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It’s also a challenge when you aren’t speaking with someone in person. Many not written cues can get lost on these forums. I am sure if we all met in person things would be different. Also goes to how many interactions these days occur online vs in person prior to social media and the internet. So we don’t have the benefit of nonverbal cues which are common in actual life. Even with all of issues that pop up from time to on these forums, the benefits outweigh any negatives. Weather models and statistics used to be very limited before the age of the internet. I can remember the old Alden Difax machines that was the only way to get weather models. Plus there were no freely available databases containing past reanalysis products with 500 mb patterns and temperatures for any given month or period.

Lows in the 40's with some 50's this morning. Cool, but we are heading into early Fall. In a couple weeks, the threat of widespread frost looms.

It's tough, but you just have to keep pushing them. AI and social media sites have made finding a job extremely difficulty when first starting out. In most cases, you have to know someone to get even an interview.

Models really backed off this one too.

Sacrificial wave it seems.

Dumb question, but radial velocity?

I will laugh myself silly if Drew Allar keeps doing what he did last night. I hope he quiets all the naysayers. I've been a huge fan since day 1. PSU screwed him royally.

Vigorous but respectful discussion/debate about the relevant subject makes for the best threads. Echo chambers are boring. It’s beneficial to respectfully debate alternative viewpoints. Intense debates relying on factual evidence, critical thinking, and sound reasoning instead of emotional appeals or personal attacks are the most desirable. Also, being open-minded to change one’s views is beneficial to these threads. Posters displaying intellectual humility, reading others’ posts thoroughly, and being willing to update their views when presented with better evidence is desirable for quality threads. @bluewave Edit: Many of the worst threads at this BB were in the Politics forum because little of the above was the case in most threads. Hardly anyone was open minded about anything and personal attacks were common. Trolling was common. It was absolutely awful due to hardly any intelligent debate. Fortunately, this thread is far better!

My social media feed seems to be littered with gender war crap, including people celebrating walking out on their spouse just because they weren't totally happy. It's not men or women, it's both... women proudly posting about how they left just because they felt bored or something "just wasn't right" and men bragging they left because their wife wasn't... well use your imagination here. WTF is going on? Forget the battle of the sexes crap, when did marriage vows become a total joke? I mean... there are legit reasons to leave a marriage. Abuse. And I include emotional abuse not just physical. But I don't ever remember the "until I get bored or you're not putting out enough" clause in the "until death do us part" portion of the wedding! Did I miss some major announcement where marriage vows were just a suggestion and no longer an actual commitment?

Warm and muggy vs cool and dry. I’ll take the cool temps but would have loved to have seen some of that rain and storms even tho Marquette county isn’t too terribly dry but other spots are. Looking forward to a wild autumn and winter, warm or cold.

It's possible, but the history on super Nino's would imply the last likely outcome is that "in between" scenario. The key is going to be the exact location of two features. The North Pac low and the AO/NAO high/block. These two features showed up in almost all the analogs. But there is a balancing act on how they play off each other. The further east the Pac low is the worse it is for us. The further southwest the NAO/AO high is...for instance if it ends up centered over Quebec instead of truly in the NAO domain...the worse.. about half the super nino's that combo ended up toxic...the PAC low too far east blasting pac puke across the whole continent all winter...and the AO/NAO high too far southwest so that it didn't help block down even domestic cold from canada but instead just "blocked" the pac puke over the lower 48 all winter...and in those winters it was simply mild and wet all winter. The more favorable winters, that combo was more favorable, enough so that we were able to get some windows and cash in on one or two of the STJ waves for a huge snowstorm. There weren't many examples of in between. 2024 maybe but that was a really odd winter where a strong nino never acted like it and I don't expect that to happen again give the combo of how strong this is and the PDO seeming to be coming off the peak of its cycle.

Someone could make $ them making this available for a fee. I’d use it. But then again I’m weird so maybe there isn’t much demand.

As summer concludes, additional charts illustrating the impact of Central Park's trees on its summer maximum temperature trend vs. select regional sites. Maximum temperatures are most impacted (consistent with the impact trees have on limiting the daily maximum temperature). Moreover, the difference between regional trends and Central Park is outside a 95% confidence interval for daily maximum temperatures during the 1995-2025 period. Maximum Temperatures: Minimum Temperatures:

Makes sense. After almost any winter rainstorm there's a lake snow response.

CSU MLP has a decent area of 5+% TOR for Sunday.

I don’t take any of this personally. It’s more comical than anything else. The squabbles in these threads are more like Napoleon Vs Uncle Rico than anything really serious.

As an example of why breakpoint detection is absolutely essential, and where there are no alternatives besides something like a pictorial history of the station, Coatesville is a winner. From 1946 on to 1982, Coatesville station was at the Newlinville electric substation. The electric substation is constructed about 1927 to supply the steel works in town, and takes high voltage transmission line power and steps it down. BIG transformers are involved. The Newlinville electrical substation was frequently redesigned to meet the needs of the steel works. Transformer technology improves over time, with less waste heat. A cooling pool is installed at one point to take transformer heat during high loads, and is removed after 2005. So, we have a station with massive heat sources, that are moving as the station expands, and we need to detect changes in the station environment. This obviates all the musings about what caused a precise shift at time X and magnitude Y--this microsite is literally a thermal zoo. Automated breakpoint detection is the only way to salvage this data. Attached is a figure showing estimated power increases over time, developed from historical uses. These increases would have forced numerous changes over time at the substation. And consider, if a new transformer/switchgear is being installed, it would occur at a new pad on the site, while the old transformer/switchgear remains in operation. On change over, the newer transformer/heat source has moved abruptly, and the old transformer idled and eventually removed. Breakpoint. And the new heat source is very likely southwest from the earlier heat source, and very likely further away from the weather station. Attached also is a random thermal image of a substation.

The relatively good news continues as regards the Arctic sea ice area:

Cracy considering we were 72 for a low last night here at KDTW.

Sorry to hear that. I have a colleague whose son just graduated with an engineering degree from a good school and can’t even get an interview.

The Maine Public Lands "peer review" field trip was Tues/Wed in the woods south from MLT, and we saw very few mosquitos, black flies, almost no deer flies (thankfully). Had 0.22" from a 'probable' TS yesterday about 3 PM. We were meeting family in Hallowell at the time, but when we got home about 4 we noted that our thunderphobic Lab mix had been hiding in the bathroom.

1972-73 and 2022-23 were just a couple inches depending on the site.