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51 minutes ago, Picard said:

Completely smoked in here with zero sunlight, and the storms have moved on, so it's not that.
I only picked up 0.01", they went around me.  I did hear thunder.

There are a couple of Air Quality Index (AQI) of 800-1000 in the upper peninsula of Michigan.  I don't think it got that high in the 2023 smoke out.

https://www.airnow.gov/national-maps/
https://gispub.epa.gov/airnow/?monitors=ozonepm&xmin=-12204191.014333315&xmax=-7507899.996493336&ymin=4559496.5702827135&ymax=6460026.841564831

Yeah, that area is closer to the wildfires. Probably a new record for them. From the study below it had the AQI in NYC getting above 480 back in June 2023.

https://www.rmets.org/metmatters/worst-air-quality-world-wildfire-smog-smothers-new-york

 

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Despite wildfire smoke, temperatures topped out well in the 90s across the region. Highs included:

Atlantic City: 99°
Bridgeport: 92°
Islip: 92°
New York City-Central Park: 95°
New York City-JFK Airport: 98°
New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 98°
Newark: 98°
Philadelphia: 98°

Temperatures will soar into the upper 80s to perhaps lower 90s tomorrow. Smoke could hold down the readings by several degrees across parts of the region. Friday will also be very warm before the temperatures ease for the weekend.

Showers and thundershowers are possible during the weekend. The greatest risk is Saturday night and Sunday. Highs will generally reach the lower and perhaps middle 80s through the middle of next week.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.8°C for the week centered around July 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.52°C. The ongoing strong El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -36.56 yesterday. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.104 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 65% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 78.5° (1.0° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.0° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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