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Chester County PA - Analytical Battle of Actual vs. Altered Climate Data
Cobalt replied to ChescoWx's topic in Climate Change
Do we have equal right to open up a thread for each of the other 3142 counties in the US? -
Confusion can be an illusion. I usually trust perfusion. Bad timing on shitty weekends but that’s the way the proverbial cookie crumbles. Some here rush the seasons. This is the 5th year I’m teaching my course and the first few classes always have cooler temperatures than one envisions. This year the same.
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74.5/41.5 with wall to wall sunshine (like everyone else). Trees are probably 80-90% leafed out now and with 7.14" of rain this month, everything is a brilliant green.
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51 this morning, 88 this afternoon. Wish we could keep these low 50 degree dews.
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The Burlington to Wilson Sahara: https://x.com/nwsraleigh/status/2060427868295885014?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g
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Hrrr says attn @ineedsnow
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Violent winds.
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Birch bender for some?
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Can’t beat cool crisp 50s at night followed by a nice dry 80ish during the day. locally we hit 48 earlier and then got up to 84 today. Lovely range.
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Been the same here the past couple of days. Lots of lightning yesterday evening, storms all around...and .01".
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Summer 2026 Med/Long Range Discussion
BeastFromTheEast replied to Brian D's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
June 1922 is the driest June in the books for Chicago with .12 “ I hope we don’t break that record. -
Anomalous Late Spring storm May 30 2026
Chrisrotary12 replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
HRRR is waking up tomorrow and choosing violence. -
Congrats on the new house my friend!
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Just curious- what do the 30 commas represent? Wouldn't a simple full stop suffice?
- 52 replies
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- let the flood gates open
- oh thats where the moisture is
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- Today
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Looks on target to me
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Anomalous Late Spring storm May 30 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
Looks like it’s somewhat east of guidance -
More rainfall on the way.
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Anomalous Late Spring storm May 30 2026
Chrisrotary12 replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
This is a fascinating little critter. -
Line of carnage heading into VT. Will hang here tonight and await Phil here tomorrow morning. Hopefully head north with trees toppling on 93.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Last year March - October was all +AO monthly, 8/8 months. It looks like this March - June will be starting off +AO, 4/4 months. Edit: It looks like a east-based Nino/-PDO Winter composite, when rolled forward. I always like 2nd points to the same probability. -
Tomorrow will be unseasonably cool with highs only in the middle and perhaps upper 60s. Temperatures will return to the middle 70s on Sunday. The first week of June could also see temperatures average somewhat below normal to near noraml. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.0°C for the week centered around May 20. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.72°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.83°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -33.46 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.130 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 52% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 63.3° (0.1° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.9° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
New York Post posted an article about Mt. Rainier possibly erupting: https://nypost.com/2026/05/29/science/most-dangerous-us-volcano-mt-rainier-could-devastate-60000-residents/ This is probably the only thing that can prevent another temperature jump from this upcoming el nino. Remember that Pinatubo erupted in mid-June 1991, ahead of a robust el nino.
