Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2011 Author Share Posted January 21, 2011 It usually does but this year it had been generally progressive and I think the -NAO had some factor to that combined with the La Nina...the last event though for the first time all year when we had a +NAO the GEM showed its bias and it may showing it again...its been correct before with these, most notably the 2/25 storm last year when it showed a 970mb low over Rhode Island at Day 9. UGH UGH UGH, nightmares abound Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 this year theyve been all east usually, or else i would have noticed. i was surprised to see it so far inland track off the coast south of new england and towards nova scotia, ho hum just another day lock it up you need to check the minor league hockey thread...got a video for you. Off t the Whale game but looking forward to the 0z models...this should def. be big for anyone who can stay all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 HPC maps have a track similar to the 12z Euro. Day 5 SLP(996) down in the Chesapeake Bay area, Day 6 SLP(988) out in the Gulf of ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2011 Author Share Posted January 21, 2011 The Euro actually looks better than I thought, good job Scooter. Also nice ageo feed from a building ridge in the GL, silly talking about it now but hey why not. Again though holy winds inflow from a volatile Gulf Stream due to antecedant cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 It usually does but this year it had been generally progressive and I think the -NAO had some factor to that combined with the La Nina...the last event though for the first time all year when we had a +NAO the GEM showed its bias and it may showing it again...its been correct before with these, most notably the 2/25 storm last year when it showed a 970mb low over Rhode Island at Day 9. Got it thanks. I'm going to try to post all models in one post each run for the next several days so we have a record. Will probably wait until mid afternoon and mid morning for each run so we have them all, JMA included. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 The Euro actually looks better than I thought, good job Scooter. Also nice ageo feed from a building ridge in the GL, silly talking about it now but hey why not. Again though holy winds inflow from a volatile Gulf Stream due to antecedant cold. the euro looks absoultely fantastic for you guys, for this range correcting for seasonal trend, its nudged a SE a bit and its a NYC-BOS blizzard the nao is rebuilding and its getting successively stronger on most model runs since yesterday, this is a definite trend i have noted, but because its not overly strong, its perfect....no excessive height amplification on the east coast bingo bango blizzard the right turn is the hint that the storm track has not changed at all! it snows where it wants to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 i wonder WTF the record around here for snow pack is? (not that i think i'm at it) but that it's within reach should something transpire wednesday. i think i got 22' right about now. 14.5 solid 7-8 pow. prolly 35 or so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 the euro looks absoultely fantastic for you guys, for this range correcting for seasonal trend, its nudged a SE a bit and its a NYC-BOS blizzard the nao is rebuilding and its getting successively stronger on most model runs since yesterday, this is a definite trend i have noted, but because its not overly strong, its perfect....no excessive height amplification on the east coast bingo bango blizzard the right turn is the hint that the storm track has not changed at all! it snows where it wants to snow Good point! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 It has occurred to me that this is a 2000-01 winter suppressed 30 miles SE. That's why the Boston area is cashing in so much better and why SE MA while above normal is struggling more. Just a thought.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2011 Author Share Posted January 21, 2011 It has occurred to me that this is a 2000-01 winter suppressed 30 miles SE. That's why the Boston area is cashing in so much better and why SE MA while above normal is struggling more. Just a thought.... SW CT would disagree wholeheartedly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 It has occurred to me that this is a 2000-01 winter suppressed 30 miles SE. That's why the Boston area is cashing in so much better and why SE MA while above normal is struggling more. Just a thought.... I was thinking the same thing yesterday, but more like 50 miles se, or 2004-05 amplified by 50 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I just can't fathom next week working out to a huge net gain because if it does, this is going to trump any snow depth that I have ever witnessed and WILL rival the deepest this area has ever attainted....FEB 1969. I expect either a brush, or much more likely heavy precip type issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2011 Author Share Posted January 21, 2011 I was thinking the same thing yesterday, but more like 50 miles se, or 2004-05 amplified by 50 miles. Congrats on 50! La Epic, say it with me now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I like the GFS for now. Keep it that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Congrats on 50! La Epic, say it with me now I was gonna go with 8" because that is what I had when I left for work, but it snowed for an hour or two longer and the PNS had 8.7", so I ammended to 8.5".....WTH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I like the GFS for now. Keep it that way. It is, Way east......lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I like the GFS for now. Keep it that way. Yeah, it's a blah solution verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Yeah, it's a blah solution verbatim. It's an outlier, but not a bad thing to see as we get closer to the event. It did seem like things were a little more suppressed to our north on the 12z euro, as compared to 00z..perhaps why it didn't cut into sne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2011 Author Share Posted January 21, 2011 Yeah, it's a blah solution verbatim. totally in tune with its pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I was gonna go with 8" because that is what I had when I left for work, but it snowed for an hour or two longer and the PNS had 8.7", so I ammended to 8.5".....WTH. Lol....8.5? Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2011 Author Share Posted January 21, 2011 It's an outlier, but not a bad thing to see as we get closer to the event. It did seem like things were a little more suppressed to our north on the 12z euro, as compared to 00z..perhaps why it didn't cut into sne. Theres that 1030 in Quebec we need too, lots to like here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 This is right about the time for the GFS to lose the storm, It always seems its in the 120hr range..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I was gonna go with 8" because that is what I had when I left for work, but it snowed for an hour or two longer and the PNS had 8.7", so I ammended to 8.5".....WTH. Cool. I prob had 8 with the last weenie band of snow. It did compact to 7" of fresh powder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterLand Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 It's an outlier, but not a bad thing to see as we get closer to the event. It did seem like things were a little more suppressed to our north on the 12z euro, as compared to 00z..perhaps why it didn't cut into sne. I wonder if that trailing s/w is helping to push our storm out to sea... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Congrats on 50! La Epic, say it with me now 15.5" away from matching my largest January on record.... 1966. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 It's an outlier, but not a bad thing to see as we get closer to the event. It did seem like things were a little more suppressed to our north on the 12z euro, as compared to 00z..perhaps why it didn't cut into sne. Seems like there is a kicker in the northern stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2011 Author Share Posted January 21, 2011 This is right about the time for the GFS to lose the storm, It always seems its in the 120hr range..... Whats cool is that the snowier solutions are in vogue/ Sort of like your Daisy Dukes were in the 70's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2011 Author Share Posted January 21, 2011 Seems like there is a kicker in the northern stream. 5H closes off further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Lol....8.5? Nice. Nice call. I LOVE seeing the GFS go east; I feel better now than I did after the 12z suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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