Junorch obs and discussion 2026

[Chrisrotary12]

What an amazing morning! Crisp and refreshing and the pollen has been (probably temporarily) washed away. 

[dendrite]

Min 47.7°

Hopefully some rain midweek

[HoarfrostHubb]

48 at the house this morning.   That’s it for a while

[dendrite]

33° at Estcourt Station. Some mid 30s in N NH and W ME too.

[Ginx snewx]

48 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

48 at the house this morning.   That’s it for a while

Then there is next Monday Tuesday on models. Nice summer stretch enroute first. For Hubbardston Ma

[Brian5671]

Nice morning here-breezy and AC gets a break  65

[ineedsnow]

1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

48 at the house this morning.   That’s it for a while

Forecast is for 49 tonight.. this week will be hot but I doubt we hit 90 here.. 7 to 10 days of heat then back to average for a bit

[Typhoon Tip]

We've already seen some contenders this spring and early summer, so in fairness this is speculation pending final judgement... Today is the top 1 day

Intangible in support is the fact that it's happening perfectly in mockery of the weekend now being over. So, being collectively imprisoned by thankless jobs and not really available to actually be a part of it?  definitely adds to the mystique of this day achieving numero uno status
 

 

[Typhoon Tip]

66 at the moment by it's just 9am.   Maybe 79 or 80 /52 under 100% purified blue..  Hell, even the pollen's at least temporarily alleviated.

1/2" rain btw from that weird late blob that slid down eastern zones last evening.  Rained harder than sat cloud tops suggested it should, too.  Interesting.

Lawn looks visibly appreciative for whatever the cause.

[Typhoon Tip]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

33° at Estcourt Station. Some mid 30s in N NH and W ME too.

Thankfully it was 50 average S of the NH down here. 

Looks like summer's finally gotten to your doorstop.   Needs another little push to finally get N of you  LOL

[Typhoon Tip]

12 hours ago, powderfreak said:

The palpable fear of going a week or two without rain is still wild to me, and each summer on here it seems to get worse .

Part snark, part reality ...

  ...but it's mostly driven by addiction to dystopian triggered dopa in what's become a blue light over stimulated, recreationally enraged society.   If there's no actual Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum reduxing heat wave, or cannon ball-sized hail clouds suspending finger of god's carving canyons through the hearts of urban centers ...  then watch out!  Drought becomes fanatical and 'quite real'.

Sometimes this engagement is just not subjectively exciting enough.

 

[Typhoon Tip]

Still wondering if a Bahama Blue circulation mode type might set up ...

it's a sloppy way to infer, perhaps... but using the D6-14 temperature anomaly progs from CPC suggests a trough might situated along 90-100 W and sort of stall there for a few days.  That might eventually oriented a more S-->N larger synoptic river of air along the EC.

So ..."Bahama Blue" flow is a phrase we coined in here years and years ago... It's when there's  SW flow through the Gulf o/ Mexico, and a SE flow through the Bahamas that join over the SE/Florida and then flows all the way up to Maine/lower Maritime;  east of the trough, west of the semi-permanent west Atlantic subtropical ridge.    Variations on that theme can machine but that's the basic format.

It's an interesting pattern.  It's relatively rare and when it sets up, you can get 84/77 with purified deep blue tropical skies like a typical day in Nassau.  You may even observed tropical TCU with teeny intense showers on rad with a single pixel to 50 dbz water boarding rain rates.   20 seconds worth.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

56 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Forecast is for 49 tonight.. this week will be hot but I doubt we hit 90 here.. 7 to 10 days of heat then back to average for a bit

Six or seven days of heat then the ridge retreats west for a while and maybe we get a little bit flatter flow for a bit in the east.   3rd week of June looks seasonal with some precipitation chances, hopefully.  

[kdxken]

9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Still wondering if a Bahama Blue circulation mode type might set up ...

it's a sloppy way to infer, perhaps... but using the D6-14 temperature anomaly progs from CPC suggests a trough might situated along 90-100 W and sort of stall there for a few days.  That might eventually oriented a more S-->N larger synoptic river of air along the EC.

So ..."Bahama Blue" flow is a phrase we coined in here years and years ago... It's when there's  SW flow through the Gulf o/ Mexico, and a SE flow through the Bahamas that join over the SE/Florida and then flows all the way up to Maine/lower Maritime;  east of the trough, west of the semi-permanent west Atlantic subtropical ridge.    Variations on that theme can machine but that's the basic format.

It's an interesting pattern.  It's relatively rare and when it sets up, you can get 84/77 with purified deep blue tropical skies like a typical day in Nassau.  You may even observed tropical TCU with teeny intense showers on rad with a single pixel to 50 dbz water boarding rain rates.   20 seconds worth.

Someone say blue. 

 

[metagraphica]

Another impressively clear day for New England.  Looks like I might have to finally install Wednesday afternoon to prep for the Thurs - Sunday heat/humidity. It's been a good run since October.