Severe threat 6/10-6/12

[sbnwx85]

Yesterday's line of storm was officially a derecho. Congrats to all who participated:

NWS - Northern Indiana

Good afternoon partners... Just as an FYI, we just received word from SPC that they confirmed yesterday's system was classified as a Derecho as it moved from Eastern Iowa through Lower Michigan. The wind swath had a track length over 400 miles, with a footprint just under 100,000 square miles. The strongest known gust was measured at 94 mph.

[Harry Perry]

18 minutes ago, frostfern said:

For you, yea.  I’m 100% out of the game now.  Reverse jinxing doesn’t work here.  I was never buying the fantasy CAM hype.

Yeah we bust on this one, have some stratiform rain in the sights down this way. 
 

[King James]

Sun back out here in IKK an hour after that severe warned storm came through. Very soupy out

[MazooWeather]

17 minutes ago, Harry Perry said:

Yeah we bust on this one, have some stratiform rain in the sights down this way. 
 

The rain is decaying pretty fast

[Harry Perry]

3 minutes ago, MazooWeather said:

The rain is decaying pretty fast

I just came to say, I may be eating crow on the rain.

Currently on the lake and was watching some towering cumulus/stratus as depicted on radar to my SW. It appears to be hitting a brick wall. Haven’t even lost the sun over here yet. Just as quick as they were building they’ve dissipated to mid level haze.
 

We shall see. 

[outflow]

42 minutes ago, frostfern said:

For you, yea.  I’m 100% out of the game now.  Reverse jinxing doesn’t work here.  I was never buying the fantasy CAM hype.

Your still going to get plenty of rain and thunder out of this.

 

 

[frostfern]

Just now, outflow said:

Your still going to get plenty of rain and thunder out of this.

 

 

Yea.  It looks like heavy rain chances are actually going up.  Along and south of I-80 is where the sups will be though.

[frostfern]

7 minutes ago, Harry Perry said:

I just came to say, I may be eating crow on the rain.

Currently on the lake and was watching some towering cumulus/stratus as depicted on radar to my SW. It appears to be hitting a brick wall. Haven’t even lost the sun over here yet. Just as quick as they were building they’ve dissipated to mid level haze.
 

We shall see. 

Just thin translucent cirrus up here.  There is some downdraft CAPE on this side of the lake as opposed to Wisconsin, so there could still be an evening squall with the strong low level jet mixing down in spots.  It’s just the convection itself looks to be elevated and unorganized.

[nwohweather]

2 hours ago, pen_artist said:

Lots of chasers reporting VERY strong winds leading to quick recovery. Will see how much that affects Chicagoland area but do think we recover some compared to previous crapvection days

If I’m not mistaken the forecast models were showing ample LLJ strengthening this evening

[Harry Perry]

11 minutes ago, frostfern said:

Just thin translucent cirrus up here.  There is some downdraft CAPE on this side of the lake as opposed to Wisconsin, so there could still be an evening squall with the strong low level jet mixing down in spots.  It’s just the convection itself looks to be elevated and unorganized.

Do you work for GRR? 

[Chicago Storm]

Janky LL lapse rates and a warm nose aloft will be the bullet in today in the favorable corridor.

[frostfern]

Just now, Harry Perry said:

Do you work for GRR? 

No.  I thought about it once.  I’m disabled though.

[Harry Perry]

19 minutes ago, frostfern said:

No.  I thought about it once.  I’m disabled though.

Just curious, saw the GRR tag on your location and you bring lots of knowledge here. 
 

 

[cyclone77]

Just had a legit meso pass right over about 10 mins ago.  Really thought it might plant right there.  Serious rippage with nice downward motion on the back side.  Couplet is now over Lyndon.  Thing is hauling ass northeast.

[andyhb]

Violent tornado in progress near Metamora IL, amazing low reflectivity debris ball.

[pen_artist]

So clearly defined. Haven't seen a clear, detached debris ball like that in a while. Nothing much else impeding it either in the near term outside of the two small cells to its southeast