June Banter 2026

[George BM]

Sunday June 7, 2026 3:28PM EDT

High impact tornadic and flooding weather event is currently underway.

Thunderstorms and embedded supercells will continue to train over the same areas stretching from the Charlottesville, VA vicinity up through northern VA and into north/central MD just west of the two major beltways exasperating the flash flooding situation in these areas. Strong low-level SSE winds continue to bring in low/mid 70sF dewpoints beneath moderately steep mid-level lapse rates (7+ C/km). This is resulting in over 3000J/kg MLCAPE and with the strong LL shear in place (effective SRH of 250-450 m2/s2) and strong deep-layer shear in general (~60 kt EBWD) organized supercells with be maintain for the remainder of the afternoon and well into the evening hours before the best dynamics lift to the northeast.

Tornadic supercells will train over the same or similar spots over the next several hours as this broken line ever so slowly crawls eastwards into the metros (Individual storm motions: 230/40kt. Broken line motion: 310/5kt.) With the dynamics and instability some tornadoes may become strong to significant and possibly long-tracked. Other severe hazards with these storms include severe winds (50-65+kts) and very large hail(2-2.5”+).

The other highly impactful threat from these storms will be the major flash flooding. Much of the area will end up with 3 to 6 inches of rain with up to 8”+ in some locations.