Ju-ply 2026 Obs and Disco - Kicking it off with heat, humidity, and ... severe?

[Chrisrotary12]

11 minutes ago, LSC97wxnut said:

Time sensitive, but it's interesting to see the last plume image before GOES went down yesterday to the first one today.  Much further south and doesn't seem as thick?

Yeah Satellite imagery looks good for smoke. Afternoon Disaster averted it seems. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

So far so good here wrt smoke.    But it is a bit more hazy than it was this morning

[CoastalWx]

Yeah, we good here this afternoon. HRRR FTL.

[Chrisrotary12]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Yeah, we good here this afternoon. HRRR FTL.

Time to unplug!

[Torch Tiger]

Wish we had some smoke, maybe we'll get another burst

[tamarack]

At 1 PM I noted that we were in a severe-warned block, but when I went to find the parameters, GYX had dropped the SVR as the storm had weakened.  First drops at 1:10 then at 1:15 RA+ and gust after gust arrived - trees pushed around like I hadn't seen since Dec 2023, probably well into the 40s.  Strong but short of SVR criteria.  1:18 the genny kicked in (still running now at 2:15) and the heavy rain backed down by 1:20, nearly stopped at 1:25.  0.29" in the gauge, mostly in the 1:15-1:20 span.   During the lighter rain a surprisingly wet hummingbird landed on the feeder only 3 feet from me and had a long drink.  Only 2 strikes, both distant but enough that the dog hid.  I walked out our gravel road, saw that the outage was caused elsewhere, and confirmed that none of the 120-foot-plus pines had fallen.

[Great Snow 1717]

2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

The loop I just provided suggests we might be in trouble by 2 ...4pm

Right on cue the smell of smoke has returned to methuen. Not as strong as yesterday but still noticeable.

[wxsniss]

Has a 40% penumbra look out there

For areas east of Worcester, 17z HRRR has the worst ~21-23z, plume sweeping southward from NH

[Snowedin]

The sun just feels incredible after yesterday’s shit show. Haven’t seen smoke that thick and noxious in a long time. Back to summah for now!

[wx_observer]

3 hours ago, wxsniss said:

While obviously not real-time empirical data like GOES, HRRR has smoke guidance you can see on Pivotal to give you an estimate of current and future placement of the band

Looks like thick smoke enters most of MA / SNH early afternoon 17-20z

Helpful--TY!  Was wondering if it would hold out until this evening to get the lawn mowed.  Probably not, if that model verifies.

[Chrisrotary12]

Are those temperatures in the 60s behind this front dropping through central New England?

[wxsniss]

18z HRRR continues to target 21-23z for areas east of ORH for thicker smoke

It's definitely ticking thicker outside

Probably will be more like the milky haze we had Tuesday where you can actually look at the sun, and it gets deep red as it sets... not the apocalyptic yellow we had Wednesday where you can't even see the sun

[Brewbeer]

On 7/15/2026 at 12:31 PM, Brewbeer said:

sun not visible here, and solar production is down about 80% from a normal sunny day

today much better, currently at 5 KW, was about 1 KW yesterday at this time