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  2. Think NWS is running behind for ya’ll there again - I’d feel pretty good about 1-2” as a forecast right now. Snow on snow on snow in the first two weeks of December?
  3. More like 2-3” out this way. Great run for Augusta County!
  4. Snowing decently here but not sticking to anything. Didn’t really lose much today of my “pack”
  5. Probably late to the news but didn't know Polar Wx added new AI-GFS; GraphCast - GFS model, and the NOAA version goes operational Dec. 17th... Its 18z run looks similar to Euro products for Sunday... Link below... https://t.co/ckQkMydRHT
  6. ORD picked up 0.1" of snow from the weak duster clipper on Monday night and then another 0.1" of snow this morning with the back-wash from most recent hybrid-clipper the past two days. Picked up 0.1" of snow at home with each as well.…2025/26 Season Snowfall...18.0" - RFD17.3" - ORD16.4" - Home
  7. 0z HRRR is pretty nice for NOVA and south. Widespread inch.
  8. Snow is falling here currently. Very light. MRX did just put out an SPS that isolated 1 to 2 inch totals are possible. Currently 36 degrees. I was in Knoxville all evening so no idea what may have happened while I was gone. Except strong winds have blown some stuff around.
  9. Two day new snow here is 7-8" and its a winter wonderland out there. Never got out of the mid-20's and flakes were more like tiny LES again. Nothing says winter like a solid snow on top of a decent snowpack.
  10. 0z hrrr not backing down. It's either out to lunch or going to pull a big win being the model that was right
  11. The window is pretty closed for anything more than we have seen already. I think best case scenario is a broader precip shield with like .3-.4 qpf but the flow is so fast there is little margin for error and any step back in the orientation of that PV lobe (ie ICON) and we could be left with nothing.
  12. Looks good in the county, I'm going to be up there 2/2-2/6.
  13. Back to the 12/12 storm thread- Looks like about an inch out my way according to latest guidance.
  14. 5-9” on its way in the northern part of the county. Nice early season gains…hoping we can hold them.
  15. 27.4 this morning, 58.2 this afternoon. Nice day
  16. I love snow but I try to be objective. Last Winter is a pretty good analog for this one imo. But if we are colder in Jan/Feb, there is always a chance that we can do a bigger storm, but the STJ is just completely dead so far this Winter. Acting like a Moderate Nina right now. I also notice that you were leaning cold in the Fall after leaning warm the last few Winters.. not bad so far!
  17. Is there any real possibility we manage to get that or is the window closing by 12z tomorrow to get an actual low pressure induced storm instead of our current reliance on favorable dynamics.
  18. Pleasant 58F at 2:22pm today.
  19. That would be true deep winter stuff in December if it verifies.
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