Junorch obs and discussion 2026

[weatherwiz]

Great, now there is a whole lot of media hype about the "cold blob" of water south of Greenland. Isn't that this the manifestation of the AMO heading towards the negative phase?

[SouthCoastMA]

Actually looked at the forecast, and my high temps are still above normal this week. I know inland has "higher" expectations with AHATT

[HIPPYVALLEY]

51 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Only upper 70s and 80s this week. Frigid.

You hate to waste a summer month with those temperatures.  

[Typhoon Tip]

I realize there's a drought meme popularity right now. 

It is vying for second place to this other sweeping grand Disclosure stuff, where is apparently going to cause a global 'ontological shock' risking civility meltdown.  Yeeeah.  We'll see about thaaat. If there's a meltdown it's prooobably not coming from ... whatever that means.  But in the meantime, in so far as around here?  - absolutely 0 physical manifestation of any problem with water deficit. 

We go through this every year. Yes, promoted by the U.S. Drought Monitoring, then set forth by their primary sales agent, Kevin's emceeing the desiccation destruction of the world... We read this same sentence every year, though:   "We go through this every year" 

Yet, y'all just can't wait to pack the reception hall again.

I guess we're an easy audience - I don't just mean us in this social media. I mean human condition of 2026 and the last 50 or so years of this ongoing socio-technological evolutionary experiment.   We've become stimulation junkies for it.  But when you look out the window at any moment, that still quiescence, that is what is happening. 

Everything else is human fabrication.  Human actions.  Human interactions.  Yet this latter has become reality as though reality is unstoppable.    100% of everything that the world presently faces, at macro to individual scales of potential harm or crisis, is 100% human caused. 

Including, Climate Change.  Ironically, a consequence that is largely construed as the lie. Despite being utterly empirically undeniable.  

This is the dangerous paradox of our times.  There's this "right" to flout objective truth.  It might even be a defense mechanism.  If one cannot believe any of it due to the loss of public faith, they'll turn to what gives them comfort.  Basic psychobabble.  In either case,  we've somehow arrived to a time in history where the freedom and entitlement to believe whatever one wants, givens them a right to deny objective reality. It's bad too... you point out 1+2=2 to commoners at this point, they nod and return to whatever piece of shitness they are.   Penetrating truth into anyone's complete nonsense has become almost insurmountable.  So they carry on.. litigating in favor of what they want over objective reality, and while not accepting the latter,  that is the real harm.  This is an elegant self-impost extinction event - one that is probably caused by our own innovation.  

Well... maybe a some are coming around... But I tell you what, in my aggressive opinion ( LOL ), it is still largely and unanimously denied. Until the ballast of humanity stops doing what it that is causing the problem, to persist means there's too little acceptance.  Kind of analogous to an alcoholic bargaining. 

Bargaining in the context of alcoholism refers to the mental process where individuals admit to a problem with limited intent ... a time in which they continue to engage in addictive behavior.  This form of rationalization is a fallacy of control, which is really a psychosis for minimizing its impact. This can lead to a cycle of relapse and worsening symptoms, including psychosis, which can manifest as hallucinations or delusions during heavy drinking or withdrawal.  Sound familiar?  Like Disclosure

I saw the movie yesterday.  As science fiction art it was fantastic. 

 

[Damage In Tolland]

42 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I noticed that too. It’s definitely diminished though, but I’ve even seen a few oak dongs still coming down from the wind perhaps left over from a couple weeks ago.

Maybe lack of rain too . Not washing it away 

[dendrite]

28 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Actually looked at the forecast, and my high temps are still above normal this week. I know inland has "higher" expectations with AHATT

Extra log on the fire this week at BDL

[CT Valley Snowman]

I might be the Stein epicenter here.  Local PWS stations are like .10-.15 MTD after last night's screw job.  Everything is getting torched.  

[Damage In Tolland]

23 minutes ago, CT Valley Snowman said:

I might be the Stein epicenter here.  Local PWS stations are like .10-.15 MTD after last night's screw job.  Everything is getting torched.  

Yeah your area down to here has been brutal . You win the Stein trophy 

[ineedsnow]

2 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

Heavy violence across PA on Thursday via the 6z NAM

Lets get that to the Jersey coast 

[weatherwiz]

42 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Extra log on the fire this week at BDL

Another tally mark under the "AWT" category 

[CoastalWx]

11 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Another tally mark under the "AWT" category 

Other than Thursday that's on the cool side. 

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Other than Thursday that's on the cool side. 

For sure the upcoming weekend will be on the cool side behind the system but the week should be right around average and Thursday quite a bit above. For BDL, I wouldn't be shocked if they hit 80-81 on Wednesday 

[CoastalWx]

Just give me 90, dews, and the beach. 

 

Sometimes I wonder if I should just build a rum hut on some beach and sell hemp necklaces. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Just give me 90, dews, and the beach. 

 

Sometimes I wonder if I should just build a rum hut on some beach and sell hemp necklaces. 

Will be in the Caribbean next week can’t wait.  Although I’m enjoying the fresh air today. 

[CoastalWx]

26 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Will be in the Caribbean next week can’t wait.  Although I’m enjoying the fresh air today. 

What island?

[dendrite]

11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

What island?

?

[dendrite]

67.7° with a cloud street perfectly aligned to block the sun. 

[Typhoon Tip]

I think it's one of those days where satellite is lying everywhere.   There's more black than white on vis looping yet I'm getting something like 1/4th sun per hour

[CoastalWx]

10 minutes ago, dendrite said:

67.7° with a cloud street perfectly aligned to block the sun. 

Keeping the early 90s grunge theme? Black hole sun??

[Brian5671]

Perfect day out there-AC off and windows open.  74 here

[dendrite]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Keeping the early 90s grunge theme? Black hole sun??

I’m feeling outshined

 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

?

Steined is the way of the walk .