July 2026

[psv88]

1 minute ago, Rmine1 said:

Looks like the bulk will slide south of LI

This is a 3 day event. 

[FPizz]

.40 in 12 minutes 

[IrishRob17]

8 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

Just over 2” since 7pm, rainfall rate is down at the moment but this cell keeps back building with a new cell to the west moving this way. Flash Flood Warning issued until midnight. 

Spoke too soon on the rainfall rate, up over 2.5” now in the past two hours. 

[SnoSki14]

There's a lot of rain on radar to come

[allgame830]

2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

There's a lot of rain on radar to come

Yup looks to southwest it’s insane!

[Santa Claus]

there’s been a lot of cool lightning going back to friday

[ForestHillWx]

I’m just north of the cells loading up and moving north east along route 78. Constant lightening and thunder, but no rain yet. 

[winterwx21]

12 minutes ago, psv88 said:

This is a 3 day event. 

Sunday night through Monday night is far from a 3 day event. The models are mainly dry for Tuesday now. This has turned into more like a 24 hour event. 

[nycsnow]

Pouring in Staten Island 

[WestBabylonWeather]

Looking like it may rain 

[NEG NAO]

14 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

There's a lot of rain on radar to come

radar is strange now with that stationary front laying across southern NJ individual cells are moving in different directions across the region

[winterwx21]

30 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Quite dark to the southwest

I see 0z HRRR gives our area very little tonight, with the heavy 1 to 2 inch amounts missing to the north and south. Would be very sad if it happens to us yet again. I know it's very hard for the model to pinpoint the spots that will get heavy rain though, so hopefully the 0z run will be wrong. 

[ForestHillWx]

Update: very heavy rainfall has begun. Frequent lightening/thunder, not much wind. 

[SnoSki14]

5 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

I see 0z HRRR gives our area very little tonight, with the heavy 1 to 2 inch amounts missing to the north and south. Would be very sad if it happens to us yet again. I know it's very hard for the model to pinpoint the spots that will get heavy rain though, so hopefully the 0z run will be wrong. 

HRRR is wrong. It didn't even get the initialized activity right

[Stormlover74]

8 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

I see 0z HRRR gives our area very little tonight, with the heavy 1 to 2 inch amounts missing to the north and south. Would be very sad if it happens to us yet again. I know it's very hard for the model to pinpoint the spots that will get heavy rain though, so hopefully the 0z run will be wrong. 

Yeah we'll see

[MarcmmKU]

Will it miss the city to the south?

[winterwx21]

16 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

HRRR is wrong. It didn't even get the initialized activity right

It's a very inconsistent model. Sometimes great and sometimes horrible. It did very well with last night's storms. 

[WeatherGeek2025]

how's it's going?

[bkviking]

This is beginning to look thread-worthy if 2024 or 2014 type threats continue to grow. 

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

absolutely awesome storm ripped through westhampton last night 20 minutes after the fireworks. gusty winds, lashing rain, but nothing *too* severe like other people were affected in the forum. just a great show with very minor limb damage to trees. What are we thinking in terms of rainfall around SW nassau for the next two days? Driving to and from the hamptons this weekend I got a pretty good visual sense of where the worst of this vicious drought is and it seems like South West to South Central Nassau- and generally just the south shore, until around the Hamptons- has had it worst.

The south shore of Nassau has seasonal summer drought due to the sea breeze front. The more years I experience the more I comprehend this phenomenon. It’s a big part of why the Hempstead plains once existed. Native Americans used the summer seasonal drought to create controlled burns.
It doesn’t make it an easy place to live if your into gardening or in my case a landscape designer.
The good news with this event is, we often do best in summer with this exact setup.


.

[allgame830]

21 minutes ago, bkviking said:

This is beginning to look thread-worthy if 2024 or 2014 type threats continue to grow. 

Yeah this doesn’t look good…. 

[Nibor]

Just had one of the loudest claps of thunder I’ve ever heard in my life. 

[BoulderWX]

It won’t let me attach but the radar is absolutely insane. Lots of radar watching the next 24 hours. 

[WeatherGeek2025]

2 minutes ago, BoulderWX said:

It won’t let me attach but the radar is absolutely insane. Going to be a wild 24 hours 

 

[Snowlover11]

Should be fun in the morning heading home. There is a creek down my street and there’s no other way around it.

[winterwx21]

Just had a pretty good moderate shower. I'm up to 0.16" so far. Radar looks nice with the big batch of steady moderate to heavy rain coming in from PA. Hopefully this will be a nice 1 to 2 inch rainfall for this area like NAM3km shows. 

[eco94]

that line on the jersey shore racing northeast to LI

[ForestHillWx]

Port Jervis/Huguenot area looks like it’s getting crushed. That area had a wicked flood in 2006/2007 I think, when the Neversink went over its banks.

Hopefully the stationary cells start to lift. 

[winterwarlock]

2 hours ago, winterwx21 said:

I see 0z HRRR gives our area very little tonight, with the heavy 1 to 2 inch amounts missing to the north and south. Would be very sad if it happens to us yet again. I know it's very hard for the model to pinpoint the spots that will get heavy rain though, so hopefully the 0z run will be wrong. 

Ive missed all the heavy storms for 3 days

 

.18 tonight

.17 yesterday and .12 Friday

[weathermedic]

Got .5 already with a 7”/hr peak rate so far