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  2. michsnowfreak
    Its going to be a COMPLETELY different winter than the last few. Last winter was deep winter. It ended on the AWSI index as severe bordering extreme due to the cold and snowcover. Winter is more than the final snow number. The sustained cold is the reason we didnt get more snowfall. This coming winter it goes without saying will be milder and with less snowcover. However despite the possibly record strong Nino, there are numerous signs that it will be colder than some of the other big strong Ninos (not going to get into a long discussion, thats in the main forum enso thread). Plus in milder winters, often there are some good dynamic wet snowstorms. In addition, strong/super Ninos are much wetter than the traditional "dry" look of El Nino. More than likely it will come down to precip. Every winter we hear futility talk but a sub-20" winter hasnt happened since 1968-69. There have been 10 sub-20" winters in 152 years. Anythings possible but the bottom 6% is a big call. It would be like having confidence in a 65"+ winter. Still too far out tho, other than thoughts. Hoping for a nice, colorful Fall.
  3. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  4. GaWx
    Folks believe Maue’s purposefully trying to sound overly dramatic to make fun of the doomsayers on social media.
  5. MJO812
  6. MJO812
    More screenshots
  7. MJO812
    Farmers Almanac is out https://www.farmersalmanac.com/farmers-almanac-2026-2027-winter-weather-forecast?fbclid=IwdGRjcAThvfpjbGNrBOG993Bkb2YFZXh0bgNhZW0CMTEAc3J0YwZhcHBfaWQMMzUwNjg1NTMxNzI4AAEe6Q6eQZ92kDTC3QkLhdnoGnQMMx9OQIAhNlz7ZiVzJdXYOAO43PMNEU5G158_aem_EFovHai4sN_eBYr16qi4hQ
  8. Stormchaserchuck1
    ^Finally starting to get some N. Hemispheric response to El Nino
  9. SACRUS
    What a difference a week makes when we had Dewpoints in the upepr 40s and low 509s
  10. WxUSAF
    Southeast HoCo bullseye on the 18z hrrr
  11. sbnwx85
    Maybe like a "bad winter' in the South. A couple big snows of 3-4" and it melts under 70 degrees and sun the next day.
  12. winterwarlock
    91/81/108
  13. Snowedin
    Just like that, downpour! We Orlando now..
  14. jaxjagman

    ENSO

    jaxjagman replied to jaxjagman's topic in Tennessee Valley

    Latest NMME into winter
  15. SACRUS
    EWR/ LGA hit 91 / 90 today so far
  16. midatlanticweather
    Severe Thunderstorm Warning NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC 246 PM EDT Thu Aug 6 2026 The NWS in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... West central Montgomery County in central Maryland... East central Loudoun County in northern Virginia... North central Fairfax County in northern Virginia... * Until 330 PM EDT. * At 246 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Oatlands, or near Broadlands, moving northeast at 15 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Reston, Leesburg, Broadlands, Lansdowne, Lowes Island, Brambleton, Poolesville, Ashburn, Sterling, Great Falls, Countryside, Belmont, Gleedsville, Beallsville, and Sterling Park. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. TIME...MOT...LOC 1846Z 241DEG 13KT 3904 7757 KJP WIND...60 MPH - Radar indicated HAIL...<0.75" - Radar indicated
  17. Stormchaserchuck1
    One of the more healthy subsurface's you will ever see. The 30c mark extends down -100m! That's 86F.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Leesburg Airport (JYO) just gusted to 51 mph.
  19. dendrite
    87.2/65
  20. Stormchaserchuck1
    We are beating the previous high for this date by +20%!
  21. BlizzardNole
    Mostly sunny, 90/77 and no wind. Ooof
  22. BBasile
    Alright. Enough already.
  23. WxUnit
    Csu wind probabilities are fairly high tomorrow. SPC only has a smaller marginal risk though, maybe it gets expanded and/or upgraded.
  24. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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