Novtorcher Disco Thread

[CoastalWx]

Could be some +RA Friday night over central and ern areas. Euro op is farthest west while Euro AI hugs the coast and over the Cape.

[Modfan2]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Could be some +RA Friday night over central and ern areas. Euro op is farthest west while Euro AI hugs the coast and over the Cape.

Two camps right now, decent rains or not much rain; hoping for the later. Meanwhile, my old hood in FL has received 13” of rain over the last day with parts of my old work area in Malabar and Palm Bay getting nearly 25” with more to come. 

[Lava Rock]

58f overnight low. Very mild.

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[MJO812]

Looking like a warm November and December.

[dendrite]

Min 50°

Adios NAM

[WinterWolf]

43 here. 

[Brewbeer]

45/44, no frost this morning

[Damage In Tolland]

52 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Looking like a warm November and December.

JFM

[Torch Tiger]

we discussed it last month... possible NYC stays above 32 all winter? 

[dendrite]

We troll and joke about a snowless winter, but it’ll come…even with positive temp departures. We’re just going to need an active pattern and accept that there will likely be a lot of messy or pure rain events as well.

I suppose an epic ratter is on the table if things line up poorly, but I wouldn’t stress over that on 11/3.

CON had 50” in 1877-78 with 3 events of 6”+ and the largest total being 12” on 2/1/1878. There was very little snow in Dec and Mar though…most of the season was Jan/Feb. 

[dendrite]

8 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

we discussed it last month... possible NYC stays above 32 all winter? 

I totally expect one brutally stupid cold shot in Feb amidst a sea of warmth to screw with my fruit trees. Probably a late freeze after a week of 70s too. 

[wokeupthisam]

Only got down to 53.1° for the low, thread title FTW... so far

[Typhoon Tip]

I'm wondering if today might bust a little cooler than it could have been ...sort of thing, because these clouds - I had figured today for a continuation of sunnier. It's completely cast' over here and holding T's down it seems.  

Sometimes these mid ceilings will agglomerate at mid morning like this did...it was sunny here at 8... But then open back up ... not sure if that's happening but if it stays this way, it's a modest bust. 

[Typhoon Tip]

may be a passive/diffused warm boundary extending S Ont thru upstate NY helping to generate and fan some of this contaminated sky...    

[dendrite]

Well into the 60s despite solid overcast…but getting some breaks up here now. Looks like eastern sections will still push 70° with sun. 

[Torch Tiger]

Glorious day. What a winter

[Typhoon Tip]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Well into the 60s despite solid overcast…but getting some breaks up here now. Looks like eastern sections will still push 70° with sun. 

yeah, my early question was answered... 72 here.  wow.  DP's 49 ...not warm exactly but one can still sense a difference, seeing as it's been parchy as of late.   

I'm curious - btw - what the the GISS layout looks like for October due out here in another week.  According to myth, legend ...and well, fact, October came in the warmest October, globally, that has ever occurred since it was determined that CC is an exaggerated hoax in a massive conspiracy ...while at the same time, apparently being actually true.  interesting, and wow again...   But of particular interest, we have something like 12 of the last 15 days with frost here.. I'm wondering if that meandering 'cooler relative to the whole' region that keeps showing up between Greenland and Indiana might have been situated over New England, because it definitely did come off as a very warm month here.   Speculation -

[Brian5671]

4 hours ago, dendrite said:

We troll and joke about a snowless winter, but it’ll come…even with positive temp departures. We’re just going to need an active pattern and accept that there will likely be a lot of messy or pure rain events as well.

I suppose an epic ratter is on the table if things line up poorly, but I wouldn’t stress over that on 11/3.

CON had 50” in 1877-78 with 3 events of 6”+ and the largest total being 12” on 2/1/1878. There was very little snow in Dec and Mar though…most of the season was Jan/Feb. 

Much colder times overall however

[MJO812]

5 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

JFM

El nino is weakening by then

Get ready

[MJO812]

4 hours ago, Torch Tiger said:

we discussed it last month... possible NYC stays above 32 all winter? 

Nyc might get more snow than parts of New England when winter is over.

[Damage In Tolland]

Man… was just out watering the garden and picking peppers.. bees and wasps flying all over the place . 

[Damage In Tolland]

What a summer 

[Snowedin]

72 here. Feels absolutely incredible after finishing up the first round of bone dry leaves. I even saw a couple rogue bees flying about the garden. Hopefully a sign of things to come this winter!

[tamarack]

5 hours ago, Torch Tiger said:

we discussed it last month... possible NYC stays above 32 all winter? 

Would be wild, but I think NYC's most modest winter low is something like 22.  That might be beatable but a 10° leap - nasomuch.

[WinterWolf]

Funny how being only 3 days into November, and it’s warm, we have people talking no snow for NYC, and also NYC above freezing all winter long.  I wonder what the same people thought when Xmas Eve was 73-74 degrees in 2014?  

[MJO812]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Funny how being only 3 days into November, and it’s warm, we have people talking no snow for NYC, and also NYC above freezing all winter long.  I wonder what the same people thought when Xmas Eve was 73-74 degrees in 2014?  

Same people never learn