Junorch obs and discussion 2026

[Chrisrotary12]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

It really is remarkable... I have only seen a single handful.  I spend a considerable amount of time outside.  Either golf, or disc golf ...working in the lawn... just hanging out. I'm outdoor oriented. 

Maybe they en masse have some sort of preferential migratory patterning that is lesser known to entomology.  huh

I thought they were missing as well until 8p last night when they came on like an absolute swarm. Instant retreat into house from the fire pit.

[Typhoon Tip]

2 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

I thought they were missing as well until 8p last night when they came on like an absolute swarm. Instant retreat into house from the fire pit.

Yeah .. truth be told - I sense this is 'borrowed time' over here.     I think we're regional neighbors?   I consider you, Ray and myself as a kind of forum neighborhood.

[Typhoon Tip]

You can see the eastern N/A - western Europe positive correlation/teleconnector in these ensemble means.  The only stress is that it's skewing slightly west but that's just idiosyncratic/within tolerance ... possibly explained by seasonal wave space George Kastanza

[dendrite]

38 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Any nit-picked plausibility that's been used to try and abase what is a clear, apodictic implication, notwithstanding ... that 00z operational Euro run fully committed to a heat wave later next week .. LOL

At least at 500 mb... This is not "too far west".  For heat enthusiasts that was a legit concern, but per this run, you'd be safe for bigger anomalies.   And it's 3 days of it, too.

D7

 

EPS tickling east with time.

[CoastalWx]

Yeah agree on hot stretch and also ridge runner s/w’s diving in perhaps to had some convection into the mix too.

[Typhoon Tip]

Oper. GFS is skewed just enough W of it's own ensemble mean, as well as cross-guidance Euro comparison ... to implicate less heat for enter a reason here [    ]

The EPS looks warm and matches the oper. Euro better as a holistic signal so taken fwiw, it seems more momentum at the moment for warm anomalies in that D6-10 range.

[dendrite]

Winding down.

1.08”

[weatherwiz]

26 minutes ago, dendrite said:

EPS tickling east with time.

tickle me elmo 

[Typhoon Tip]

God...  even the Euro is with that solution still playing games finding ways to dent heat in New England.

138 hours, case in point... 18z Wed.   at 12z that morning a dying MCS up around PF country sends an outflow boundary (probably) S thru Brian country, which acts as a trigger for firing off new convection by 18z over NE Mass.  This creates an any excuse imaginable means to knock the Ts back into the low to mid 70s in that region, while 582 dm thicknesses are trying to move in from S Ontario. 

That day should just flat out be 98 F everywhere given holistic impression of the ongoing synoptic constraints, uh uh uhhh, except for haha spontaneous engineering of a convective sequencing that probably won't even f'n exist come next Wed. 

LOL.   we'll see.   Thursday does get the 92+ bigger heat numbers throughout... but I'd also caution that (as usual for 2-m at this range ) these are a little under cooked given to 21-23+C 850s and just about idealized low cloud/ligth WNW d-slope flow set up.  100 in NYC is noted...

 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s been slow to load for several weeks. I’ve had an iPhone longer than your ponytail is 

Yet still you can’t figure out how to post pictures?  

[Damage In Tolland]

15 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Yet still you can’t figure out how to post pictures?  

I post them all the time . Too much hair in your eyes?

[Ginx snewx]

13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I post them all the time . Too much hair in your eyes?

Torch!

[Lava Rock]

0.48" at home, not bad. Been steady rn at work in PWM. 

[CoastalWx]

Weather.cod has been unusable as well. Funny coincidence with AmWx