winterwx21 Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 3 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: It's going to be feast of famine. You're either getting under an inch or 6"+ I think there will be areas that get 1 to 2 inches in addition to the areas that get lower amounts and much higher amounts. That's how it usually works when we have these heavy rain threats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 Thinking somebody gets a boatload of rain out of this. With the front draped through the area. SPC targeting the area. Plus radar now seems to be lining up to eventually slice through the area and 2" pwats in place. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 13 minutes ago, EasternLI said: Thinking somebody gets a boatload of rain out of this. With the front draped through the area. SPC targeting the area. Plus radar now seems to be lining up to eventually slice through the area and 2" pwats in place. Correct. Just look at how slow those storms are moving. Where that boundary sets up — no good. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 Flood Advisory just issued here, the cell has been back building/hardly moving. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said: WPC discussion on the heavy rain developing and the potential flooding: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=0612&yr=2026 I’m concerned about for weekend campers along the Delaware River. Hopefully they all check out today for their safety. A few cells currently popping up and not much movement with them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 17 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Flood Advisory just issued here, the cell has been back building/hardly moving. It’s just to my north and west, hearing the thunder but no rain here yet. FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Urban and small stream flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected. * WHERE...A portion of southeast New York, including the following county, Orange. * WHEN...Until 915 PM EDT. * IMPACTS...Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 723 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to thunderstorms. This will cause urban and small stream flooding. Overflowing poor drainage areas will cause minor flooding in the advisory area. Between 0.5 and 1.5 inches of rain have fallen. - Some locations that will experience flooding include... Middletown, Montgomery, Scotchtown, Mechanicstown, Maybrook, Circleville and Bullville. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 8 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said: It’s just to my north and west, hearing the thunder but no rain here yet. FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Urban and small stream flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected. * WHERE...A portion of southeast New York, including the following county, Orange. * WHEN...Until 915 PM EDT. * IMPACTS...Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 723 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to thunderstorms. This will cause urban and small stream flooding. Overflowing poor drainage areas will cause minor flooding in the advisory area. Between 0.5 and 1.5 inches of rain have fallen. - Some locations that will experience flooding include... Middletown, Montgomery, Scotchtown, Mechanicstown, Maybrook, Circleville and Bullville. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood The worst of the cell is to my north, picked up .50" so far from it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 We’re in a moderate to severe drought 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 3 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: The worst of the cell is to my north, picked up .50" so far from it. Good to hear that you’re not in the bullseye. Some of the Mesoscale models are showing up to around 9” of QPF thru Tuesday in different areas it all depends on where these cells set up shop and just dump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 13 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said: Good to hear that you’re not in the bullseye. Some of the Mesoscale models are showing up to around 9” of QPF thru Tuesday in different areas it all depends on where these cells set up shop and just dump. Now that is split a bit I'm u see the bullseye of the southern cell, up to .73" over the last hour or so, streams running through the yard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 Today's Highs: ACY: 94 PHL: 93 New Brnswck: 88 TTN: 88 JFK: 86 EWR: 85 BLM: 85 TEB: 85 NYC: 81 ISP: 81 LGA: 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 Rainfall rate has been bouncing between 3-7" per hour, up to 1.25" and pouring. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eco94 Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 absolutely awesome storm ripped through westhampton last night 20 minutes after the fireworks. gusty winds, lashing rain, but nothing *too* severe like other people were affected in the forum. just a great show with very minor limb damage to trees. What are we thinking in terms of rainfall around SW nassau for the next two days? Driving to and from the hamptons this weekend I got a pretty good visual sense of where the worst of this vicious drought is and it seems like South West to South Central Nassau- and generally just the south shore, until around the Hamptons- has had it worst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 28 minutes ago, qg_omega said: We’re in a moderate to severe drought And getting occasional quarter to half inch rain events isn't going to bust us out of this horrible drought. We need heavy rain events, and unfortunately getting flooding in spots is part of that. But we need it or else this drought will continue to get worse and worse, which is devastating for agriculture. Any anyway, people rooting for whatever type of weather they enjoy isn't gonna change what's going to happen. So there's no use getting annoyed with people for liking extreme weather. This is a weather board, so it's the place where you're going to find lots of people that are interested in extreme weather. Most people here want to see big snowstorms and blizzards, and those events cause damage and kill people. You can't help what type weather you like -- no one should be judged. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 First little batch is getting me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 6 Author Share Posted July 6 Quite dark to the southwest 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 Just got into the severe thunderstorm warning lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Quite dark to the southwest One downpour missing me just to the east right now, and another to the west. I'm being split again, lol. But with all the activity to the west, it's hard to believe our area will miss out on the heavy rain again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 rotation in that warned cell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 Just over 2” since 7pm, rainfall rate is down at the moment but this cell keeps back building with a new cell to the west moving this way. Flash Flood Warning issued until midnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 Looks like the bulk will slide south of LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 1 minute ago, Rmine1 said: Looks like the bulk will slide south of LI This is a 3 day event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 .40 in 12 minutes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 8 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Just over 2” since 7pm, rainfall rate is down at the moment but this cell keeps back building with a new cell to the west moving this way. Flash Flood Warning issued until midnight. Spoke too soon on the rainfall rate, up over 2.5” now in the past two hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 There's a lot of rain on radar to come 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: There's a lot of rain on radar to come Yup looks to southwest it’s insane! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 I’m just north of the cells loading up and moving north east along route 78. Constant lightening and thunder, but no rain yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 12 minutes ago, psv88 said: This is a 3 day event. Sunday night through Monday night is far from a 3 day event. The models are mainly dry for Tuesday now. This has turned into more like a 24 hour event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 Pouring in Staten Island 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 Looking like it may rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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