August 2026

[BxEngine]

Poured on me in Aruba today. Cant escape the damn rain.

[psv88]

Beautiful day to sail. Constant gusts to 20 made for a fun day.

[uofmiami]

34 minutes ago, BxEngine said:

Poured on me in Aruba today. Cant escape the damn rain.

I arrive there on Tuesday, hope you took on all the rain today haha.  Enjoy yourself. 

[BxEngine]

2 minutes ago, uofmiami said:

I arrive there on Tuesday, hope you took on all the rain today haha.  Enjoy yourself. 

We were on a tour to the natural pool and the former invest 92l threw out some feeder bands. Rest of the day was the usual aruba windy and dry. We were drenched and the natural pool was closed, that side of the island had 15’ plus waves.

[donsutherland1]

Showers and perhaps a thundershower are likely into this evening into early tomorrow. 

Following the frontal passage, Tomorrow through Wednesday should feature temperatures in the lower to middle 80s, along with partly to mostly sunny skies. 

Another cold front could bring some showers or thundershowers to the region Wednesday night or Thursday. The frontal passage will be followed by a reinforcing shot of cooler air. Thursday and Friday could see highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s. 

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.6°C for the week centered around August 6. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.72°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.15°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -17.84 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.420 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 53% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.3° (0.2° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.1° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.