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* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Bergen County in northeastern New Jersey...
  Essex County in northeastern New Jersey...
  Hudson County in northeastern New Jersey...
  Eastern Passaic County in northeastern New Jersey...
  Union County in northeastern New Jersey...
  Kings (Brooklyn) County in southeastern New York...
  New York (Manhattan) County in southeastern New York...
  Queens County in southeastern New York...
  Richmond (Staten Island) County in southeastern New York...

* Until 200 PM EDT.

* At 1153 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 0.7 and 1.3 inches of
  rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to locally 2
  inches in 1 hour. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
  shortly.
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4 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

Don’t you ever get tired of downplaying every event before it starts? All of this is following the forecast thus far.

I've seen how these events play out time and time again. We almost always need surface heating for several hours to generate a severe threat. 

The dynamics can overcome this to some degree but it won't be enough 

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4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

I've seen how these events play out time and time again. We almost always need surface heating for several hours to generate a severe threat. 

The dynamics can overcome this to some degree but it won't be enough 

I'm fine with rain and thunder. Don't need to lose power again

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6 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

I'm fine with rain and thunder. Don't need to lose power again

Agreed. I'm ok with not seeing tornadoes either. Shear is very high and dynamics would be enough for a significant tornado threat for our area if we had the instability to back it up. 

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24 minutes ago, redsox91 said:

Lost power in Sparta

Hey Sparta.
Sparta here too - over near the health and wellness center on 517 (Sparta Ave)
We were out from 11:15 - 11:50 but it came back, and then blinked again.  We're good for now, but the JCP&L outages are stacking up.  Almost 30K and counting.

I have a small station over here but nothing fancy, as well as an official plastic rain gauge since the electronic tipper is unreliable, sometimes it works, sometimes not.

 

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Our tornado/severe threat is currently back in Western PA. You can see some discreet cells popping up. SPC will be updating soon. In the meantime, the warm front is slightly over performing thus far. You can see the troughs over PA which will provide dynamics and veering winds.

IMG_3152.png

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1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said:

Flood threat is very real. Our atmosphere is juiced to the max 

It will keep happening all the way through winter. I bet one of those times it might phase with the polar jet and sparks will fly.

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38 minutes ago, Big Jims Videos said:

Very humid, muggy, and eye-irritating smoky again in northern Ocean County. Worst smoke for me in a few days here 

Agreed. In Waretown right now. Smokey and very humid with a fresh breeze. Sun dimmed behind the smoke.

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17 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

An observation one doesn't off see in the NYC area from LaGuardia Airport this morning:

image.thumb.png.dd1fadd77f43f0e7585d3d0a326fce8b.png

This was a great satellite loop from the other day that sums up what we have been experiencing this week.

 

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