the end of December to move out 2nd place for 5-year futility. On the plus, maybe we've turned the corner since 2021-2025 is guaranteed to be snowier than 2020-2024 even if no additional snow falls before the EOY.
  8. Unfortunately, that's what you would expect to see from a higher-end Category 5. The footage is still insane, however. Thanks for sharing. RE: Deaths, I would be shocked if the toll remains below 100. There is just too far wide an area of immense devestation, especially through the interior of the island, and it takes time to search with cadaver dogs through all scattered piles of debris.
  9. LOL, forecast low from NWS for my location is 32, currently 30.8/21.9 at midnight.
  10. I blocked his arse early last year. He's a trouble maker.. he likes antagonize just to get a rise out of people.
  11. Just a shameless plug, may need it, if anyones hiring or knows somewhere that is, I’d take the lead. BS Criminal Justice. Trying to prepare myself, reading the tea leaves
  12. lol, I mean, I feel like I’m not saying anything particularly controversial. From an averages standpoint the last 7-8 years here have been objectively terrible. Sure, you sprinkle in a few good events, but even those were washed away shortly after. I feel like the argument has kind of shifted to “ well Jan 22 was awesome! And December 19 had some snow!”, like sure, we’ve had a good event every couple of years. If I wanted climo like that I’d just move to Norfolk VA
  13. 17 was close, but last year, I don’t remember anything last year? point still stands, close or not, last white Christmas here 2010.
  14. First widespread hard killing freeze looks to be hitting the area this weekend. Some could even see their first teens for lows come Monday morning.
  15. RIC_WX

    Winter 2025-26

    Bold prediction for DC-Balt corridor. Points west, a little more reason to be bullish but the pattern has to establish itself on time and not end altogether after a good 3 or 4 week run. Relax, and reload. Hopefully we all get in on some fun this year.
  16. It’s important to note that the snow depth at the long term stake is higher on this date than 67 of 70 years. Only three November 6’s have had more snow on the ground at that location in the past 70 years.
  17. If you move up to 850mb the CanSIPS and CFS aren't that different considering what you would expect from a long range forecast. Canada looks cold from December through March, and 500mb heights in Western NA are above normal, which is about the best you can hope for these days.
  18. down to 36 at 10 pm, feels like I-95 gets first freeze tonight
  19. 1962-63 is one of the legendary winters ever here and many other places. It featured a QBO falling deeply negative from fall into winter. Was a weakish La Nina. It had an SSW event. The PDO was negative. The PDO is currently negative. October 1962 was warm, but finally got cold around October 19th. This year was warm, and it finally got cold here and frosted on October 20th. A strong cold front passed in early November and brought light snow to the region, there was even a dusting in lower elevations. After that cold front and snow event, the temp warmed and the warmest temperatures of the month were mid month and late month, as temperatures yo-yo'd a bit. The first few days of December were very warm, then the bottom fell out and December ended -7. The 60s were extreme, but since 2013/14 we've gotten closer to it's weather patterns. Just in a somewhat warmer world. We went years without extreme cold after 1996 and into the early 2010s (nothing sub zero). Since then we've seen sub zero cold invade multiple times and it's back to happening at least 2 to 3 of every 5 or so years. Weather is never exactly the same but large scale patterns will always come back. Like we will eventually get another blizzard or very anomalous snowfall event. A widespread 14-20+ inch type event. The gulf, Texas and deep south have had such events in this enhanced winter pattern we've been in since 2013/14 brought back the subzero weather that had disappeared.
  20. Ya, It sucks. It always shows warm…no matter what. Throw it in the trash.
  1. Load more activity
×
×
  • Create New...