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June 2026 General Discussion


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32 minutes ago, WestMichigan said:

A few days ago there were model forecasts of record low barometric pressures for the month of June out of the current system.  Anyone know if that is verifying?

On the SPC surface map its 992mb as its been for 4 hours now, currently in SE MN. The Euro had it at 989mb at this time. It'll deepen more overnight near me to 988 so I'm going from 1005 to 989 in 12 hours which of course I've never seen for June here.

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
ISSUED: 4:31 PM JUN. 17, 2026 – ENVIRONMENT AND CLIMATE CHANGE CANADA

Strong winds, heavy rain and thunderstorms tonight. 

What:
Strong southwesterly wind gusts. 
Rainfall amounts in excess of 40 mm. 
Risk of severe thunderstorms.

When:
Beginning early this evening continuing into Thursday morning.

Additional information:
Showers are expected early this evening and will intensify as a strong low pressure system approaches the area. There is a potential for severe thunderstorms late this evening and overnight with heavy rain and strong wind gusts being the primary threats. 

Rainfall amounts of 40 mm or greater are possible as a result of the thunderstorms and showers with this system.

Watches or warnings may be issued closer to the event as the path of this low pressure system becomes more certain.

First time I've seen in a statement mention on uncertainty with low path, we're only hours away so thats nuts!

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6 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

few days of paradise weather and then NAM selling another defo band soak job on father's day

Some beefy qpf showing up on some guidance.  Euro has been depositing a swath of 2-4" for several runs.  Might need to have the grilling get togethers Sat this year.  Sunday might be a day better spent on the couch watching the US open lol.

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We're taking the father-in-law up to Road America on Sunday. Long-range NAM has a rainout... but it's on an island, and it's long-range NAM, so taking with a giant grain of salt. Most of the rain should stay south

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Chilly morning across the Northland with temps running from the low 30's to mid 40's (top 5 chill for some) with upper 40's along the shore. Rain moving in for the aftrn, which will be nice, with highs around 65-70. 

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Models are trending south with the Sunday system.  The CAMs are well south of my area with any storms.  The Euro had been holding on a bit farther north, but it has caved this morning.  I'm no longer expecting anything more than a light shower.

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